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Old 01-28-2012, 06:08 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default 1/28: Gulfstream; Santa Anita (Full cards; 'Luck' P6)

GULFSTREAM PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM/N2L, 4+, 8.5f-T/96' (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #7 Exeter Road 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Best Act 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Wide Receiver 4-1 WON ($12.80)
Super Add: #2 Hold That Camera 8-1 6th


2nd: MSW, 3yo, 7.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Lots of potential here. Expect several stakes types to emerge from this ultimately. Firster Colony Strike a half to good Colizeo. Debuting Current Design dropped from MSW Elegant Designer. Note Pletcher rail runner Mordi's Miracle was favored when he dumped JV on 1/11..

Best Value: #7 Monarchic 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Quick Wit 5-1 WON ($9.60)
Exotics Use: #8 Colony Strike 6-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Stereo in Motion 12-1 5th


3rd: OC/N2X, 4+, 11.5f-T/36' (P3, DD, Super)

Intriguing turf marathon. Trip will be deciding factor..

Best Value: #3 Laureate Conductor 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Newsdad 5-2 WON ($6.00)
Exotics Use: #1 Callingahardten 15-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Solitaire 4-1 6th


4th: ALW/N!X, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T/96' (P3, DD, Super)

Head-scratcher where 6 or 7 look capable. Alluring Power could control it from up front..

Most Likely: #8 Sharnberry 4-1 4th
Best Value: #9 Last Word 6-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Affair Dabbler 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #11 Alluring Power 8-1 10th


5th: FL-SunMill Distaff, F&M-4+, 9f (P3, DD, Super)

As wonderful as Awesome Feather has been in her comeback from a tendon injury, this is her most difficulr assignment yet. Recognize that Sweet Repent is only other miss here that has won at -- or even gone -- 9 panels..

Best Value: #6 Sweet Repent 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Awesome Feather 4-5 WON ($3.60)
Exotics Use: #2 Tiz the Argument 3-1 5th
Super Add: #1 My Pal Chrisy 8-1 4th


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 6-7-8
3: 1-3-4-6
4: 4-8-9-11
5: 2-4-6

3x4x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72


6th: FL-SunMill F&M Sprint, F&M-4+, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

My man Willie Martinez will gun from rail on It's Me Mom and there really isn't a lot of other major lead-needers signed on. Rail was better Friday -- less dead anyway-- than it has been of late, and Scace's 8x winner could take them gate to wire. BC and Eclipse Champion Musical Romance has never won at GP in 4 tries, but based form appears maintained based on :48 Calder bullet a week ago. Good edition of this with upset-minded Derwin's Star and Beat the Blues hardly impossible..

Most Likely: #5 Pomeroys Pistol 3-1 6th
Best Value: #7 Beat the Blues 6-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Musical Romance 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #1 It's Me Mom 4-1 WON ($6.80)


7th: FL-SunMill Sprint, 4+, 6f (P5, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 Royal Currier 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Apriority 2-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Zero Rate Policy 3-1 4th
Super Add: #5 It'd Never Too Late 12-1 5th


8th: FL-SunMill F&M Turf, F&M-4+, 9f-T/36' ('Luck' P6, P4, P3, DD, Super)

'LUCK' P6 STARTS HERE

Best Value: #6 Askbut I Won'ttell 6-1 9th
Next Best: #5 Romacaca 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Unbridled Humor 5-2 4th
Super Add: #7 Trip for A.J. 5-1 6th


SA 4th: CA-SunMill Sensational Star, 4+, 6.5f-T

With no Caracortado, Compari figures even more tough and a Luck P6 single. Take out the 1 and 7 as well..

Most Likely: #4 Compari WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #3 Tamarack Smarty 5th
Next Best: #8 Red Defense 3rd


9th: FL-SunMill Turf, 4+, 9f-T/96' (P3, DD, Super)

Little Mike murderous controling paces..

Most Likely: #5 Little Mike 8-5 WON ($5.20)
Best Value: #4 Bell by the Ridge 20-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Bad Debt 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Slews Answer 6-1 2nd


SA 5th: CA-SunMill Crystal Waters, 4+, 8.5f

Most Likely: #5 Holladay Road 5-2 WON ($6.60)
Best Value: #3 Spud Spivens 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #4 Thirtyfirststreet 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Macho Dorado 9-2 2nd


10th: FL-SunMill Classic, 4+, 9f (DD, Super)

Good group for this..

Most Likely: #3 Adios Charlie 3-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Duke of Mischief 6-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Ron the Greek 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Turbo Compressor 2-1 3rd


SA 6th: CA-SunMill Valentine Dancer, F&M-4+, 1m-T

Unzip Me, Cayanna and La Sombre are known SCR's..

Most Likely: #9 Halo Dolly 4th
Best Value: #10 Bench Glory 5th
Next Best: #5 Chokecherymary WON ($18.80)
Exotics Use: #8 California Nectar 2nd


<$100 'Luck' P6 Play:

A-GP8: 4-5-6
B-SA4: 4
C-GP9: 4-5
D-SA5: 3-4-5-6
E-GP10: 1-3-5-7
F-SA6: 9

3x1x2x4x4x1 = $96


11th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 7.5f-T/36' (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #10 Romantic Channel 3-1 10th
Next Best: #9 Zulu Warrior 4-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Cabeus 15-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Explosive Image 20-1 8th
Super/Hi-5: #3 Side Party Ralph 12-1 4th


<$100 P5 Play:

7: 1-6-7
8: 2-4-5-6-7
9: 5
10: 1-3-5-7
11: 1-9-10

3x5x1x4x3 = 180 x .50 = $90


<$75 P4 Play:

8: 2-4-5-6-7
9: 5
10: 1-3-5-7
11: 1-3-4-5-9-10

5x1x4x6 = 120 x .50 = $60



SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: OC/N2X, 4+, 6.5f (P5, P3, Place Pick All, DD)

Capital Account an underlay at that price. Sway Away will certainly come back running for Bonde and Ro Parra homebred Light Up the Score from Asmussen can boost exotics..

Sway Away SCR'd

Best Value: #4 Light Up the Score 6-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Capital Account 6-5 WON ($2.80)
Exotics Use: #2 Details R Sketchy 8-1 3rd


2nd: Cal-MSW, 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Siempre Mio 4-1 WON ($13.20)
Next Best: #3 Madeoftherightstuff 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Mary Helen's Storm 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Goodbye Charlie 7-2 7th


3rd: 45th Santa Ysabel (G3), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

#2 Eden's Moon has SCR'd..

Most Likely: #7 Charm the Maker 3-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Killer Graces 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Lady of Shamrock 9-2 3rd


4th: CA-SunMill Sensational Star, 4+, 6.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

With no Caracortado, Compari figures even more tough and a Luck P6 single. Take out the 1 and 7 as well..

Most Likely: #4 Compari WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #3 Tamarack Smarty 5th
Next Best: #8 Red Defense 3rd


5th: CA-SunMill Crystal Waters, 4+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Holladay Road 5-2 WON ($6.60)
Best Value: #3 Spud Spivens 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #4 Thirtyfirststreet 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Macho Dorado 9-2 2nd


6th: CA-SunMill Valentine Dancer, F&M-4+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Unzip Me, Cayanna and La Sombre are known SCR's..

Most Likely: #9 Halo Dolly 4th
Best Value: #10 Bench Glory 5th
Next Best: #5 Chokecherymary WON ($18.80)
Exotics Use: #8 California Nectar 2nd


7th: OC/N1X, 4+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Runflatout 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Gator Warrior 9-2 8th
Next Best: #4 Jim's No Preacher 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Scofield Barracks 9-2 2nd


8th: CLM, F&M-4+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #9 Solerina 15-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Charm the Crowd 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Van Brit 3-1 WON ($8.00)
Super Add: #1 R Vicarious Girl 9-2 5th


9th: 55th Santa Monica S. (G1), 4+, 7f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Teddy's Promise 8-5 5th
Next Best: #6 Rumor 9-5 6th
Best Value: #2 Big Tiz 9-2 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Sugarinthemorning 4-1 2nd


10th: MSW, 3yo, 6.5f-T (Super, Super Hi-5)

$25k Super Hi-5 carryover here..

Best Value: #4 Declan 30-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Our Merv 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Chickie Charms 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #2 The Roan Ranger 4-1 6th
Hi-5 Play: #1 Montego Bay 12-1 9th


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-2-4-5
8: 1-3-4-9
9: 2-3-6
10: 4-5-6

4x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 01-28-2012 at 09:27 PM.
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  #2  
Old 01-28-2012, 10:25 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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GP SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #3  
Old 01-28-2012, 11:41 AM
Alan07 Alan07 is offline
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Posts: 1,714
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@zoecadman: Bob Baffert saying Edens Moon is an expected scratch out of the Santa Ysabel - sick.
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  #4  
Old 01-28-2012, 12:29 PM
freddymo freddymo is offline
Belmont Park
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
No Aqueduct?

Is the Sciacca barn heating up? Congrats to Dr Paul not a bad run from out of your mind and the kid gave a decent ride. A little green through the lane but somewhat encouraging.
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  #5  
Old 01-28-2012, 12:41 PM
iamthelurker iamthelurker is offline
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Scratches in the Valentine Dancer have changed the pace scenario completely...
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  #6  
Old 01-28-2012, 02:07 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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May be completely wrong, but I wasn't interested in Starformer at 3-1 let alone at 3-2. 4-8-9-11 still my interests...
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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Old 01-28-2012, 02:47 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Only at Gulfstream do you get SCR's hours after scratch time in non-stake races.. Highly usable AE #14 Let Th Kitten Purr comes out at 11:56a after SCR's announced at 10:13a.
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #8  
Old 01-28-2012, 03:36 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Bonus mutuel ($13.20) on Siempre Mio's 5-1 in SA 2nd..!
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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