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#1
07-13-2011, 10:13 PM
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7/14: Hollywood Park ($109k C/O); Belmont Park (9th)
Return to New York from Florida Thursday after 2 very pleasant weeks. Preparations for 'At the Races' 5th season broadcasting from Carolina Barbecue in the Saratoga backyard are in full swing, and everything points to a great 7 week stand at the Spa. As good as summer racing is when Del Mar (Wednesday) and Saratoga open (Friday), the last several weeks and weekends have provided top flight entertainment and wagering opportunities already. Flirted with P6 score at Belmont Saturday, but had to settle for the $140 conso and solid $383 P4. There were some nice numbers to poach in the Delaware and Summit of Speed sequences as well. Hope everybody did well... Hollywood offers another midweek carryover Thursday -- this one almost $110k. When we last encountered this opportunity, two weeks ago, the total pot soared towards $1,000,000.
HOLLYWOOD PARK PRE-SCRATCHES 3rd: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super) Top pair should get us through first leg.. Most Likely: #1 SCR Best Value: #6 Entabeni 4-1 WON ($7.60) Next Best: #5 SCR Super Add: #4 Subpeona the Dress 2-1 4th 4th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super) If Town Belle doesn't win this, don't know when she will.. Most Likely: #6 Town Belle 5-2 WON ($4.60) Next Best: #2 On Your Mark 2-1 7th Best Value: #4 She Can Roar 8-1 6th Super Add: #1 Team Builder 7-2 5th 5th: Cal-MSW, 3+, 6f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super) Trickiest event of the sequence. If it's not Madeoftherightstuf (2-1), then it's anybody.. Most Likely: #8 Madeoftherightstuf 2-1 7th Best Value: #2 Nofty 6-1 WON ($15.00) Next Best: #4 Kingpin Ryno 5-2 2nd Super Add: #3 Valen 10-1 5th 6th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super) Very well-matched group.. Best Value: #5 Legal Separation 6-1 WON ($20.80) Next Best: #4 Chiloquin 5-2 2nd Exotics Use: #6 Gator Warrior 5-2 4th Super Add: #3 Master Chef 2-1 6th 7th: ALW/C, F&M-3+, 6f-T (DD, Super) Unzip Me is formidable and exceedingly likely, but she's not unbeatable.. Most Likely: #3 Unzip Me 6-5 2nd Next Best: #2 Seperate Forest 2-1 5th Exotics Use: #1 Broken Dreams 3-1 WON ($7.40) 8th: Cal-MDN CLM, 2yo, 5f (Super, Super Hi-5) Firster Run for Miles may be on a par with the double-dropping fave Pedlars Way.. Most Likely: #1 Pedlars Way 5-2 2nd Next Best: #3 Run for Miles 7-2 4th Best Value: #8 Grumpy Small Mouth 5-1 WON ($9.60) Super Add: #2 Insightful Boy 10-1 7th Hi-5 Play: #10 Taylor Marini 20-1 3rd <$150 P6 Play: 3: 1/SCR-6 4: 6 5: 2-8 6: 4-5-6 7: 2-3 8: 1-3-8 1x1x2x3x2x3 = 36 x $2 = $72 $2 Pick 6 (6/6,9/2/5/1/8) Paid $617.20 (5OF6) x 2 = $1,234.40 <$50 P4 Play: 5: 2-4-8 6: 1-3-4-5-6 7: 2-3 8: 1-3-8 3x5x2x3 = 90 x .50 = $45 BELMONT PARK -- SPOT RACE PRE-SCRATCHES 9th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f-IT Don't always eagerly attack turf sprints due to their randomness, but vulnerability of 5-2 favorite #12 Karakorum Elektra makes this too interesting to pass up. Yes, she's dropping down to Empire company for the first time since fall '09, is third off the break and should get a pace to stalk or close into, but she's also 7yo now and hasn't finished with much oomph in the pair of modest overnight stakes that have started her season. There are a variety of options to use at generous numbers in this spot, and a bulbous set of mutuels could easily emerge.. Best Value: #4 Considerate 10-1: Continues to progress; Invariably ITM.. 3rd Exotics Use: #9 Raffie's Rose 15-1: 2nd/break & effort 10/10 fits here.. 5th Next Best: #8 Rosa Salvaje 6-1: Best of speeds away since GP open ALW score.. 4th Super Add: #7 Sezzana 15-1: Diploma'd BEL lawn 'back when'; Will be ignored.. 9th Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 07-15-2011 at 05:35 AM. 
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#2
07-13-2011, 10:41 PM
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SB, where you getting your ML odds from? They are different from what Formulator is showing. You have Subpoena the Dress as 6-1 and I am seeing 2-1. They are different for your other 3 selections in that same race, as well.
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#3
07-13-2011, 10:50 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#4
07-13-2011, 10:53 PM
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 and all, but I'm trying to run a tight ship around here, so lets get on the ball, k?
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#6
07-14-2011, 02:54 PM
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Contest play
1,4,7 2,6,9 1,4,8 1,3,4,6 1,2,3 1,3,8 $1944
__________________
Felix Unger talking to Oscar Madison: "Your horse could finish third by 20 lengths and they still pay you? And you have been losing money for all these years?!"
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#7
07-14-2011, 06:57 PM
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Nice run so far. Good luck in the last 2 legs.
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#8
07-14-2011, 08:07 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#9
07-14-2011, 08:35 PM
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Tough one Steve.. Nice work!
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#11
07-14-2011, 08:52 PM
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#13
07-14-2011, 11:01 PM
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Nice job Steve. Good opinions.
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Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB
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#15
07-14-2011, 11:08 PM
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#17
07-15-2011, 05:38 AM
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Clay, Morty, Gus, Andy, Matt, Tom:
Thanks very much..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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Hybrid Mode
