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Old 12-27-2014, 09:10 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,305
Default 12/27: Santa Anita ($146k C/O)

SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: CLM, 3+, 9f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$146k P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #4 Tigah 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #12 Sizzlin' Joe 12-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Trelawny 5-1 9th
Exotics Use: #2 Jomelo 4-1 6th


5th: 1st Midnight Lute (G3), 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

This may not look like much at first glance, but it's a very nice group and Secret Circle may not be as easy a P6 single as one might think. Bahamian Squall, returning 3yo Bolita Boyz, Seeking the Sherif and Distintiv Passion are all within striking range of the Baffert favorite and can win should he falter. While Secret Circle has run well in all of his '14 starts, (and is certainly the likeliest winner), remember that he hasn't been won since the '13 BC Sprint..

Most Likely: #6 Secret Circle 4-5 4th
Best Value: #3 Bolita Boyz 8-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Distinctiv Passion 4-1 WON ($15.60)
Exotics Use: #2 Bahamian Squall 8-1 6th


6th: 20th Eddie Logan, 2yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Excellent assembly of juvenile turf talent with all eyes on big buzz colt Bolo from Carla Gaines. Post no bargain though for Temple City colt and he's sure to face pace pressure from the bell. Developing stalker-closer Willing to Travel (12-1) is a big number and will get a set up while saving ground under Bejarano. Obviously after opening day success, feels like Hollendorfer may fire on all cylinders out of the gate..

Best Value: #1 Willing to Travel 12-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Daddy D T 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #11 Bolo 4-1 WON ($5.60)
Super Add: #9 Soul Driver 12-1 2nd


7th: OC/C, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Dancinthenightaway 9-5 WON ($3.00)
Next Best: #10 Sayes So 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Mum's Truckee 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Sky Mega 6-1 5th


8th: 47th Bobby Frankel (G3), F&M-3+, 9f-T (DD)

Treacherous spot with highly suspect pace picture. 9f seems beyond Kathleen Rose's range, but other than Blingismything, who is going to apply pressure? Lady of Gold has closed into moderate paces before and may be the right one to look towards as a key. Aforementioned Blingismything could inherit lead too and be the one to catch late at a nice number. Very difficult spot..

Most Likely: #5 Lady of Gold 8-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Blingismything 12-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Lady Pimpernel 5-1 WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #12 Aquafria 12-1 9th


9th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f (Super Hi-5)

Potentially important MDN route with serious pedigree players like Cyrus Alexander (Super Saver half), River District (Via Villaggio half), Prospect Park (Proposed half), etc..

Most Likely: #5 Cyrus Alexander 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 Force 12-1 5th
Next Best: #11 Prospect Park 3-1 WON ($7.00)
Exotics Use: #2 River District 20-1 11th
Hi-5 Play: #6 Nob Hill 12-1 6th


<$200 P6 Grid:

4: 4 (A), 1-12 (B), 2-6 (C)
5: 6 (A), - (B), 2-3-5-7 (C)
6: 1-3 (A), 11 (B), 6-9 (C)
7: 5 (A), 10 (B), 7-8 (C)
8: 5-7 (A), 3 (B), 11-12 (C)
9: 5 (A), - (B), 2-4-6-11 (C)

Full (A/B/C): $194
Simple (A+B): 3x1x3x2x3x1 = 54 x $2 = $108


<$60 P4 Grid:

6: 1-3 (A), 11 (B), 5-6-9 (C)
7: 5 (A), 10 (B), 7-8 (C)
8: 5-7 (A), 3-11-12 (B), 2-4-6-8 (C)
9: 5 (A), 4-11 (B), 2-6 (C)

Full (A/B/C): $56.50
Simple (A+B): 3x2x5x3 = 90 x $.50 = $45 $0.50 Pick-4 (7,8,11/1,4,5,11/1,3,9,10/11) Paid $46.65


Good luck!
Steve
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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Last edited by Kasept : 12-27-2014 at 08:26 PM.
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Old 12-27-2014, 04:13 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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