Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 02-29-2012, 08:33 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,286
Default 2/29: Aqueduct (6th-9th); Gulfstream (6th-10th)

Coming off a breakeven but wholly unproductive weekend where many good opportunities were missed. Solid sequences at AQU & GP to occupy time till Thursday SA carryover..


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: S/HCP, 4+, 1m-70y (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Midnite Silver 2-1 WON ($4.70)
Best Value: #6 I Love It 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Good Law 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Budge Man 5-2 3rd


7th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

As discussed with Andy Serling on Tuesday ATR, Elusive Rumor is the stranger to work around given the established shortcomings of the first three choices..

Best Value: #4 Elusive Rumor 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #1a (POE) Bent On Glory 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Notell 3-1 WON ($7.60)
Super Add: #8 Sugar Beach 5-1 4th


8th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3yo, 6f (DD, Super)

Unusually confusing set of five. 8-5 Bizarroworld technically cleared this condition when crossing wire first before being taken down 12/29. 6-1 Silent Thunder wins this with a return to his best when with Gullo and even 15-1 Cat Paws is conceivable with Aro-Caraballo adding blinkers after fiasco in Sportswriter's big win mid-January..

Most Likely: #2 Bizarroworld 8-5 3rd
Best Value: #3 Silent Thunder 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Cat Paws 15-1 WON ($20.60)


9th: NY-MDN CLM, 3+, 1m-70y (Super)

Most Likely: #7 Sandican 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #1 El Dreamer 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Jackin My Style 5-2 WON ($6.30)
Exotics Use: #9 Pegasus Hellas 6-1 4th


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-3-6
7: 1-3-4-8
8: 1-2-3-4-5 (All)
9: 1-7

3x4x5x2 = 120 x .50 = $60



GULFSTREAM PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 5f-T/96' (P5, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Arabian Song 9-5 4th
Next Best: #5 Bala Perdida 3-1 7th
Best Value: #8 She's Gonna Float 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: 1 Donya 12-1 5th


7th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Some nice pedigree connections among the debutters including Don Adam homebred Adrina (By A. P. Indy out of MGSW Ready's Gal; half to Machen); Stunning Lady (By Indian Charlie out of owner-breeders' own wonderful MGSW Mystic Lady) and Buleria (Claiborne bred Empire Maker out of MGSW Wend). From those that have started, Fine Silver is a Bluegrass Cat out of the Cox's Ridge mare that produced Klarman-owned/Violette-trained SW Swingforthefences..

Most Likely: #8 Evandear 5-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Volcat 4-1 WON ($5.60)
Best Value: #7 Stunning Lady 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Cowgirl Kitty 15-1 9th


8th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 7.5f-T/36' (P3, DD, Super)

Hope the #13 Lizzie Bear draws in because she's very atttractive with these..

NOTE: Not only did Lizzie Bear NOT draw in, but obvious standout Millenium Star has SCR'd..

Best Value: #3 Platinum Treasure 10-1 9th
Next Best: #2 Shezi 4-1 10th
Exotics use: #12 Scrabblecat 15-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Smart Spin 5-1 3rd


9th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-T/96' (DD, Super)

Best Value: #6 Exeter Road 10-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Modest 5-1 9th
Exotics Use: #7 Quantity 3-1 WON ($6.20)
Super Add: #12 Macarthur Causeway 12-1 5th


10th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 5.5f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Despreoucupado 7-2 -
Best Value: #1 Steve's Adventures 6-1 WON ($7.00)
Next Best: #5 Daddy's Wildcat 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Footwedge 6-1 2nd
Super/Hi-5: #9 Packers Valley 6-1 -


<$75 P5 Play:

6: 5-9
7: 6-7-8
8: 2-3-4-12
9: 4-6
10: 1-7

2x3x4x2x2 = 96 x .50 = $48


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 6-7-8
8: 2-3-4-12
9: 4-6-7
10: 1-4-5-7

3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 02-29-2012 at 05:48 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 02-29-2012, 11:19 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,286
Default

AQU SCR/CHG'S

GP SCR/CHG'S
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 02-29-2012, 11:59 AM
atolunch's Avatar
atolunch atolunch is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 2,218
Default

Steve,

Are you going to tweak the P4 @ Gulfstream?

Thanks, and good luck!
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 02-29-2012, 12:22 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,286
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by atolunch View Post
Steve,

Are you going to tweak the P4 @ Gulfstream?

Thanks, and good luck!
Yeah.. That 8th race is a quagmire.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 02-29-2012, 12:26 PM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 11,208
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
Yeah.. That 8th race is a quagmire.
I thought the 9th was the quagmire. Maybe its both of those races.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 02-29-2012, 04:14 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,286
Default

VERY lucky to get the McPeek down in that photo...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 02-29-2012, 04:26 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,286
Default

Bwahahahaha!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 02-29-2012, 04:38 PM
knickslions2's Avatar
knickslions2 knickslions2 is offline
Longchamps
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Ohio
Posts: 13,558
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
Bwahahahaha!
Bring it home Steve!!
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 02-29-2012, 04:42 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,286
Default

Damn.. Mott firster gets up!

Who listened to ATR today? I think Welsch liked that Fog Happens.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 02-29-2012, 04:45 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,286
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by knickslions2 View Post
Bring it home Steve!!
Thx.. Fingers crossed here. I rarely hit the 'all' so I'd like to see it be worthwhile. I've always read and been advised against it, but it seemed like an imperitive in that 8th.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 02-29-2012, 04:58 PM
asiarush asiarush is offline
Les Bois
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 44
Question

yowserrrrrrrrrr!
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 08:54 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.