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#1
05-12-2011, 07:41 AM
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5/12: Churchill (P6/Hi-5 C/O's); Hollywood (P5/P6 C/O's)
Another Derby, another carryover bonanza left in its' wake. $515k P6 and $220k Hi-5 pots lay in wait Thursday on an approachable series of races at the Downs. Meanwhile, Hollywood has its' own pair of bonus pools with remainders of $107k in the P5 and $91k in the sextet. Thoughts below, with Marty McGee visiting ATR at 9:30a to preview the Kentucky jackpots.
Good day of racing Wednesday at Belmont with a great deal of success on the first half of the card as the $240+ early P4 and a $70 overlay P3 on races 2-4 helped build a nice cushion. Tough to find $60 winner of the 6th derailed the late P4. Hope you did well! CHURCHILL DOWNS POST-SCRATCHES 5th: CLM, F&M-3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD, Super) $515k P6 Carryover Starts Here.. Most Likely: #8 Donnaguska 7-2 2nd Best Value: #12 Dreymore 8-1 3rd Next Best: #7 Gaelic Lass 3-1 WON ($4.80) Super Add: #11 Lookslikelove 12-1 6th 6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #9 Muhaaseb 7-2 4th Next Best: #4 Gypsy Wind 3-1 7th Best Value: #2 Awesome Review 8-1 WON ($12.00) Super Add: #8 Devine Revelation 5-1 8th 7th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #4 Patine 7-2 8th Best Value: #3 Little Bit Tiny 12-1 6th Next Best: #11 Anabaa's Fortune 9-2 WON ($11.80) Exotics Use: #5 She Can Fly 4-1 5th 8th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #3 Cherry Included 9-5 WON ($4.60) Best Value: #6 Rollin Jai Jai 10-1 8th Next Best: #8 Starkey 6-1 9th Super Add: #9 China Melissa 8-1 7th 9th: CLM, 3+, 5f-T (DD, Super) Best Value: #3 Parioli's Trick 5-1 3rd Next Best: #5 Free Brave 3-1 4th Exotics Use: #1 Lookn Mighty Fast 7-2 2nd Super Add: #4 Tangled Sheets 4-1 WON ($13.20) 10th: MDN CLM, 3+, 1m (Super, Super Hi-5) $220k Hi-5 Carryover.. Most Likely: #7 Tactical Man 4-1 8th Best Value: #4 Miami Rockstar 10-1 6th Next Best: #6 Cowboy Sam 5-1 10th Exotics Use: #3 Waylon's Ghost 20-1 11th Hi-5 Play: #9 Blue Solitude 6-1 3rd <$100 Super Hi-5 Play: A: 7 B: 4-6 C: 3-4-6 D: 3-4-6-7-9 E: All 1x2x2x3x7 = $84 <$100 P6 Play: 5: 7-8-12 6: 4-9 7: 3-4 8: 3 9: 3-5 10: 4-7 3x2x2x1x2x2 = 48 x $2 = $96 <$75 P4 Play: 7: 3-4-5-7-11 8: 3-6 9: 1-3-5 10: 3-4-6-7-9 5x2x3x5 = 150 x .50 = $75 HOLLYWOOD PARK POST-SCRATCHES 1st: CLM, 3yo-F, 5.5f (P5, P3, DD, Super) $107k .50 P5 Carryover Starts Here.. Most Likely: #5 Roulette It Roll 5-2 - Best Value: #3 Desperate Measures 5-1 WON ($6.20) Next Best: #1 Meter Me Gone 9-5 2nd Exotics Use: #6 Diamond Journey 12-1 4th 2nd: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #4 All the Love 3-1 WON ($9.40) Next Best: #3 Moonstruck Maya 9-5 2nd Exotics Use: #6 Going for a Spin 8-5 3rd Super Add: #5 Miss Mittagong 6-1 5th 3rd: Cal-MSW, 2yo-F, 4.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super) $91k $2 P6 Carryover Starts Here.. Most Likely: #5 Gogi 2-1 WON ($5.80) Best Value: #4 Vicki Victoria 8-1 2nd Next Best: #2 Dolphin Bay 7-2 Super Add: #9 Molly's All Heart 3-1 4th: MDN CLM, 3+, 5.5f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #6 Party Ruler 4-1 - Next Best: #8 Free From My Ex 5-1 4th Exotics Use: #9 You Little Devil 20-1 3rd Super Add: #4 Nisus 5-2 WON ($12.20) 5th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #8 Vikkilee 2-1 4th Next Best: #9 Marrymeonemoretime 9-2 3rd Best Value: #2 Entabeni 8-1 2nd Super Add: #3 Sleep Tight 7-2 WON ($9.40) <$75 P5 Play: 1: 1-3-5 2: 3-4 3: 2-4-5 4: 6-8 5: 2-3-8-9 3x2x3x2x4 = 144 x .50 = $72 6th: CLM, 3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #1 Afleet Deal 4-1 3rd Best Value: #6 Gallant Gent 10-1 5th Next Best: #3 Star Nicholas 6-1 2nd 7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f (DD, Super) Best Value: #3 Kate's Event 9-2 5th Next Best: #2 Cigar Man 7-2 4th Exotics Use: #4 Burj Dubai 2-1 3rd Super Add: #6 Uh Oh Bango 5-2 WON ($8.00) 8th: MDN CLM, 3+, 5.5f (Super, Super Hi-5) Most Likely: #3 Gutshot Straight 7-5 WON ($3.00) Best Value: #2 Gifted Student 10-1 4th Exotics Use: #10 Cabo San Lucas 7-2 3rd Super Add: #8 Smokin Bomb 15-1 2nd <$150 P6 Play: 3: 4-5 4: 6 5: 2-3-8-9 6: 1-3-6 7: 2-3-4 8: 3 2x1x4x3x3x1 = 72 x $2 = $144 <$50 P4 Play: 5: 2-3-8-9 6: 1-3-6 7: 2-3-4 8: 2-3 4x3x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 05-12-2011 at 07:57 PM. 
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#2
05-12-2011, 12:13 PM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#4
05-12-2011, 02:35 PM
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For play-along purposes only (not home to play for real)
Hollywood pick 5 1,5 3,6 2,5,9 2,6,7,8 3,8,9 $72 bucks Good Luck
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Felix Unger talking to Oscar Madison: "Your horse could finish third by 20 lengths and they still pay you? And you have been losing money for all these years?!"
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#5
05-12-2011, 04:49 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#9
05-12-2011, 03:06 PM
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Total CD P6 Pool; $2,105,465
$1.6 million -- 3x original pool-- bet in today
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#10
05-12-2011, 03:44 PM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#12
05-12-2011, 04:48 PM
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That was a masterpiece by Cornelio in the BEL 8th.
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Hybrid Mode
