Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 04-20-2012, 08:03 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,305
Default 4/20: Aqueduct (2nd-9th; $20k C/O)

Keeneland swings continue to be frustrating as 'main' track races regularly are won by horses whose form is tough to decipher. Lookin at Tiger snatched a win from Phoot Shoot in the 5th yesterday and on closer inspection did have the CD turf maidenbreaker last June as a race good enough to beat the ones he faced. I missed Sisterhood who took the impossible 7th, a race where any of the 10 were possible. Laid out the Appalachian in 1-2-3-4 order with Dayatthespa predictably controling the race from the opening bell to run her '12 mark to 3/3-0-0. Hope everyone did OK. $20k Aqueduct carryover on another fun Friday card. Leave for Louisville after today's ATR with Derby coverage starting live from the Downs Monday!


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


2nd: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Wildcat's Smile 2-1 WON ($4.90)
Next Best: #3 Sing Dixie Sing 8-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Alphabet Jamerica 6-1 5th


3rd: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 Musical Rain 7-2 DH-3rd
Next Best: #6 Laughing 8-5 WON ($4.30)
Exotics Use: #3 Silver Screamer 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 In Te Domine 8-1 5th


4th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

$20k P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #4 Jade Glory Again 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #6 Greyfriars 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Daddy's Wildcat 2-1 WON ($3.40)
Exotics Use: #9 Solid d'Oro 5-1 5th


5th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Wholelottashakin 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Shakeira 5-2 WON ($8.20)
Best Value: #5 Viv's Tiara 12-1 7th
Exotics Use: #9 Inimitable Romanee 3-1 2nd


<$50 P4 Play:

2: 1-3-5
3: 2-3-4-5-6
4: 4-6-7
5: 3-7

3x5x3x2 = 90 x .50 = $45

$.50 Pick 4 (5-1/6/7-3/7-7) Piad $17.37


6th: OC/S-ALW, 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Very difficult group and I opted for the best prices available. If you can fit favorite #2 Tightend Touchdown (3-1) into your plays, it's probably a good idea. Seems as likely as the four below..

Most Likely: #3 Elusive Story 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 Mark It Man 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Photon 5-1 WON ($6.10)


7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Why are we supposed to be so scared by 1st time NA Magical Cat (2-1)? Away since August last, exits 'B' circuit company in Ireland and there's no guarantee that she's fast enough for 1 mile..

Best Value: #1 Sylvestris 8-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Zultanite 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Magical Cat 2-1 WON ($6.20)
Super Add: #7 Singn On Themoon 7-2 2nd


8th: CLM, 4+, 7f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Starforaday 4-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Obligingly 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Crown the Chief 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 He's So Chic 8-1 WON ($11.80)


9th: CLM, F&M-3+, 1m-T (Super)

Most Likely: #2 Blue Grass Music 5-2 6th
Best Value: #9 Harbor Spirit 8-1 9th
Next Best: #6 Dopke Gal 6-1 WON ($17.80)
Exotics Use: #10 In Her Hey Day 12-1 3rd


<$75 P6 Play:

4: 4
5: 3-7
6: 3-6-8
7: 1-2-4
8: 6-7
9: 2

1x2x3x3x2x1 = 36 x $2 = $72


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 1-3-6-8
7: 1-2-4-7
8: 2-6-7
9: 2-9

4x4x3x2 = 96 x .50 = $48


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 04-20-2012 at 11:21 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 04-20-2012, 11:22 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,305
Default

AQU SCR/CHG'S
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 04-20-2012, 12:05 PM
atolunch's Avatar
atolunch atolunch is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 2,218
Default

Steve,

Good luck today and have a safe trip!

Please double check your late P4, I think in the 8th, Crown the Chief is the #2, not the #1 as listed.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 04-20-2012, 12:16 PM
hockey2315 hockey2315 is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 5,403
Default

I think Zultanite will prove stakes caliber this year. . . Wish that race came up a bit tougher so she'd be bettable.
__________________
@BDiDonatoTDN
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 04-20-2012, 01:03 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,305
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by hockey2315 View Post
I think Zultanite will prove stakes caliber this year. . . Wish that race came up a bit tougher so she'd be bettable.
Lots to like. She kept real company last yeat.

One Donk returnee after another coming out... I was close to using To the Point in the nightcap. May yet..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 04-20-2012, 04:35 PM
fantini33's Avatar
fantini33 fantini33 is offline
Churchill Downs
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Boston
Posts: 1,860
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
Lots to like. She kept real company last yeat.

One Donk returnee after another coming out... I was close to using To the Point in the nightcap. May yet..



Agreed. May just give this field the slip...
__________________
Good Luck......and may a Derby Trailer lead the way to the window!

Ed
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 04-20-2012, 04:08 PM
hockey2315 hockey2315 is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 5,403
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by hockey2315 View Post
I think Zultanite will prove stakes caliber this year. . . Wish that race came up a bit tougher so she'd be bettable.
Didn't love that ride from Ramon. . . still think she's very interesting going forward.
__________________
@BDiDonatoTDN
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 04-20-2012, 01:00 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,305
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by atolunch View Post
Steve,

Good luck today and have a safe trip!

Please double check your late P4, I think in the 8th, Crown the Chief is the #2, not the #1 as listed.
Thx Larry.. all set. G/L! I'll be following in the car on the way to Louisville..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 11:06 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.