Hypothetical Derby Trainer Prop Bet

[dalakhani]

Is there a prop/future bet available right now where you can bet on a trainer to win the derby?

Where would you set the odds for Todd Pletcher to win the 2011 derby? It would seem to me that he would have to be no higher than 2/1 but that's just pulling a number out of the air based on uncle mo's closing odds in pool 1 along with his other contenders. Would 2-1 be a good price?

Where would you set baffert's line?

If this is a widely available wager, please pardon my ignorance.

[The Indomitable DrugS]

DrugSFair.com odds:

Todd Pletcher: 5/2
Bob Baffert: 6/1
Nick Zito: 8/1
Kiaran McLaughlin: 10/1
Bill Mott: 10/1
Ken McPeak: 18/1
Steve Asmussen: 20/1
Kathy Ritvo: 20/1
John Sadler: 25/1
Neil Howard: 30/1
Cannon Shell: 90/1

[justindew]

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

DrugSFair.com odds:

Todd Pletcher: 5/2
Bob Baffert: 6/1
Nick Zito: 8/1
Kiaran McLaughlin: 10/1
Bill Mott: 10/1
Ken McPeak: 18/1
Steve Asmussen: 20/1
Kathy Ritvo: 20/1
John Sadler: 25/1
Neil Howard: 30/1
Cannon Shell: 90/1

5/2 on Pletcher is a joke and you obviously aren't thinking clearly.

[The Indomitable DrugS]

I'd make Uncle Mo either 7/2 or 4/1 right now.

After him - you have what - Stay Thirsty (50/1) Bretheran (50/1) Cal Nation (50/1)

[justindew]

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

I'd make Uncle Mo either 7/2 or 4/1 right now.

After him - you have what - Stay Thirsty (50/1) Bretheran (50/1) Cal Nation (50/1)

I smell a second bet in 7 hours.

Will you seriously give me 50-1 on Bretheren and Stay Thirsty?

[The Indomitable DrugS]

Originally Posted by justindew

I smell a second bet in 7 hours.

Will you seriously give me 50-1 on Bretheren and Stay Thirsty?

Bretheren is going to take such an easy path into the KY Derby - and because of his pedigree and connections - he's almost certain to be wildly overbet. It's pretty safe i'll be playing against him in the markets if he wins soft at Tampa.

Stay Thirsty will also be MUCH shorter than 50/1 if he makes the race - but I'd put his true chances at that right now.

[jms62]

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

DrugSFair.com odds:

Todd Pletcher: 5/2
Bob Baffert: 6/1
Nick Zito: 8/1
Kiaran McLaughlin: 10/1
Bill Mott: 10/1
Ken McPeak: 18/1
Steve Asmussen: 20/1
Kathy Ritvo: 20/1
John Sadler: 25/1
Neil Howard: 30/1
Cannon Shell: 90/1

I can scrape up 1/2 a mil and will go all in that Cannon Shell will not win the derby if anyone is interested.

[Scav]

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

DrugSFair.com odds:

Todd Pletcher: 5/2
Bob Baffert: 6/1
Nick Zito: 8/1
Kiaran McLaughlin: 10/1
Bill Mott: 10/1
Ken McPeak: 18/1
Steve Asmussen: 20/1
Kathy Ritvo: 20/1
John Sadler: 25/1
Neil Howard: 30/1
Cannon Shell: 90/1

If you moved Cannon Shell up to 175/1, I'd like it for 10 pesos please.

[The Indomitable DrugS]

Originally Posted by Scav

If you moved Cannon Shell up to 175/1, I'd like it for 10 pesos please.

I'm fearful GBBob/Cannon Shell are going to a pull a War Emblem move - and buy something that wins the fastest Derby prep race.