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#1
08-04-2013, 08:14 AM
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8/4: Saratoga (Day 15-Vanderbilt; $127k C/O)
Thoroughly spectacular afternoon at Saratoga Saturday as the 150th celebration was given a perfect day for patrons to enjoy as well as an appropriately memorable Whitney. Cross Traffic got the big race win he truly deserved after two brilliant but agonizing disappointments in the Westchester and Met Mile. Industry stalwarts in Ocala, Paul Bulmahn and his GoldMark Farm team are easy to root for and winning a race like the Whitney should contribute greatly to their attempts to bolster the regions' flagging prospects. Successful Dan and Mucho Macho Man rounded out the triple and both of their connections were pleased that their respective charges improves their seasons' momentum. Wagering wise, had a non-event, up/down day with a P3 here, exacta or trifecta there, but momentum-building was quashed by Kate is a Ten (whom Andy Serling sniffed out) and Assateague in the De La Rose. Hope all did well... A wonderful day for the 33,000+ that thronged the old spa and an equally bright morning bodes nicely for Vanderbilt Sunday as well.
SARATOGA POST-SCRATCHES 1st: MSW, 3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD) Most Likely: #1 Lochte 7-2 3rd Best Value: #3 Strike It Big 6-1 7th Next Best: #7 Defiant 2-1 6th Exotics Use: #6 Easement 8-1 8th 2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #3 Acquant 7-2 3rd Next Best: #5 Ketel Twist 5-2 2nd Exotics Use: #6 Fierce Boots 4-1 5th Super Add: #1 Dance Tap 4-1 4th 3rd: CLM, 3+, 5.5f (P3, DD) Our Corybant will SCR from here hoping for the 8/10 turf sprint to go.. Most Likely: #6 Too Much Talk 5th Next Best: #2 Road Agent WON ($3.10) Exotics Use: #4 Meet the Mets 2nd 4th: OC/N3L, 3+, 6f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #4 Majestic Hussar WON ($4.90) Next Best: #6 Consortium 6th Exotics Use: #7 Make a Fortune 5th 5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #2 Enquete 6-5 WON ($3.60) Best Value: #4 Malibu Angel 5-1 5th Next Best: #3 Guilty Verdict 4-1 2nd <$50 P4 Play: 2: 3-5-6 3: 2-4-6 4: 4-6-7 5: 2-3-4 3x3x3x3 = 81 x .50 = $41 6th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD) $127k C/O starts here.. Very treacherous start to the P6 with entire field separated by about 3 lengths.. Best Value: #10 Bug Juice 12-1 WON ($12.60) Next Best: #9 Late SCR Exotics Use: #8 Dehere of the Cat 5-1 6th Super Add: #7 Zivo 4-1 3rd 7th: NY-OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (G/S, P3, DD) Most Likely: #5 Funny Money 5-1 WON ($10.00) Next Best: #1 Moonlit Sonnet 3-1 6th Best Value: #9 Centrina 10-1 4th Exotics Use: #6 Eurokay by Me 20-1 8th 8th: OC/S-ALW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD) Difficult set to decipher.. Most Likely: #3 Strategic Missle 4-1 3rd Best Value: #9 Spooky Kitten 5-1 7th Next Best: #6 Normandy 6-1 9th Exotics Use: #7 Indian Splendor 6-1 2nd 9th: 29th A.G. Vanderbilt (G1), 3+, 6f (P3, DD) Hard decision to make here for the sextet. Singling Delauney off the poor start miscue at PrM would be ideal, but all scenarios getting any of the others into the circle are plausible.. Most Likely: #3 Delauney 8-5 4th Next Best: #1 Bahamian Squall 7-2 2nd Exotics Use: #4 Justin Phillip 5-1 WON ($8.30) 10th: OC/N2X, 3+, 9.5f-T (DD) Best Value: #1 Bell by the Ridge 4-1 3rd Next Best: #8 Tahoe Lake 2-1 4th Exotics Use: #3 Tricky Hat 5-2 WON ($8.80) Super Add: #6 Majestic Raffy 10-1 - 11th: NY-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-IT Best Value: #7 Campogiovanni 5-1 3rd Next Best: #4 Sunnysider 7-2 2nd Exotics Use: #5 Eleven Bravo 5-1 Super Add: #1 Face the Race 5-2 WON ($9.00) .10 SUPER: Key 7 with 1-4-5-8-9 (1x5x4x3 = 60 x .10 = $6.00) <$150 P6 Play: 6: 8-9/SCR-10 7: 1-5 8: 3-9 9: 3 10: 1-3-8 11: 4-7 3x2x2x1x3x2 = 72 x $2 = $144 <$75 P4 Play: 8: 3-9 9: 1-2-3-4-5 10: 1-3-8 11: 4-5-7 2x5x3x3 = 90 x .50 = $45 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 08-04-2013 at 06:29 PM. 
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#2
08-04-2013, 11:22 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#3
08-04-2013, 11:51 AM
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thanks for the picks
Last edited by Alabama Stakes : 08-04-2013 at 12:04 PM. Reason: sleep posting
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#4
08-04-2013, 11:57 AM
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best of luck today
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#5
08-04-2013, 12:06 PM
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Steve,
Thanks as always and best of luck today! In your early P4, are the numbers correct in legs 2&3? Based on your write ups, guessing you want the #2, not #3 in leg 2 and #6, not #5 in leg 3. Hope that makes sense. All aboard the Byk Train!!
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#6
08-04-2013, 12:18 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#7
08-04-2013, 12:19 PM
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Quote:
Quote:
THX guys.. Second half of the day should be a lot of fun. Best of luck!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#8
08-04-2013, 12:24 PM
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Ketel twist is a solid animal in the 2nd...tough company but looked very good first out
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