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Old 02-14-2015, 04:53 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,310
Default 2/14: Laurel (6th-9th); Oaklawn (7th-10th); Golden Gate (El Camino Real)

LAUREL PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

At the dashy 5.5f distance, there's a modest danger that loose Spango wires here as lone speed..

Most Likely: #8 Regal Soldier 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Northern Label 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Compulsive 9-2 WON ($12.40)
Exotics Use: #7 Twelve Stone 5-2 7th


7th: John B. Campbell H., 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Wildly competitive group with at least 7 of the 11 win eligible. Pimental sides with Trombetta's Live Oak runner, but Cosmic Gold (8-1) looks like he's developing right along and with tactical speed, may get first run on Cerro and whomever is attending pace with him..

Best Value: #5 Cosmic Gold 8-1 8th
Next Best: #3 Page McKenney 7-2 WON ($8.40)
Exotics Use: #10 Sailor's Revenge 9-2 4th
Super Add: #11 Souper Lucky 6-1 6th


8th: Barbara Fritchie (G2), F&M-4+, 7f (DD)

Sam's Sister ships cross country, gives significant to weight to all and appears to need improvement to win as the likely well-bet favorite. No thanks..

Most Likely: #1 Princess Violet 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Lady Sabelia 7-2 WON ($7.20)
Best Value: #8 Stormy Novel 15-1 6th
Exotics Use: #10 Sam's Sister 5-2 4th


9th: MD Racing Media, F&M-3+, 9f

Best Value: #5 Pearl Bay 8-1 10th
Next Best: #2 Flores Island 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Shayjolie 9-2 6th
Super Add: #1 Luna Time 6-1 3rd


P4 Grid:

6: 8 (A), 1-2 (B), 3-5-7 (C)
7: 3-5 (A), 10-11 (B), 4-8 (C)
8: 1-9 (A), 8-10 (B), 5 (C)
9: 5 (A), 2-3 (B), 1-6-8-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C): $59 (With $1 All A's Play)

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 3,5 with 1,9 with 5 - $2.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 3,5 with 1,9 with 5 - $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 10,11 with 1,9 with 5 - $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 3,5 with 8,10 with 5 - $2.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 3,5 with 1,9 with 2,3 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 10,11 with 1,9 with 5 - $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 3,5 with 8,10 with 5 - $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 3,5 with 1,9 with 2,3 - $8.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 10,11 with 8,10 with 5 - $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 10,11 with 1,9 with 2,3 - $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 3,5 with 8,10 with 2,3 - $4.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5,7 with 3,5 with 1,9 with 5 - $6.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 4,8 with 1,9 with 5 - $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 3,5 with 5 with 5 - $1.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 3,5 with 1,9 with 1,6,8,9 - $8.00

Total: $59.00



OAKLAWN


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: OC/N1Y, 4+, 6f (P4, P3)

Most Likely: #2 Gentleman's Bet 6-5 3rd
Next Best: #4 Hogy 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Unbridled's Note 5-2 2nd


8th: MSW, 3yo, 6f (P3)

Ton of firsters with modest pedigree or trainer support to separate contenders..

Most Likely: #5 Mutation 3-1 10th
Next Best: #8 Chart Room 9-2 4th
Best Value: #9 Mission Driven 8-1 8th
Exotics Use: #12 Transformative 5-1 3rd


9th: 67th Essex H., 4+, 8.5f (DD)

You can't have a more competitive assembly for an ungraded, $100 stake. Ride On Curlin will get a pace to close into, but Code West and Golden Lad get first run from stalking slots and surely one of the pace setters will hang tough. With the El Camino and John Campbell, one of the day's most inviting wagering opps..

Most Likely: #8 Golden Lad 7-2 WON ($10.00)
Next Best: #4 Code West 9-2 6th
Best Value: #3 I Got It All 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Ride On Curlin 2-1 2nd


10th: MSW, 3+, 1m

On paper, it looks as if Legal Eagle SCR'D! would have to fall down to get beat, but he obviously had issues if he didn't debut until January of his 4yo year. Did work since debut which is a positive sign and expect he wins, but there are alternatives to the 3-2 ML fave..

Best Value: #6 Stormy Deacon 20-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Sail Maker 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Hillbilly Style 10-1 7th
Super Add: #1 Big Changes 5-1 2nd


P4 Grid:

7: 2 (A), 4 (B), 3-5 (C)
8: 5-8 (A), 2-9-12 (B), 7-11 (C)
9: 4-8 (A), 1-3-7 (B), 2-5-6 (C)
10: 6-8 (A), 5 (B), 1-3-7-9-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x5x5x2 = 100 x .50 = $50
Full (A/B/C): $59.50 (With $1 All A's Play)

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 2 with 5,8 with 4,8 with 6 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 5,8 with 4,8 with 6 - $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 2,9,12 with 4,8 with 6 - $3.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 5,8 with 1,3,7 with 6 - $3.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 5,8 with 4,8 with 5,8 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 2,9,12 with 4,8 with 6 - $3.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 5,8 with 1,3,7 with 6 - $3.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 5,8 with 4,8 with 5,8 - $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 2,9,12 with 1,3,7 with 6 - $4.50
10 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 2,9,12 with 4,8 with 5,8 - $6.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 5,8 with 1,3,7 with 5,8 - $6.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5 with 5,8 with 4,8 with 6 - $4.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 7,11 with 4,8 with 6 - $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 5,8 with 2,5,6 with 6 - $3.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 5,8 with 4,8 with 1,3,7,9,11 - $10.00

Total: $61.50



GOLDEN GATE FIELDS


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: El Camino Real Derby (G3), 3yo, 9f (P3)

May not be a major Kentucky Derby player in the El Camino Real Derby, but it's a fun betting affair with a well-matched field and vulnerable favorites..

Most Likely: #5 Cross the Line 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Ernest Shackleton 12-1 8th
Next Best: #10 Mischief Clem 9-2 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Soul Driver 6-1 5th


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 02-14-2015 at 07:32 PM.
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  #2  
Old 02-14-2015, 12:36 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,310
Default

LRL SCR/CHG'S

OP SCR/CHG'S
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #3  
Old 02-15-2015, 10:59 AM
Pistol Pistol is offline
Ak-Sar-Ben
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 689
Default

Thanks for your picks at Oaklawn and as always thanks for all your selections .. Your the best!,
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