Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 09-20-2014, 08:24 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,678
Default 9/20: Belmont ($19k C/O): Parx (PA Derby)

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: CLM, 3+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Emkanaat 5-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Happy Fella 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Cheyenne Nation 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Empty Headed 9-2 WON ($19.20)


6th: MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Love and Marriage 3-1 WON ($4.60)
Best Value: #3 Truly Mizzed 12-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Forensic 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Lady Lavery 8-1 2nd


7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

What a tightly bunched group. As discussed with Nick Tammaro Friday, don't think 5-2 Sky Painter is any more likely than another half dozen in here..

Most Likely: #8 Fizzy Pink 5-1 4th
Best Value: #11 Miss Melina SCR
Next Best: #12 Distorted Beauty 6-1 WON ($12.80)
Exotics Use: #5 Sky Painter 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #7 Funny Money 15-1 11th


8th: 21st Gallant Bloom (G2), F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Artemis Agrotera 4-5 WON ($2.80)
Best Value: #4 Classic Point 15-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Willet 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Merry Meadow 4-1 4th


9th: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (DD)

Will go to 'other' Chad Brown here as 'likely', but this is a mysterious group..

Most Likely: #9 Verger 5-1 10th
Best Value: #1 Street Jersey 10-1 3rd (2nd for wagering)
Next Best: #2e Darley entry 3-1 WON/2nd ($9.00)
Exotics Use: #1e Santulli ownership entry 6-1 6th/11th


10th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-IT

Pedigree players and strong trainer karmas abound here. Candidates clear but possibilities feel wide..

Most Likely: #6 Dubai Sky 3-1 WON ($6.40)
Best Value: #4 Sanad 12-1 9th
Next Best: #5 Fire Away 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Grey Wizard 6-1 2nd



PHILADELPHIA PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


12th: Pennsylvania Derby (G2), 3yo, 9f

Candy Boy is still progressing and is by far the best price among the win candidates. Ideal key horse in this setting..

Best Value: #2 CANDY BOY 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 California Chrome 1-1 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Bayern 7-2 WON ($9.00)
Super Add: #5 Noble Moon 15-1 4th


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 09-20-2014 at 10:26 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 09-20-2014, 11:48 AM
fantini33's Avatar
fantini33 fantini33 is offline
Churchill Downs
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Boston
Posts: 1,861
Default

Hi Boss. Today is the day that Candy Boy runs to all that late Derby $$$$ he took. At least I hope. Best of luck!
__________________
Good Luck......and may a Derby Trailer lead the way to the window!

Ed
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 09:34 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.