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#1
01-08-2011, 10:34 AM
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SAT - Tampa Bay Downs
Late Pick 4
Race 7 - MSW 3YO Fillies 6F 7 - Potenza Bella (12-1 ML) Bet to 3.50-1 in debut in 11 horse field, but disappointed backers with an 8th place finish. I'm willing to use the sloppy track as an excuse. Place and show horse from that race both came back to win next out. Blinks added and Willie jumps on board. Passley has some solid numbers, most impressively winning sprints at 21% (from 61 starters) for an insane ROI of $4.01. I can't imagine this one being anywhere near the ML, but I will have a few tickets built around this gal. She is a full sister to Laughing Matters (40-7-7-6) who had all 7 of her wins in dirt sprints. 3 - Paulette Caveat (5-1 ML) The wildcard in this race. Centeno jumps up for a trainer with no starters last year. Only 2 works showing, both sub :48 halfs at Ocala Training Center, that really don't mean much as that track has traditionally produced fast workout times. Tote board will be the obvious clue as to what this one is about. Dam has dropped 13 foals, 12 of them have race and 11 of them have won, her most productive being Absoulute Heaven (32-9-8-6) 2nd 9 - Line It Up (6-1 ML) Plenty of works on tap for Forest Wildcat gal. Goncalves has yet to ride a winner for Catalano, but both are top notch and too good to ignore. Race 8 - Starter Handicap 1Mile Turf Hard not to love a race like this. Bunch of ole hard knockers still going at it. National Hero 9yo, Hunting Print 8yo, Safety Zone 7yo, Almuraad 10yo, Starship Supreme 7yo.  3 - Hunting Print (12-1 ML) Given some time off since mid October and back in the hands of Delacour. Should sit a good trip with a few of these looking like they want the front end. Will need a lot to go his way, but a must include for me at what should be a juicy price. 5 - Safety Zone (3-2 ML) Hot claim box item up North will most likely be odds on at post time as just about any race of races last year at Woodbine take this one easily. Most likely a single for many people. 1st 4 - Baltic Shore (6-1 ML ) Another that should sit a nice trip and may be there at the end should the chalk not fire. 2nd 9th - The Pelican 6F 1 - Wildcat Frankie (3-1 ML) Obvious gate to wire threat. Any slight breather Centeno can give him makes him even more dangerous. 9 - Guam Typhoon (7-2 ML) A real threat should anyone put any early pressure on Frankie. Will be coming on late. 4th 8 - See I A (6-1 ML) Only the great Jamie Ness can take a Lambholm Stable homebred and turn him into a 80's-90's beyer running machine  . Comes in off 4 wins in a row. Obvious threat with the juice. 1st 10th - Claiming 10N2L 7F 6 - Zachary Cherryboy (8-1 ML) VET SCRATCH 2 - Lending Freeze (4-1 ML) Dangerous right back. Taylor Hole going for 3rd win of the meet and it's not even Mid-January?!?!  1st7 - Saint From Spain (15-1 ML) Exacta Bob angle. 4th 11 - Petey Bedouin (10-1 ML) These are the kind that Wasiluk and Centeno normally tear my tickets up. Broke maiden last year for same price with Centeno up. 2nd Last edited by GPK : 01-08-2011 at 04:56 PM. 
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#3
01-08-2011, 11:13 AM
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Don't dismiss Tommy's Memory in the feature, David Amiss be damned....
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#4
01-08-2011, 11:27 AM
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You're killing me. Raymond is ice cold, so I am staying away. I will let him beat me.
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#6
01-08-2011, 12:04 PM
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Good luck Kev
I'm w/ Bigs on the 6 - but can also see him getting hooked by Wildcat Frankie on the front - that scenario pretty much sets up Guam Typhoon perfectly. What's up w/ Ronnie Allen Jr.? Off mounts yesterday and off all again today... Did he get hurt?
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#7
01-08-2011, 12:22 PM
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#8
01-08-2011, 10:10 PM
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#10
01-08-2011, 01:21 PM
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Wow, it looks like Hossy has broke into Kev's account and is posting from it again.
__________________
Felix Unger talking to Oscar Madison: "Your horse could finish third by 20 lengths and they still pay you? And you have been losing money for all these years?!"
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