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#1
03-26-2014, 04:58 PM
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3/29 (MEY): Dubai World Cup
2nd (9:10) Godolphin Mile (G2)
About 1 Mile (All Weather Track) | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $1,000,000 1 1 Penitent (GB) O'Brien J P O''Meara David 126 40-1 2 2 Gabrial (IRE) Hughes R Fahey Richard 126 40-1 3 3 Glory Awaits (IRE) Spencer J Ryan Kevin A 126 40-1 4 4 Eastern Rules (IRE) Foley S Halford Michael 126 20-1 5 5 Soft Falling Rain (SAF) Hanagan P G de Kock Michael F 126 9-2 6 6 Elleval (IRE) Lynch F Marnane David 126 15-1 7 7 Forjatt (IRE) Buick W T Selvaratnam Dhruba J 126 40-1 8 8 Gold City (IRE) Mullen R Seemar Sateesh 126 20-1 9 9 Flotilla (FR) Lemaire C P Delzangles Mike 121 12-1 10 10 Shuruq De Sousa S A bin Suroor Saeed 121 3-1 11 11 Mull of Killough (IRE) Moore R Chapple-Hyam Jane 126 30-1 12 12 Capital Attraction O'Shea T P Oertel Ernst 126 10-1 13 13 Haatheq O'Neill D Al Raihe Ali R 126 30-1 14 14 Brightline (JPN) Fukunaga Y Sameshima Ippo 126 12-1 15 15 Variety Club (SAF) Marcus A Ramsden Joey 126 4-1 16 16 Limario (GER) Dobbs P J Watson Doug 126 20-1 Win / Place / Exacta / Trifecta (.50 MIN) / Superfecta (.10 MIN) Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4) / Daily Double 3rd (9:45) Dubai Gold Cup (G2) About 2 Miles (Turf) | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $1,000,000 1 1 Dabadiyan (IRE) Foley S Halford Michael 120 15-1 2 2 Star Empire (SAF) Soumillon C de Kock Michael F 126 5-1 3 3 Ernest Hemingway (IRE) O'Brien J P O'Brien Aidan P 126 12-1 4 4 Moment In Time (IRE) Crowley J V Simcock David 121 30-1 5 5 Ralston Road (IRE) O'Shea T P Seemar Sateesh 120 30-1 6 6 Songcraft (IRE) Barzalona M bin Suroor Saeed 126 6-1 7 7 Cavalryman (GB) De Sousa S A bin Suroor Saeed 126 5-2 8 8 Joshua Tree (IRE) Moore R Dunlop Edward 126 10-1 9 9 Seismos (IRE) Atzeni A Wohler Andreas 126 15-1 10 10 Jamr (GB) de Vries A bin Harmash Ahmad 126 60-1 11 11 Saddler's Rock (IRE) McDonogh Daragh P Oxx J. 126 30-1 12 12 Now We Can (GB) Thulliez T Clement Nicolas 126 20-1 13 13 Sheikhzayedroad (GB) Lane M Simcock David 126 60-1 14 14 Certerach (IRE) Spencer J Halford Michael 126 8-1 15 15 Simenon (IRE) Smullen P J Mullins William P 126 20-1 Win / Place / Exacta / Trifecta (.50 MIN) / Superfecta (.10 MIN) Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5) / Daily Double 4th (10:25) UAE Derby (G2) About 1 3/16 Miles (All Weather Track) | Open | 3 Year Olds Stakes | Purse: $2,000,000 1 1 Safety Check (IRE) Buick W T Appleby Charles 121 30-1 2 2 Paximadia (AUS) De Sousa S A bin Suroor Saeed 131 15-1 3 3 Cooptado (ARG) Dobbs P J Watson Doug 131 8-1 4 4 Long John (AUS) Barzalona M Appleby Charles 131 3-1 5 5 Giovanni Boldini Moore R O'Brien Aidan P 121 5-2 6 6 Emirates Flyer (GB) Fallon K bin Suroor Saeed 121 30-1 7 7 Sir Jack Layden (GB) Dettori L Brown David H 121 20-1 8 8 Toast of New York Spencer J Osborne Jamie 121 20-1 9 9 Asmar (IRE) Hughes R Nass Fawzi A 121 6-1 10 10 Sir John Hawkins O'Donoghue C O'Brien Aidan P 121 12-1 11 11 Jallota (GB) Crowley J V de Kock Michael F 121 30-1 12 12 King Rubi (GB) Hamelin A Palussiere M 121 30-1 Win / Place / Exacta / Trifecta (.50 MIN) / Superfecta (.10 MIN) Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) / Daily Double / Pick 6 (Races 4-9) 5th (11:03) Al Quoz Sprint (G1) About 5 Furlongs (Turf) | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $1,000,000 1 1 Joy And Fun (NZ) Doyle B Cruz Derek 126 20-1 2 2 Sole Power (GB) Moore R Lynam Eddie 126 6-1 3 3 Sholaan (IRE) Buick W T Selvaratnam Dhruba J 126 50-1 4 4 Medicean Man (GB) Bentley H Gask Jeremy 126 15-1 5 5 Beat Baby (IRE) Graberg P Petersen Niels 126 50-1 6 6 Hamza (IRE) Callan N Ryan Kevin A 126 15-1 7 7 Berlino Di Tiger (BRZ) Goncalves L Caramori Eduardo 126 30-1 8 8 Amber Sky (AUS) Moreira J Yiu Ricky 126 8-1 9 9 Dux Scholar (GB) Dobbs P J Watson Doug 126 15-1 10 10 Catcall (FR) Peslier O Sogorb Philippe 126 15-1 11 11 Ahtoug (GB) Barzalona M Appleby Charles 126 12-1 12 12 Shea Shea (SAF) Soumillon C de Kock Michael F 126 1-1 Win / Place / Exacta / Trifecta (.50 MIN) / Superfecta (.10 MIN) Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) / Daily Double 6th (11:41) Dubai Golden Shaheen (G1) About 6 Furlongs (All Weather Track) | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $2,000,000 1 1 Krypton Factor (GB) Morris L Nass Fawzi A 132 15-1 2 2 Balmont Mast (IRE) Moore R Lynam Eddie 132 10-1 3 3 Nawwaar Hanagan P G Al Raihe Ali R 132 30-1 4 4 Sterling City (AUS) Moreira J Moore James 132 20-1 5 5 Reynaldothewizard Mullen R Seemar Sateesh 132 7-2 6 6 Zee Bros Dettori L Benzel Seth 132 10-1 7 7 United Color Buick W T Selvaratnam Dhruba J 132 20-1 8 8 Complicate (AUS) De Sousa S A bin Suroor Saeed 132 6-1 9 9 Russian Soul (IRE) Foley S Halford Michael 132 8-1 10 10 Jamesie (IRE) Lynch F Marnane David 132 12-1 11 11 My Catch (IRE) Dobbs P J Watson Doug 123 50-1 12 12 Rich Tapestry (IRE) Doleuze Olivier Chang Michael 132 4-1 13 13 Bello (AUS) Barzalona M Appleby Charles 132 20-1 Win / Place / Exacta / Trifecta (.50 MIN) / Superfecta (.10 MIN) Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8) / Daily Double 7th (12:39) Dubai Duty Free (G1) About 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $5,000,000 1 1 Mshawish Dettori L Delzangles Mikel 126 10-1 2 2 Just a Way (JPN) Fukunaga Y Sugai Naosuke 126 9-2 3 3 Anaerobio (ARG) Marcus A de Kock Michael F 126 50-1 4 4 The Fugue (GB) Buick W T Gosden John H M 121 3-1 5 5 Educate (GB) Guyon M H Mohammed Ismail 126 50-1 6 6 Tokei Halo (JPN) Take Y Shimizu Hidekatsu 126 30-1 7 7 Trade Storm (GB) Spencer J Simcock David 126 15-1 8 8 Tasaday De Sousa S A bin Suroor Saeed 121 15-1 9 9 Blazing Speed (GB) Moreira J Cruz A S 126 30-1 10 10 Dank (GB) Moore R Stoute Sir Michael 121 7-2 11 11 Vercingetorix (SAF) Soumillon C de Kock Michael F 126 5-1 12 12 Logotype (JPN) Demuro C Tanaka Tsuyoshi 126 30-1 13 13 Hunter's Light (IRE) Fallon K bin Suroor Saeed 126 30-1 Win / Place / Exacta / Trifecta (.50 MIN) / Superfecta (.10 MIN) Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9) / Daily Double 8th (1:17) Dubai Sheema Classic (G1) About 1 1/2 Miles (Turf) | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $5,000,000 1 1 Excellent Result (IRE) De Sousa S A bin Suroor Saeed 125 15-1 2 2 Mars (IRE) Hughes R de Kock Michael F 125 20-1 3 3 Denim and Ruby (JPN) Hamanaka S Sumii Katsuhiko 120 8-1 4 4 Magician (IRE) O'Brien J P O'Brien Aidan P 125 3-1 5 5 Mount Athos (IRE) Fallon K Botti Marco 126 20-1 6 6 Dunaden (FR) Spencer J Delzangles Mikel 126 30-1 7 7 Ambivalent (IRE) Atzeni A Varian Roger 121 30-1 8 8 Meandre (FR) Dobbs P J Watson Doug 126 15-1 9 9 Festive Cheer (FR) Heffernan S O'Brien Aidan P 125 20-1 10 10 Dubday (GB) Dettori L Al Ghazali Jassim 125 20-1 11 11 Twilight Eclipse Lezcano J Albertrani Thomas 126 20-1 12 12 Gentildonna (JPN) Moore R Ishizaka Sei 121 4-1 13 13 Empoli (GER) de Vries A Schiergen Peter 125 15-1 14 14 Dominant (IRE) Moreira J Moore John 126 30-1 15 15 Cirrus des Aigles (FR) Soumillon C Barande Barbe C 126 6-1 Win / Place / Exacta / Trifecta (.50 MIN) / Superfecta (.10 MIN) Daily Double 9th (2:05) Dubai World Cup (G1) About 1 1/4 Miles (All Weather Track) | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $10,000,000 1 1 Prince Bishop (IRE) Fallon K bin Suroor Saeed 126 10-1 2 2 Belshazzar (JPN) Lemaire C P Matsuda Kunihide 126 10-1 3 3 Vancouverite (GB) Buick W T Appleby Charles 126 15-1 4 4 Akeed Mofeed (GB) Whyte Doug Gibson Richard 126 10-1 5 5 Sanshaawes (SAF) Soumillon C de Kock Michael F 126 12-1 6 6 African Story (GB) De Sousa S A bin Suroor Saeed 126 20-1 7 7 Hillstar (GB) Moore R Stoute Sir Michael 126 30-1 8 8 Military Attack (IRE) Moreira J Moore John 126 8-1 9 9 Side Glance (GB) Spencer J Balding Andrew 126 30-1 10 10 Surfer Mullen R Seemar Sateesh 126 30-1 11 11 Hokko Tarumae (JPN) Miyuki H Nishiura Katsuichi 126 12-1 12 12 Ruler of The World (IRE) O'Brien J P O'Brien Aidan P 126 9-2 13 13 Mukhadram (GB) Hanagan P G Haggas William J 126 20-1 14 14 Red Cadeaux (GB) Mosse G Dunlop Edward 126 15-1 15 15 Cat O'Mountain Barzalona M Appleby Charles 126 20-1 16 16 Ron the Greek Lezcano J Bachalard Nicholas 126 5-1 Win / Place / Exacta / Trifecta (.50 MIN) / Superfecta (.10 MIN) Superfecta carryover of $2,645
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans 
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#2
03-27-2014, 01:21 AM
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guys,
I'm not here to start another pissing match with you over how much Synth does or doesn't suck. But seriously these are the best betting races all weekend. There are a few races where the chalk looks good, but even in those races it could be bombs away underneath. Other races are wide open, including the big World Cup race (Mucho Macho Man would've had as good of a chance as any in here). Many of the top horses in the world are showing up from all points, and you wonder where the Dubai-based horses have the edge and where they're outclassed. There are very few horses in the races that are a complete throw-out, so there's a lot of ways you can go and a lot you can make legit cases for. I know the Derby preps are the big deal here, but the the Dubai races are the best betting opportunities all weekend. Free PPs available here- http://www.amwestentertainment.com/p...s-20140029.pdf I'm assuming DRF will make them available as well?
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Facebook- Peter May Jr. Twitter- @pmayjr You wouldn't be ballin' if your name was Spauldin' If y'all fresh to death, then I'm deceased... Last edited by pmayjr : 03-27-2014 at 01:36 AM.
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#3
03-27-2014, 01:35 AM
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Quote:
#7 Forjatt lost to Shuruq last out, but got shuffled back a little further than he usually likes it and still closed to get 4th. I think he'll be more involved early and runs a big one. Granted he's run against lesser, but he hasn't finished worse than 4th in any race since 12/2012. #11 Mull of Killough is battle tested running in the Cox Plate, the Arlington Million and the G1 Singapore Airlines Cup. He cuts back to a mile and has run over synth before. His best effort makes him very live here. He should be on/or pressing the pace. #16 Limario gets his 2nd start off the layoff while getting a run over the Meydan surface in his last. He's also cutting back from normally running in longer races. Definitely eligible for improvement. I think Shuruq is the real deal here, but if I can get one of those bombs underneath in an exacta, it should be a nice payoff
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Facebook- Peter May Jr. Twitter- @pmayjr You wouldn't be ballin' if your name was Spauldin' If y'all fresh to death, then I'm deceased...
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#4
03-27-2014, 01:48 AM
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#15 Simenon I think has an outside chance to beat Cavalryman. He's getting a 2nd run over the Meydan turf off a 5-month layoff, where Cavalryman beat him easily 3 weeks ago. But this horse relishes the extra ground, and is definitely eligible to improve. And, I think he's run against some big-tymers since his last 3 races before the layoff were the Hong Kong Vase, Japan Cup and Melbourne Cup. So he's battle tested. I doubt you'll get that 20-1 ML price, but I'd take half that and be happy. #1 Dabadiyan and #13 Sheikzayadroad are steady horses that have had plenty of runs over this surface and also think like going longer. So I think they're decent plays underneath at long odds.
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Facebook- Peter May Jr. Twitter- @pmayjr You wouldn't be ballin' if your name was Spauldin' If y'all fresh to death, then I'm deceased...
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#5
03-27-2014, 02:14 AM
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Quote:
#3 Cooptado is a Southern Hemisphere 3 year old bred/run in Argentina, so he's not eligible for the Derby (Southern Hemisphere horses aren't eligible for the Derby, because they're actually age 4 by US standards). In 7 lifetime starts in Argentina, he's never finished off the board in some of their biggest dirt/turf races. He's never run outside Argentina or run on synth, but the way he's handled the other 2 surfaces, I doubt this will be an issue for him if he shipped ok. He's also already run at 1 1/4, 1 5/16 and 1 1/2 miles in his short career. Very dangerous at a nice price if the ML odds hold. #5 Giovani Boldini hasn't run since finishing 2nd in the Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf last November. But this is Aiden O'Brien/Coolmore, who's won this race multiple times in the past (including last year with Lines of Battle). The horse's only 2 wins are over a synthetic surface, and hasn't finished off the board in his 4 career starts. He'll probably be the favorite, and deservingly so, but the horse has never run further than a mile. Combo that with this being his first start since November and trying to go 1 3/16 miles, I'm trying to beat him. But if he does take care of business, HE'LL DEFINITELY BE IN THE KENTUCKY DERBY next start. #12 King Rubi might be the longest shot on the board, but something should be said for the fact that in his 2 starts over synth surfaces in France, he has 2 wins. He won his last race going 1 3/16 miles over synth off a layoff since November. So this will be his 2nd start off the shelf over a surface he'll probably like. He probably hasn't faced this level of competition, but this race is a "next logical step" race for him IMO. I have no idea what his connections would do if they finished well enough to go to KY. He's an inferior turf horse, so maybe they'd actually try going to KY.
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Facebook- Peter May Jr. Twitter- @pmayjr You wouldn't be ballin' if your name was Spauldin' If y'all fresh to death, then I'm deceased... Last edited by pmayjr : 03-27-2014 at 02:49 AM.
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#6
03-27-2014, 02:48 AM
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5th (11:03) Al Quoz Sprint (G1)
About 5 Furlongs (Turf) | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $1,000,000 1 1 Joy And Fun (NZ) Doyle B Cruz Derek 126 20-1 2 2 Sole Power (GB) Moore R Lynam Eddie 126 6-1 3 3 Sholaan (IRE) Buick W T Selvaratnam Dhruba J 126 50-1 4 4 Medicean Man (GB) Bentley H Gask Jeremy 126 15-1 5 5 Beat Baby (IRE) Graberg P Petersen Niels 126 50-1 6 6 Hamza (IRE) Callan N Ryan Kevin A 126 15-1 7 7 Berlino Di Tiger (BRZ) Goncalves L Caramori Eduardo 126 30-1 8 8 Amber Sky (AUS) Moreira J Yiu Ricky 126 8-1 9 9 Dux Scholar (GB) Dobbs P J Watson Doug 126 15-1 10 10 Catcall (FR) Peslier O Sogorb Philippe 126 15-1 11 11 Ahtoug (GB) Barzalona M Appleby Charles 126 12-1 12 12 Shea Shea (SAF) Soumillon C de Kock Michael F 126 1-1 Win / Place / Exacta / Trifecta (.50 MIN) / Superfecta (.10 MIN) Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) / Daily Double [/quote] Shea Shea is the big favorite in here, because he loves this distance and the surface. BUT! I'M STILL COMPLETELY PLAYING AGAINST. This is a very salty bunch he's going against. He's beaten some of these, but there are a lot in here that have pretty impressive resumes. There are 2 Hong Kong shippers in here. They have some of the fastest turf sprinters in the world there, and that's the angle I'm using here. #8 Amber Sky has solely raced in the best sprint races in Hong Kong. He's in top form, and loves going 5f. If he takes to the Dubai surface, he'll be a monster here. I doubt he'll be 8-1 as the ML suggests, but I'd be happy with 9/2 if I could get those odds. #1 Joy and Fun is also HK-based. He's 11 years old, but still going strong. He's run in this race the past 2 years, finishing 2nd and 3rd. Good horse to use underneath, because he's a gamer. #4 Medicean Man has lost to a lot these entrants over the years, but is always a steady gamer and is in really good form right now. He has 2 1sts and a 3rd in his last 3 races, 2 of which were over this course and distance. #7 Berlino di Tiger I think has a chance to make some noise in here. He hasn't done much inthe US over the past year, but there's a key distinction- He doesn't have to run around a turn in Dubai. He wasn't doing that in turf sprints in Brazil. The level of competition probably was a little inferior, but those are some fast times he was putting up in Brazil. If he just likes running straight, He could rebound and run a big one here. I won't be putting much into this race, because Shea Shea is the real deal and deserves to be the favorite. But at the short price he'll be, I think he's definitely worth trying to beat.
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Facebook- Peter May Jr. Twitter- @pmayjr You wouldn't be ballin' if your name was Spauldin' If y'all fresh to death, then I'm deceased...
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#7
03-28-2014, 07:39 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#9
03-28-2014, 07:04 PM
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#10
03-28-2014, 08:18 PM
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King Rubi isn't, but I wonder if he were to somehow win if the connections would strongly consider putting up the big money to go to Kentucky. HE has been a non-factor on turf. There are probably some big $ races in Europe on synth, but probably not many?
As for Asmar, I think that horse has enough grass potential that his connections won't send him here.
__________________
Facebook- Peter May Jr. Twitter- @pmayjr You wouldn't be ballin' if your name was Spauldin' If y'all fresh to death, then I'm deceased...
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#11
03-28-2014, 11:38 PM
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Goldolphin Mile
Variety Club bounces back! Gold Cup I really like Seismos, had a great prep beating up sauerkrauts in Germany, look for this horse to be coming late UAE Derby Only alternative I see from Giovanni is Cooptado Sprint Got a feeling Shea Shea wont make it to the wire first, I love Amber Sky and Medciean Man Golden Shaheen Complicate gets up or Sterling City gets first run and wins at a nice price Dubai Duty Free Its a thee horse race between the favorites and if the Japanese horse runs its race it will be exciting, box the 4 in the tri and super and move on Sheema Magician is free money, Cirrus des Aigles to finish the stone cold exacta World Cup Sanshawees to lay right off and just barely holds on to win!
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#12
03-29-2014, 09:57 AM
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No inquiry?..!,
Bin Surors face was priceless and he probably cursed the ride on Calvaryman
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Hybrid Mode
