7/30: Saratoga (Day 7-Fleet Indian)

[Kasept]

Strange events during the P6 sequence as Pletcher-Scatuorchio runner System Ready, one of the strong possibilities, was scratched in the paddock for wearing illegal turn downs as footwear. Fold in the early scratch of Nacho Business, and chaos emerged as a result with Weaver returnee Powhattan County ($15.40) winning and derailing the carryover try. Having 4 other winners on the ticket, I suppose in one way that was a better result than staying alive there and arriving at the nightcap to see 4th choice Karakorum Legend ($15.80) emerge victorious absent from the $192 play. The sequence returned a robust $14,200. The rest of the day was very chalky including the money-losing early P4 ($45 invested, $33 returned). Hope you did well!


SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Unaccountable 8-5: Brown said he would drop aggressively this meet.. WON ($3.70)
Best Value: #8 Eldoktori 8-1: Chronic underachiever moves to Butch Reid.. 6th
Next Best: #9 J J's Prophet 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 King Carter 6-1 2nd

.10 Super Play: 1-8 with 1-4-7-8-9 with 1-4-7-8-9 with 1-4-7-8-9 (2x4x3x2 = 48 x .10 = $4.80) $0.10 Super (1-7-9-4) Paid $7.90


2nd: NY-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Curious group of state bred maidens with no form or just starying out. Feels like a dangerous spot..

Most Likely: #1 Song of Broadway 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Moshe Diane 5-2 WON ($7.20)
Best Value: #2 Frazzie 6-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Pearl River 7-2 7th


3rd: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Strange things happen in long races with short fields. Shug and Zito both flat exiting the starting gate at Spa, and at anything close to the ML of 3-1, the Mott/Mo runner seems the right key..

Best Value: #2 Film Charm 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Persistently 9-5 WON ($5.50)
Exotics Use: #4 SCR


4th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Ravingaboutkitten 7-2: Complete connections recipe for early win.. 7th
Next Best: #7 Letshootpool 2-1: Rice filly likely ready for good debut.. WON ($3.90)
Best Value: #9 Thunder Jewel 8-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Eden is Burning 8-1 2nd


5th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Ton of speed signed on here..

Most Likely: #7 Diva in Training 7-2: This RudyRod runner actually makes sense.. 2nd
Best Value: #5 Hot and Bothered 5-1: Was sharp here in 2 '09 starts.. 4th
Next Best: #3 Rock Hall Honey 5-1 WON ($12.20)


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 1-2-3-7
3: 1-2-4
4: 6-7
5: 3-5-7

4x3x2x3 = $72 $1 P4 (3/1/4,7,10,12/3) Paid $316.50


6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Some pedigrees on parade here with #5 Puzzling a half to Dancing Forever, #8 Holidaysatthefarm a half to Rich in Spirit and #11 (AE) Winter Memories the next daughter of Memories of Silver. And as we learned Thursday with the 7th, turf routes with babies are chaotic by nature, and there are several here who have more than enough breeding influence and connection power to perform well in this..

Best Value: #8 Holidaysatthefarm 6-1: Proctor off well; Turf stretchout suits.. 5th
Next Best: #10 Artisanal 5-1: Maybe this one gets to paddock with legal footwear.. 10th
Exotics Use: #7 Arch Support 3-1 WON ($5.70)
Super Add: #3 Erma Lee 12-1 4th


7th: NY-Fleet Indian, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 My Dinah 10-1: Been keeping nice company; Can rally.. WON ($16.20)
Next Best: #5 Meese Rocks 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Late SCR


8th: CLM, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (DD, Super)

Turf sprint where the ML faves look ordinary..

Most Likely: #4 Night Spirit 6-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Ride On Josephine 5-1 WON ($8.30)
Best Value: #5 Bobbi O. 12-1 5th
Super Add: #10 Lights Out Lisa 6-1 2nd


9th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-T (Super)

Most Likely: #6 Person of Interest Late SCR
Best Value: #5 Hangingonthefuture 15-1: Returns 1st as 4yo for sharp layoff trainer.. 9th
Next Best: #8 Bishop of Nola 5-1 WON ($11.80)
Super Add: #9 Cullinan 9-2 3rd

.10 Super Play: 6/SCR with 2-4-5-8-9 with 2-4-5-8-9 with 2-4-5-8-9


<$75 P4 Play:

Fun sequence with big potential for quality return. Key is skein starter where baby turf route has wide permutations..

6: 7-8-10
7: 5-6
8: 4-5-7-10
9: 5-6/SCR-8 (SCR gets 11 as post time favorite)

3x2x4x3 = $72 $1 P4 (7,11,12,13/6/7/8) Paid $926.00


Good luck!
Steve

[Arletta]

The 3rd and the 6th look pretty tough IMO. I was actually a bit intrigued with McPeeks horse as an interesting long shot in the 6th.


Best of luck again today Steve

[Sightseek]

The first is practically written for Chad Brown's horse as it just makes the field by a day.

[Kasept]

SAR SCR/CHG'S

I was hoping you liked Mayday Maria. Trying to convince myself to play the pick 4.

[Sightseek]

Originally Posted by Coach Pants

I was hoping you liked Mayday Maria. Trying to convince myself to play the pick 4.

I like her....You better not play.

Originally Posted by Sightseek

I like her....You better not play.

That goes vice-versa yanno

[kgar311]

Originally Posted by Kasept

SAR SCR/CHG'S

Can someone post these please? My work comp is blocking them

[Arletta]

Originally Posted by kgar311

Can someone post these please? My work comp is blocking them

Saratoga Changes for Fri Jul 30 2010
Track Conditions: Current Weather-Mostly Sunny 77 Degrees, Turf-Firm, Dirt-Fast
(Updated at 01:01:11 PM)
Race 1 2 SLAMM'N LOU scratched (Reason: Trainer)
10 OLD MAN BUCK scratched (Reason: Main-Track-Only)

Race 2 No Changes

Race 3 No Changes

Race 4 4 HARBOR CHIMES scratched (Reason: Trainer)
10 ENCRYPTION CODE scratched (Reason: Trainer)
12 SPA CITY LOVER scratched (Reason: Main-Track-Only)

Race 5 1 HOLLYWOOD HILLS scratched (Reason: Trainer)
2 DANA'S BELL scratched (Reason: Trainer)

Race 6 11 WINTER MEMORIES scratched (Reason: Also-Eligible)
12 DYNAMIC HOLIDAY scratched (Reason: Also-Eligible)
13 A BRILLIANT IDEA scratched (Reason: Also-Eligible)

Race 7 No Changes

Race 8 1A GIRL BAR scratched (Reason: Also-Eligible)
11 SWEET MADNESS scratched (Reason: Also-Eligible)
12 PRECISION FARMING scratched (Reason: Also-Eligible)
13 GENTLE RIDE scratched (Reason: Also-Eligible)

Race 9 4 DIVISION WINNER scratched (Reason: Trainer)
12 RUNWEISER scratched (Reason: Also-Eligible)
13 WISHINGONADREAM scratched (Reason: Also-Eligible)
14 DBL NVISABL GEORGE scratched (Reason: Also-Eligible)
15 GLOBAL GENIUS (IRE) scratched (Reason: Also-Eligible)

[jms62]

Nice Hit on the Early Steve

[atolunch]

Great job yet again Steve!!

Here's to keeping the roll going.

Congrats and thanks.

[intense]

thanks for the exacta in the fleet indian! your the best!

[Scav]

I am probably close to last in hearing this but I guess Dutrow doesn't like his horse in the last at all. I was told to use 2,5,9,10 but I am not driving up to make the bets

[ateamstupid]

Originally Posted by Scav

I am probably close to last in hearing this but I guess Dutrow doesn't like his horse in the last at all. I was told to use 2,5,9,10 but I am not driving up to make the bets

On paper he looks like he'd have to fall down to lose but only 9-5 on the board.

[Scav]

Originally Posted by Scav

I am probably close to last in hearing this but I guess Dutrow doesn't like his horse in the last at all. I was told to use 2,5,9,10 but I am not driving up to make the bets

LOL....

[ateamstupid]

That's two late scratched chalks today.

[Scav]

Originally Posted by ateamstupid

That's two late scratched chalks today.

Three...4 in the 3rd also

[ateamstupid]

He did it again!