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Old 04-12-2012, 08:31 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default 4/12: Keeneland (5th-9th): Oaklawn (7th-10th)

Though I couldn't sustain any momentum Wednesday and came away generally beaten up, ATR listeners that noted Andy Serling's Tuesday suggestions had every opportunity to navigate the late P4 for a $2,200 score. Great job by Andy as the treacherous action left a P6 carryover ($22k) with no one able to tab 5 of yesterday's 6! Hope everyone did OK despite my poor lead.

More good sequences today with the G1 Madison featured at Keeneland and a pair of listed stakes at Oaklawn ahead of Friday's Apple Blossom. On the topic of OP's Racing Festival of the South, Wednesday saw an impressive win by Mamma Kimbo in the Fantasy as she effortlessly dispatched Amie's Dini in her 2nd career start and first try around two turns. Big talent.


KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: MSW, 2yo, 4.5f (P5, P3, DD, Super)

First capped juvenile race of '12! I'll dig deep and take... Wesley Ward and... Wesley Ward. #3 The Roofer (Half to SW Pace Town) may merit a slight edge over his stablemate #1 Handsome Jack given his local drills..

Most Likely: #3 The Roofer 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #1 Handsome Jack 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Joha 3-1 5th


6th: ALW/N2X, 4+, 12f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Point of Entry 3-1 WON ($6.80)
Best Value: #7 Tahoe Lake 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Belo Acteon 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Pleasant Run 6-1 4th


$1 Exacta (2-7) $15.50
$1 Trifecta (2-7-10) $62.90
$1 Superfecta (2-7-10-6) $328.50



7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Tightly packed group with favored Fantasy of Flight solid but not invincible..

Best Value: #8 Its About Midnight 6-1 10th
Next Best: #7 Fantasy of Flight 9-5 WON ($4.80)
Exotics Use: #11 Abriana 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Avid 6-1 4th


8th: Madison (G1), F&M-4+, 7f (DD, Super)

Excellent cast including '11 F&M Sprint Champ Musical Romance who handled this strip adroitly in last fall's TCA..

Most Likely: #2 Musical Romance 3-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Groupie Doll 4-1 WON ($9.80)
Best Value: #9 Ariana D 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Sugarinthemorning 5-1 6th


9th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 1m-T (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Anna Sophia 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Kitty Wine 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #10 Run a Risk 12-1 WON ($14.20)
Exotics Use: #7 Tell Me Everything 6-1 7th


<$50 P5 Play:

5: 1-3
6: 2
7: 7-8-11
8: 2-5-8-9
9: 3-4/SCR-6

2x1x3x4x3 = 72 x .50 = $36


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2-7-10
7: 7-8-11
8: 2-5-8-9
9: 3-4/SCR-6-10

3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 4 (2/6,7/8/10) Paid $331.50



OAKLAWN PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: MSW, F&M-3,4,5yo, 8.5f (P4)

Best Value: #4 Fouteengunsalute 8-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Time Counts 5-2 WON ($5.80)
Exotics Use: #8 Returned to Sender 8-1 6th
Super Add: #1 Isla 3-1 3rd


8th: 33rd Carousel, F&M-4+, 6f (P3, Super)

Very interesting group. Faves OK but there's no shortage of price players. Note Fawkes shipping from Calder with 5yo Dizney mare (#5 Omi's Vindication) looking for black type..

Best Value: #2 Mysterious Chimes 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Beat the Blues 2-1 WON ($10.80)
Exotics Use: #5 Omi's Vindication 10-1 7th
Super Add: #4 Salty Strike 5-2 4th


9th: 2nd Red Bud, F&M-4+, 8.5f (DD, Super)

SCR of Tiz Miz Sue renders ML meaningless..

Most Likely: #3 Cascabella 3rd
Best Value: #6 Another World WON ($7.00)
Next Best: #4 Remit 2nd


10th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f (Super)

Most Likely: #1 Frannie G 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Over Spiced 10-1 WON ($24.60)
Next Best: #10 Embers Glowing 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Kiss and Fly 10-1 4th


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 4-8-9
8: 2-3-4-5
9: 3-6
10: 1-8-10

3x4x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36

$0.50 Pick 4 (9/3/6/8) Paid $448.05


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 04-12-2012 at 07:00 PM.
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Old 04-12-2012, 11:53 AM
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Steve Byk
 
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KEE SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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Old 04-12-2012, 05:08 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Did you hear that? This 9th at KEE is the Pioneerof the Nile!
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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Old 04-12-2012, 05:33 PM
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Heels1989 Heels1989 is offline
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Very nice Mr Byk. Very nice.
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Old 04-12-2012, 06:18 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Heels1989 View Post
Very nice Mr Byk. Very nice.
Thanks DB.. That was sweet getting the 10 home. Doesn't go that way too often.
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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Old 04-12-2012, 06:26 PM
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Steve, sharp work - Congrats
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Old 04-12-2012, 06:34 PM
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Steve Byk
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bogey View Post
Steve, sharp work - Congrats
Thx Gus.. Had to get in the zone with a big couple of days ahead!
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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