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#1
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BC Classic after 6 furlongs based on pace figures
Assuming everyone has an even start, is ridden with the normal riding tactics, and runs their average type of race -- this is how the field should be postitioned as they cross the half mile pole based on pace figures.
Game On Dude: (Joint leader) Uncle Mo: (Joint leader) To Honor And Serve: (3rd by 1.5 lengths) Stay Thirsty: (4th by 2.75 lengths) Havre De Grace: (5th by 3.5 lengths) Flat Out: (6th by 4.5 lengths) Rattlesnake Bridge: (7th by 7 lengths) Ruler On Ice: (8th by 9.25 lengths) Drosselmeyer: (9th by 10 lengths) Prayer For Relief: (Joint 10th by 11 lengths) Headache: (Joint 10th by 11 lengths) Ice Box: (12th by 14 lengths) So You Think: ???? |
#2
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How about at 10f? |
#3
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I only bother with the pace calls.
However, at 10fs -- it's basically a two horse race between Flat Out and Havre De Grace with Uncle Mo the only true wildcard on the win end. |
#4
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Am I wrong to think that at this distance, with this pace that Havre De Grace wont be in the triple? It feels like Flat Out or Mo to me.
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#5
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I think Headache is the one horse who has run a lot of races that are better than looked on paper.
I just can't imagine how he's going to pass 10 horses and make up 10 or so lengths on the final four furlongs... but he won't be stopping. Flat Out is the only horse I think you can trust in regard to a top 3 finish. |
#6
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These projections seem unrealistic.
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#7
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#8
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#9
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are people here off of mo because of rock tard hen?
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#10
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Go back before I came around, people have been hating. Even last year, you know that. Silly question.
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#11
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have people not seen this field? it almost has to be you dude. |
#12
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If he is right he is easy. All this talk about the Havre de Grace is silly. Its Mo or Flat Out. Check out HDG pp's. She runs the same solid race every time. All the sudden she jumps up in the Woodward. Feels like that number is a bit high to make Flat Outs second place finish fit. Her 10f race against Blind Luck was not her best, so why is she so strong against Mo and Flat Out. She is a total toss for me on the win end. Mo is the only horse that's brilliant, and hopefully he is doing well enough to show it. |
#13
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I'm not off Mo entirely, if he was in the mile I would be all over him. I just don't like the idea of him stretching out at such a short price.
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#14
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i am off him because of the race length, which is ground he has never run before. and with the odds....no thanks.
__________________
Books serve to show a man that those original thoughts of his aren't very new at all. Abraham Lincoln |
#15
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Oh, and this is bad news for 'Mo...
__________________
Alcohol, the cause and solution to all of life's problems. -Homer Simpson |
#16
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Prayer for Relief to be scratched from Classic. A case of the "One Hole Flu"?
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