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  #1  
Old 10-31-2011, 06:00 PM
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Calzone Lord Calzone Lord is offline
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Default BC Classic after 6 furlongs based on pace figures

Assuming everyone has an even start, is ridden with the normal riding tactics, and runs their average type of race -- this is how the field should be postitioned as they cross the half mile pole based on pace figures.


Game On Dude: (Joint leader)
Uncle Mo: (Joint leader)
To Honor And Serve: (3rd by 1.5 lengths)
Stay Thirsty: (4th by 2.75 lengths)
Havre De Grace: (5th by 3.5 lengths)
Flat Out: (6th by 4.5 lengths)
Rattlesnake Bridge: (7th by 7 lengths)
Ruler On Ice: (8th by 9.25 lengths)
Drosselmeyer: (9th by 10 lengths)
Prayer For Relief: (Joint 10th by 11 lengths)
Headache: (Joint 10th by 11 lengths)
Ice Box: (12th by 14 lengths)
So You Think: ????
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  #2  
Old 10-31-2011, 06:03 PM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Calzone Lord View Post
Assuming everyone has an even start, is ridden with the normal riding tactics, and runs their average type of race -- this is how the field should be postitioned as they cross the half mile pole based on pace figures.


Game On Dude: (Joint leader)
Uncle Mo: (Joint leader)
To Honor And Serve: (3rd by 1.5 lengths)
Stay Thirsty: (4th by 2.75 lengths)
Havre De Grace: (5th by 3.5 lengths)
Flat Out: (6th by 4.5 lengths)
Rattlesnake Bridge: (7th by 7 lengths)
Ruler On Ice: (8th by 9.25 lengths)
Drosselmeyer: (9th by 10 lengths)
Prayer For Relief: (Joint 10th by 11 lengths)
Headache: (Joint 10th by 11 lengths)
Ice Box: (12th by 14 lengths)
So You Think: ????

How about at 10f?
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  #3  
Old 10-31-2011, 06:10 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 View Post
How about at 10f?
I only bother with the pace calls.

However, at 10fs -- it's basically a two horse race between Flat Out and Havre De Grace with Uncle Mo the only true wildcard on the win end.
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Old 10-31-2011, 06:12 PM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Calzone Lord View Post
I only bother with the pace calls.

However, at 10fs -- it's basically a two horse race between Flat Out and Havre De Grace with Uncle Mo the only true wildcard on the win end.
Am I wrong to think that at this distance, with this pace that Havre De Grace wont be in the triple? It feels like Flat Out or Mo to me.
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  #5  
Old 10-31-2011, 06:20 PM
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I think Headache is the one horse who has run a lot of races that are better than looked on paper.

I just can't imagine how he's going to pass 10 horses and make up 10 or so lengths on the final four furlongs... but he won't be stopping.

Flat Out is the only horse I think you can trust in regard to a top 3 finish.
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  #6  
Old 10-31-2011, 06:25 PM
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Indian Charlie Indian Charlie is offline
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These projections seem unrealistic.
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  #7  
Old 11-01-2011, 07:34 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Calzone Lord View Post
I think Headache is the one horse who has run a lot of races that are better than looked on paper.

I just can't imagine how he's going to pass 10 horses and make up 10 or so lengths on the final four furlongs... but he won't be stopping.

Flat Out is the only horse I think you can trust in regard to a top 3 finish.
This is like Stately Victor all over again. Do you have a man-crush on Maker?
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  #8  
Old 10-31-2011, 10:37 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Calzone Lord View Post
Assuming everyone has an even start, is ridden with the normal riding tactics, and runs their average type of race -- this is how the field should be postitioned as they cross the half mile pole based on pace figures.


Game On Dude: (Joint leader)
Uncle Mo: (Joint leader)
To Honor And Serve: (3rd by 1.5 lengths)
Stay Thirsty: (4th by 2.75 lengths)
Havre De Grace: (5th by 3.5 lengths)
Flat Out: (6th by 4.5 lengths)
Rattlesnake Bridge: (7th by 7 lengths)
Ruler On Ice: (8th by 9.25 lengths)
Drosselmeyer: (9th by 10 lengths)
Prayer For Relief: (Joint 10th by 11 lengths)
Headache: (Joint 10th by 11 lengths)
Ice Box: (12th by 14 lengths)
So You Think: ????
Can you do the Dirt Mile an Sprint? Pretty Please?
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  #9  
Old 10-31-2011, 10:55 PM
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are people here off of mo because of rock tard hen?
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  #10  
Old 10-31-2011, 10:59 PM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Indian Charlie View Post
are people here off of mo because of rock tard hen?
Go back before I came around, people have been hating. Even last year, you know that. Silly question.
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  #11  
Old 10-31-2011, 11:14 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RockTardHen1985 View Post
Go back before I came around, people have been hating. Even last year, you know that. Silly question.
yeah, i know, but haven't these people seen his last two starts?

have people not seen this field?

it almost has to be you dude.
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  #12  
Old 10-31-2011, 11:22 PM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Indian Charlie View Post
yeah, i know, but haven't these people seen his last two starts?

have people not seen this field?

it almost has to be you dude.

If he is right he is easy. All this talk about the Havre de Grace is silly. Its Mo or Flat Out. Check out HDG pp's. She runs the same solid race every time. All the sudden she jumps up in the Woodward. Feels like that number is a bit high to make Flat Outs second place finish fit. Her 10f race against Blind Luck was not her best, so why is she so strong against Mo and Flat Out. She is a total toss for me on the win end. Mo is the only horse that's brilliant, and hopefully he is doing well enough to show it.
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  #13  
Old 11-01-2011, 07:57 AM
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3kings 3kings is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Indian Charlie View Post
are people here off of mo because of rock tard hen?
I'm not off Mo entirely, if he was in the mile I would be all over him. I just don't like the idea of him stretching out at such a short price.
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  #14  
Old 11-01-2011, 10:24 AM
Danzig Danzig is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Indian Charlie View Post
are people here off of mo because of rock tard hen?
i am off him because of the race length, which is ground he has never run before. and with the odds....no thanks.
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  #15  
Old 11-01-2011, 10:34 AM
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i am off him because of the race length, which is ground he has never run before. and with the odds....no thanks.
Great Avatar! My write-in candidate was the ice-cream crapping Taco.
Oh, and this is bad news for 'Mo...
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  #16  
Old 11-01-2011, 10:40 AM
parsixfarms parsixfarms is offline
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Prayer for Relief to be scratched from Classic. A case of the "One Hole Flu"?
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