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#1
07-30-2012, 08:15 AM
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7/30: Saratoga ($66k C/O; Day 10)
With a return to better conditions, caught a big wave Sunday that did wonders for the spirit and leveled the bankroll. The sustained boost came mid-card on the strength of McPeek's Flashy American and Aquilino's Majestic Raffy and ran through Alaura Michelle's upset in the Nani Rose and Currency Swap's Amsterdam score. Flashy American ($20.20) tripped a $128 triple and helped set the table for big multi-race returns when Joe Aquilino's Majestic Raffy came back on 6 days rest to take the the 7th at 17-1. The $36.00 tote tipped a $116 double on the shoulders of 7# bug Wilmer Garcia who delivered an ultra-professional ride on the NY-bred who is an easy horse for which to root.
Parbhoo's West Rim came through as the favorite in the 8th for a $433 P3 that erased the losses of Saturday and Alaura Michele's $15.60 surprise in the Sweepstakes landed a tremendous $862 troika that brought the wallet all the way back and more from a sluggish start to the meet's first 8 days. Favored Currency Swap fought doggedly past Doctor Chit in the Amsterdam for Klaravich and Pompey and ended the burst with a $142.50 P3. Weaver upset the nightcap with $30.60 MTO Junior Officer and though I wasn't happy that a sizeable P4 had slipped away, it was still a terrific and welcome day. Hope everybody got something and did well. $66k carryover on the Monday card! SARATOGA RACE COURSE POST-SCRATCHES 5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD) $66k P6 carryover starts here.. Best Value: #4 Jane of All Trades 6-1: Half to Mamma Kimbo bred to like lawn.. 3rd Next Best: #5 Apple Cider 5-2: 2nd timer from Clement deserving fave.. 4th Exotics Use: #1 Priscilla Mare 3-1 6th Super Add: #6 Smittenwithkitten 8-1 2nd 6th: MDN CLM, 3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD) Best Value: #5 Original Art 8-1 3rd Next Best: #4 Smart Farda 6-1 5th Exotics Use: #2 Backdown 10-1 6th Super Add: #14 Flagsup 8-1 7th 7th: OC/N3X, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD) Federation is clear horse to beat, but the 2-4-7-9 are all within striking distance.. Most Likely: #1 Federation 9-5 4th Best Value: #2 Prize Catch 8-1 2nd Next Best: #7 Vivo Per Lei 7-2 5th Exotics Use: #4 Sure Route 15-1 7th 8th: 1st Shakespeare Caress, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD) Plenty of speed and faves are fittingly stalkers. If Kid Kate can stand up on the grass at all, (she's 0 for 1 on it), then she's interesting at a decent price.. Most Likely: #6 Well Deserved 3-1 6th Best Value: #2 Zermatt 4-1 3rd Next Best: #5 Holiday for Kitten 7-2 2nd Exotics Use: #10 Rosa Salvaje 10-1 WON ($41.40) 9th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (DD) Fly in the ointment of the P6 sequence with seemingly 8 of the 12 betting interests (there's a Flying Zee entry involved) eligible for laurels. Pick and pray.. Best Value: #6 Notmyfirstime 5-1 WON ($12.00) Next Best: #9 Readytodefer 4-1 2nd Exotics Use: #1e Flying Zee entry 7-2 7th/9th Super Add: #10 Overextended 12-1 6th 10th: NY-MSW, 3+, 5.5f-T You'll need to employ some guesswork here with 3-4-5-8-9-10 the half of the field to focus on and 2-6 co-starring as potential pricey interlopers. I'm inclined to think pace runner Big Guy stays on, but Rice's Lakota Freud should get a stalking comfort zone. Weaver is firing on all cylinders and has drilled Sunshawn 6 times since June debut. Dreamsgonewild and Verde Mont are in form cycle and crafty Domino returns Countknickerbocker to MSW company while reaching for Leparoux. Tough, tough calls.. Most Likely: #4 Big Guy 5-1 4th Best Value: #9 Sunshawn 6-1 - Next Best: #10 Lakota Freud 7-2 - Exotics Use: #6 Countknickerbocker 15-1 WON ($48.60) <$150 P6 Play: 5: 1-4-5 6: 4-5 7: 1 8: 2-6 9: 6-9 10: 4-9-10 3x2x1x2x2x3 = 72 x $2 = $144 @$50 P4 Play: 7: 1 8: 2-5-6 9: 1-3-6-8-9-10 10: 3-4-5-6-9-10 1x3x6x6 = 108 x .50 = $54 Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 07-30-2012 at 06:12 PM. 
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#2
07-30-2012, 11:06 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#4
07-30-2012, 07:50 PM
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Quote:
$219k C/O  Wednesday should be a lot of fun.. Looking forward to Andy's insights on the sequence on the show tomorrow. 11:00-11:30.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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