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#1
01-07-2012, 04:46 AM
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1/7: Aqueduct (P4); Gulfstream (5th-11th); Santa Anita (Stakes, MSW)
Interesting afternoon at NY and FL Friday with chalky Aqueduct quad coming in and lucrative Gulfstream P4 proving achingly elusive. Fun afternoon of racing ahead. More later but off to Schenectady now for "Loose on the Lead" on CapOTB TV-12 with Graham Motion and Eoin Harty visiting..
AQUEDUCT POST-SCRATCHES 6th: CLM, 4+, 1m-70y (P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #1 Butler Cabin 4-1 8th Best Value: #5 Troponin 8-1 9th Next Best: #4 Copper Forest 3-1 2nd Exotics Use: #3 Revelator 6-1 5th 7th: 39th Busanda, 3yo-F, 1m-70y (P3, DD, Super) Doesn't feel like there is much mystery to this. Could Motion, KMc and Contessa fill the triples in both of these stakes? Most Likely: #1 Sweet Seventeen 8-5 2nd Best Value: #3 Bourbonstreetgirl 7-2 5th Next Best: #5 Captivating Lass 2-1 WON ($5.80) Super Add: #7 Terralba 10-1 4th 8th: 37th Count Fleet, 3yo, 1m-70y (DD, Super) Quirky little running of this with three inside runners all stretching out around 2 turns for the first time. If left to themselves, there is a possibility that some combination of them utilize typically slick strip to take field a long way. Contessa Speightstown rig may get first run, a situation in which pesky Cohen is handy. Dominguez gets Godolphin BC Juvy disappointment Alpha and is the right guy to get Bernardini colt back to in-touch-with-field trip, but 4-5 is a little tough to take. Can't discount Motion's Shackleford sib Stephanoatsee in thiss pot either. Fun edition of this kickoff towards the Wood Memorial.. Best Value: #6 Speightscity 8-1 5th Next Best: #5 Alpha 4-5 WON ($3.60) Exotics Use: #4 Stephanoatsee 6-1 2nd Super Add: #2 How Do I Win 12-1 4th 9th: NY-MDN CLM, 3yo, 6f (Super) Most Likely: #4 Tannery Town 5-1 5th Best Value: #1 Brechin 12-1 9th Exotics Use: #5 Exciting Missle 20-1 4th Super Add: #2 Late SCR <$75 P4 Play: 6: 1-3-4-5 7: 1-3-5 8: 1-2-3-4-5-6 9: 1-4 4x3x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72 GULFSTREAM PARK POST-SCRATCHES 5th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T/12' (P3, DD, Super) Race certainly goes through Pletcher-Werthheimer bay miss Medolina, but hard not to wonder about upside of Joe Shields' homebred Game Fair from Motion out of owner's MGSW mare Passing Shot. A forgotten contemporary of Sightseek, You, Storm Flag Flying and Wild Spirit, the A.P. Indy daughter won '03 Personal Ensign as part of a $600k career but seems to be having a difficult time carrying foals with Game Fair only her 2nd registered drop.. Most Likely: #3 Medolina 5-2 WON ($3.60) Best Value: #5 Game Fair 5-1 8th Next Best: #9 Ten K Cat 5-1 5th Exotics Use: #8 Personally Yours 8-1 6th 6th: MSW, 3yo, 1m (P6, P3, DD, Super) Plenty of early sophs with upside here and a bit of a conundrum with 4 firsters and 5 second time starters among them.. Most Likely: #6 Teeth of the Dog 8-1 2nd Best Value: #10 Twill Be 15-1 9th Next Best: #2 Unbridled Minister 4-1 WON ($14.60) Exotics Use: #7 Thessalonian 8-1 6th 7th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 1m (P5, P3, DD, Super) $59k P5 carryover starts here and race will be closely scrutinized with presence of ultra-impressive debut winners Discreet Dancer and One Sock Down.. Most Likely: #9 Discreet Dancer 8-5 WON ($3.60) Next Best: #4 One Sock Down 3-1 4th Best Value: #5 Two Is to Many 20-1 3rd Exotics Use: #2 In the Beat 8-1 7th 8th: CLM, 4+, 9f-T/72' (P4, P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #7 Mean Sax 8-1 11th Next Best: #9 Chosen Empire 5-2 5th Exotics Use: #1 Very Fair 6-1 3rd Super Add: #8 Navy Wings 30-1 7th 9th: OC/N2X, 4+, 7f (P3, DD, Super) As discussed with Mike Welsch and Gus Alonso Friday on ATR, a deep and treacherous seven-eighths heat that doesn't allow for a multi-race breather ahead of 14 horse feature that follows. Adding to the difficulty is 10+ month returnees Golden Moka, Latigo Shore and Admiral Perry. And note that only Close It Out is lone participant that has seen GP winner's circle.. Best Value: #7 Strike Ahead 10-1 9th Next Best: #8 Shrewd One 6-1 2nd Exotics Use: #1 Close It Out 5-1 4th Super Add: #6 Admiral Perry 6-1 5th 10th: 12th Marshua's River (G3), F&M-4+, 8.5f-T/72' (DD, Super) This is some deep group for $100,000. Daveron and Tapitsfly less than 2 lengths apart when 1-2 in Ballston Spa and could see this coming down to the same pair again today. Daveron purchased by Mrs. Weber for Live Oak broodmare band, but win here would be a nice send off. Four year old Louvakhova and 5yo La Reine Lionne have potential to be division forces in '12. Casse's Elusive love is going to be lost on the board and has chance to juice exotics.. Most Likely: #3 Daveron 3-1 5th Best Value: #6 La Reine Lionne 8-1 2nd Next Best: #9 Louvakhova 4-1 12th Exotics Use: #10 Tapitsfly 6-1 3rd Super Add: #12 Elusive Love 12-1 7th 11th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 1m-T/12' (Super, Super Hi-5) $27k Super Hi-5 carryover here and for third day in a row an uber-contentious turf test.. Best Value: #9 Slinger 12-1 9th Next Best: #3 Apse 4-1 5th Exotics Use: #6 Turkish 10-1 4th Super Add: #8 Cars and Trucks 3-1 6th Hi-5 Play: #10 Age of Exploration 12-1 WON ($13.00) <$75 P5 Play: 7: 4-9 8: 1-7-8-9 9: 7-8 10: 3-6-9 11: 3-6-9 2x4x2x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72 <$75 P4 Play: 8: 1-7-8-9 9: 7-8 10: 3-6-9 11: 3-4-6-8-9-10 4x2x3x6 = 144 x .50 = $72 SANTA ANITA POST-SCRATCHES 3rd: 12th Sham (G3), 3yo, 1m (P3, DD, Super) Santa Anita Derby Trail starts here, and while Secret Circle is the likely winner today, the horse to be keeping tabs on is Harty's Out of Bounds. By Discreet Cat out of MGSW Unbridled Elaine and a half to GSW Etched, the 17 hand head-turner should get better and better with experience and added ground.. Most Likely: #4 Secret Circle 4-5 2nd Next Best: #3 Hierro 3-1 5th Best Value: #2 Out of Bounds 5-1 WON ($22.60) 6th: MSW, 3yo, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Almost certain to be a productive group with 6 firsters including $1,000,000 Welter Weight (Bolton/Stonestreet) and already seen Consulado (Puype), Bobby Flay (Baffert) and Congrats Ski (Walsh) exiting well-regarded heat won by Tenacious Thomas.. Best Value: #5 Congrats Ski 10-1 8th Next Best: #4 Consulado 5-2 WON ($5.20) Exotics Use: #8 Welter Weight 2-1 2nd Super Add: #11 Bobby Flay 5-1 5th 8th: 75th San Pasqual (G2), 4+, 8.5f (DD, Super) Most Likely: #4 Tweebster 3-1 4th Best Value: #8 Massone 8-1 7th Next Best: #6 Tres Borrachos 5-2 2nd Exotics Use: #7 Uh Oh Bango 9-2 WON ($16.00) Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 01-08-2012 at 07:37 AM. 
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#2
01-07-2012, 11:52 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#3
01-07-2012, 11:53 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#4
01-07-2012, 11:56 AM
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Aqueduct changes include Stephanoatsee being delineated a ridgling... That means there are 3 rigs in the Count Fleet with How Do I Win and Speightcity already known. Anyone recall seeing 3 ridglings listed in one race?
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#5
01-07-2012, 01:27 PM
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Quote:
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#7
01-07-2012, 03:08 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#8
01-07-2012, 04:35 PM
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I guess we don't have to wait for Out of Bounds to mature! Sweeeet..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#12
01-07-2012, 05:15 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#14
01-07-2012, 05:36 PM
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Wild numbers at GP..
Pick 6 (2/9/12/10/5/10) Paid $414,166 Pick 5 (9/12/10/5/10) Paid $236,144 Pick 4 (12/10/5/10) Paid $53,498 Hi-5 (10-4-5-6-3) Paid $53,471
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#15
01-07-2012, 05:39 PM
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AQU C/O SUNDAY: $33k
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#16
01-07-2012, 06:12 PM
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Super impressive effort from Consulado in the SA 6th... Wow. Puype second timer.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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