Would the BC angle apply to Justwhistledixie?

[letswastemoney]

Here we have an accomplished eastern based dirt horse making her first start on SA pro ride.

Knowing the results of the BC races over the past 2 years, wouldn't Justwhistledixie be a risky play? Or perhaps this field isn't that great to begin with, so maybe she will win anyway?

[mbahadur]

Originally Posted by letswastemoney

Here we have an accomplished eastern based dirt horse making her first start on SA pro ride.

Knowing the results of the BC races over the past 2 years, wouldn't Justwhistledixie be a risky play? Or perhaps this field isn't that great to begin with, so maybe she will win anyway?

For having no synthetic experience, she won't be much value. I don't think Stardom Bound has progressed at all since last year -- therefore, this field looks to be wide open with many good prices to be had.

[philcski]

Originally Posted by letswastemoney

Here we have an accomplished eastern based dirt horse making her first start on SA pro ride.

Knowing the results of the BC races over the past 2 years, wouldn't Justwhistledixie be a risky play? Or perhaps this field isn't that great to begin with, so maybe she will win anyway?

I think she's a terrible play at a short price. I like the snake charmer's runner from off the pace with all the speed in here outside.

[pba1817]

Nice field... how is this a G2?

[johnny pinwheel]

Originally Posted by pba1817

Nice field... how is this a G2?

good question........a 40 optional claimer won at 29-1.....now i know why i avoid the poly. "dixie" hated it and the 5 time grade 1 winner ran late. the horse that won looked like garbage. its possible that there are about 3 good horses on the entire circuit and thats because one of them came out of retirement......

[letswastemoney]

I guess the race answered my question. Avoid eastern based dirt horses trying pro ride for the first time.

[Indian Charlie]

Actually, Dixie isn't that good of a filly to begin with and tailed off pretty badly last year.

It will be interesting to see if she runs another lackluster race once back on dirt, which will be my guess.

[SOREHOOF]

Originally Posted by letswastemoney

I guess the race answered my question. Avoid eastern based dirt horses trying pro ride for the first time.

Might be better off just avoiding Pro-Ride altogether.

[Pedigree Ann]

Originally Posted by johnny pinwheel

good question........a 40 optional claimer won at 29-1.....now i know why i avoid the poly. "dixie" hated it and the 5 time grade 1 winner ran late. the horse that won looked like garbage. its possible that there are about 3 good horses on the entire circuit and thats because one of them came out of retirement......

That "40 optional claimer" was an An1x for Pretty Unusual and was her first off of a long layoff. Do you only read the last line of PPs? She was already a SW against Cal-bred company, but that doesn't count against open n1x conditions. And this race was the first time since that stakes win that she was ridden from far off the pace. Maybe with the big field, they figured they would get the fast pace that would make a move from far back the best bet.

Repeat after me - OC40/n1x-N means the horse is running in an open An1x, not for the claiming tag.

Stardom Bound went 6-wide while Pretty Unusual went inside between horses, so it was a good first off the layoff race for the grey, or second if you count the debacle behind a loose-on-an-easy-lead horse at Aqueduct. They don't come back fully fit, you know, and this was a prep race for the La Canada (tilde over the n). Dixie also had a (one-turn, less useful) race in Nov after many months off and had plenty of company up in the first flight.

[RolloTomasi]

Originally Posted by Pedigree Ann

That "40 optional claimer" was an An1x for Pretty Unusual and was her first off of a long layoff. Do you only read the last line of PPs?

What was Johnny thinking?! Since she wasn't in for the tag, that means that the loss against first condition allowance or $40k claimers doesn't count.

Thus making her a contender in this Grade 2 event.

She was already a SW against Cal-bred company, but that doesn't count against open n1x conditions.

In a robust racehorse population it wouldn't be relevant in a Grade 2 race, either.

I guess there's no significance to the fact that the racing office makes a state-bred stakes inconsequential with regards to open races.

Repeat after me - OC40/n1x-N means the horse is running in an open An1x, not for the claiming tag.

Yep. Cuz they'd never risk running this filly in a claiming race.

Well, except for those first two races.

this was a prep race for the La Canada (tilde over the n).

And so the prep for the El Encino was an optional forty claimer (is there a U after the F?)?

Dixie also had a (one-turn, less useful) race in Nov after many months off and had plenty of company up in the first flight.

Never mind that the real prep for the El Encino, the La Brea, is around one turn.