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#1
12-12-2015, 08:07 AM
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12/12: Aqueduct ($134k C/O); Gulfstream (7th-11th); Los Alamitos (6th-9th)
AQUEDUCT
POST-SCRATCHES 4th: NY-MCLM/$25k, 2yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD) $134k DBL C/O starts here.. Very difficult sequence for two day P6 pot with 9x8x9x10x8x11 hill to climb before SCR's. There are a few more likely types sprinkled in the sextet, but no glaring singles making things hard for narrow plays. First leg a perfect example with lightly raced Nobody Move, I'm Funny How and Zoo Yorker quite OK among a cast of suspects, but there doesn't seem to be any instant tosses out of the other 7 including Hushion firster Information Center and MSW/MCLM class dropping/surface swapping Courageous Colonel and Domus. Even 0/11 Guyana Cat looks possible given last 2 were best yet. Pace looks honest enough too, so anyone good enough should have their chance.. Most Likely: #4 Nobody Move 3-1 2nd Next Best: #7 Zoo Yorker 5-2 WON ($8.90) Best Value: #3 Guyana Cat 10-1 4th Exotics Use: #9 I'm Funny How 8-1 3rd 5th: S/ALW, 3+, 8.5f (G/S, P3, DD) An equally tricky set with major class relief available to Jack O Liam, Total Joint & Village Warrior. Though not a claiming spot, doesn't Village Warrior look a lot like Don'tbetwithbruno last week here returning to scene of best efforts. Total Joint should get a nice pace to chase.. Most Likely: #3 Total Joint 3-1 2nd Next Best: #6 Village Warrior 7-2 6th Best Value: #7 Groupthink 5-1 5th Exotics Use: #1 Petrocelli 6-1 7th 6th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD) Another tough call to start the P4 with a murky pace picture adding to difficulty. Gargan off the claim (SCR'D Lifes Reward), Jere. Englehardt returning to earth with Indy-bred (Twice Mike), Droppers Looking Cool & Grandpa Len all viable. Marriage Fever is 20-1, circling towards a good effort and won a S/ALW, over Village Warrior (!), in lone try on the inner 365 days ago.. Most Likely: #7 Finn's Quest 5-1 3rd Best Value: #2 Marriage Fever 20-1 WON ($18.80) Next Best: #3 Looking Cool 3-1 4th Exotics Use: #8 Grandpa Len 8-1 2nd 7th: OC/C, 3+, 1m-70y (P3, DD) And the hits keep coming.. Terrific group includes returning Remsen winner from a year ago in Leave the Light On. Wouldn't assume he comes back as the same front end runner he was as 2yo based on worktab. Our Caravan nabbed by savviest operator out there in Dubb and can sit close to whatever pace materializes. Farhaan and North Slope the other two obvious players. Dance Champion is working at Payson Park but hasn't shown up as a SCR, so it looks like he was sent back for this.. Best Value: #5 Our Caravan 8-1 WON ($18.60) Next Best: #1 Leave the Light On 2-1 7th Exotics Use: #7 Dance Champion 7-2 6th Super Add: #2 Farhaan 10-1 3rd 8th: 2nd Bay Ridge-NY, F&M-3+, 8.5f (DD) No trick ID'ing the prime candidates (2-3-4-6-8), but a little harder defining how many are necessary to get through to nightcap. Sheriffa the one to catch in the stretch.. Most Likely: #8 Temper Mint Patty 2-1 8th Best Value: #6 Sheriffa 6-1 2nd Next Best: #4 Saythreehailmarys 5-1 WON ($11.40) Exotics Use: #3 Flipcup 5-2 5th 9th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f As discussed with Nick Tammaro on ATR Weekend Preview, some classy NY pedigrees on display here, but feels wide open with 5 FTS adding to the intrigue. Progno shows up from Finger Lakes with 2nd timer Freud's Affair who is going to overlooked but is out of a SW dam and adds Lasix. Surprise package. Best Value: #1 Freud's Affair 15-1 7th Next Best: #11 Gaming 4-1 2nd Exotics Use: #8 Fumin Newman 3-1 WON ($7.10) Super Add: #9 Guardian 7-2 4th P6 Grid: 4: 4-7 (A), 3-9 (B), 1-6 (C) 5: 3 (A), - (B), 1-7 (C) 6: 7 (A), 2-3 (B), 5-8 (C) 7: 5 (A), 1-7 (B), 2-4 (C) 8: 8 (A), 6 (B), 2-3-4 (C) 9: 1-11 (A), - (B), 3-5-8-9-10 (C) Simple (A+B): 4x1x3x3x2x2 = 144 x $2 = $288 P4 Grid: 6: 7 (A), 2-3 (B), 5-8 (C) 7: 1-5 (A), 2-7 (B), 4-8-10 (C) 8: 8 (A), 4-6 (B), 2-3 (C) 9: 1-11 (A), 8-9 (B), 3-5-10 (C) Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72 $0.50 Pick-4 (2/5/4/8) Paid $960.00 GULFSTREAM PARK POST-SCRATCHES 7th: MSW, 2yo, 7.5f-T/108' (P5, P3, DD) Best Value: #6 Marshall Eddy 15-1 10th Next Best: #13 War Order 10-1 5th Exotics Use: #1 Gimlet 7-2 3rd Super Add: #7 Kismet's Heels 4-1 2nd 8th: OC/N1X, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #9 Cat Tree 7-2 WON ($5.00) Next Best: #8 Prospectus 4-1 3rd Best Value: #11 Final Encore 6-1 6th Exotics Use: #4 Picadilly Roadster 10-1 4th 9th: 11th South Beach, F&M-3+, 7.5f-T/36' (P3, DD) Most Likely: #6 Hope Cross 7-2 2nd Best Value: #9 Night Song 15-1 5th Next Best: #10 Lori's Store 6-1 3rd Exotics Use: #1 Dauphine Russe 4-1 8th 10th: 5th Harlan's Holiday, 3+, 8.5f (DD) Most Likely: #7 Encryption 6-1 7th Next Best: #6 Mexikoma 8-1 5th Best Value: #9 Lynx 20-1 10th Exotics Use: #2 Valid 5-2 WON ($5.60) 11th: 4th El Prado, 3+, 8.5f-T/36' (Super Hi-5) Best Value: #4 Victory Exchange 12-1 Late SCR Next Best: #1 Aztec Brave 6-1 2nd Exotics Use: #10 Reporting Star 5-1 WON ($5.80) Super Add: #2 Slim Shadey 15-1 7th P5 Grid: 7: 6 (A), 1-13 (B), 2-5-7 (C) 8: 9 (A), 8-11 (B), 4-6 (C) 9: 6 (A), - (B), 1-9-10 (C) 10: 6-7 (A), 2-9 (B), 1-4-10 (C) 11: 1-4/SCR (A), 2-10 (B), 3-7 (C) Simple (A+B): 3x3x1x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72 P4 Grid: 8: 9 (A), 8-11 (B), 4-6 (C) 9: 6 (A), 9-10 (B), 1-3-7-8 (C) 10: 6-7 (A), 2-9 (B), 1-4-10 (C) 11: 1-4/SCR (A), 2-10 (B), 3-7 (C) Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72 LOS ALAMITOS POST-SCRATCHES 8th: Starlet (G1), 2yo-F, 8.5f (DD) This is a much better race than people are acknowledging. One paced Surfside Tiara should appreciate the long stretch.. Most Likely: #6 Surfside Tiara 6-1 7th Next Best: #4 Pacific Heat 3-1 8th Best Value: #7 Mama's Sugar 15-1 9th Exotics Use: #9 Pretty N Cool 5-1 4th Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 12-13-2015 at 01:21 AM. 
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#2
12-12-2015, 11:27 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#4
12-13-2015, 01:31 AM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#6
12-13-2015, 12:02 PM
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Great twitter pics from Saturday. Safe travels. You can bust out your shorts when you land. 68 degrees here.
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#7
12-18-2015, 06:09 AM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#8
12-13-2015, 01:24 AM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#9
12-13-2015, 01:28 AM
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THX.. Just back from Los Al.. Helluva fun day and night. Very good Starlet and a spectacular Champion performance from Heza Dasha Fire. Ran away from them. In between, dinner with Privman, Jon White and his wife, BH's Tracy Ganz.. Then Art Sherman at The Vessels Club and much more. Photos as I travel back.. 6:20a PT flight eastward.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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