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  #1  
Old 06-22-2016, 11:17 AM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
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Default Brexit and the impact to US markets

The referendum to leave the EU and regain the sovereignty of the United Kingdom will be decided tomorrow. The typical suspects (Progressives, Liberals, Central Banks & Globalists) are in favor of remaining - The folks that are sick of the unfettered immigrant invasion (and subsequently shouldering the cost of it) are vowing to regain their rights to control their own borders and population (among the other prominent negative financial impacts of belonging) are in favor of leaving.

Most every report out of Brittan show this referendum as neck and neck; although the betting markets clearly are showing "Remain" has a distinct edge.

Question - how will this vote, either way, affect the US Equity markets in the near and mid term? One would think that a "Leave" victory would boost US currency markets at least initially as the EU would lose a great deal of it's assets.

Have not seen any real discussion about this, which is making me wonder what we are in for come Friday...
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  #2  
Old 06-22-2016, 11:50 AM
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Pants II Pants II is offline
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I'm expecting the results to run roughly the same pattern as the recent elections in Austria.

So yeah it's rigged. I'll be shocked if the vote favors leave.
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  #3  
Old 06-22-2016, 12:02 PM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
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John Major, Tony Blair, David Cameron and Richard Branson arm and arm with Bono, Billy Bragg, and Bob Geldoff....yeauuuup. The Fix is in.
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Old 06-22-2016, 12:32 PM
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They were still getting MP Jo Cox to the hospital and the media already had a receipt of the gun he purchased through the mail in 1999 and second-hand witnesses with non-British surnames were saying the guy screamed, "Britain First!"

They will vote to remain like good, scared little subjects.
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  #5  
Old 06-23-2016, 10:37 AM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
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>>>As Britain goes to the polls to vote on the EU Referendum, the odds on Brexit are plummeting – to a new low of 17 per cent at the time of writing. The Spectator’s zoomable live odds chart shows the speed of the decline. At 9am this morning it was 23pc, at 10.45am it was 19pc and by 11.30am it was 17pc. An hour later, 15pc.<<<

http://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2016/06...w-17-per-cent/
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  #6  
Old 06-23-2016, 10:46 AM
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jms62 jms62 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis View Post
>>>As Britain goes to the polls to vote on the EU Referendum, the odds on Brexit are plummeting – to a new low of 17 per cent at the time of writing. The Spectator’s zoomable live odds chart shows the speed of the decline. At 9am this morning it was 23pc, at 10.45am it was 19pc and by 11.30am it was 17pc. An hour later, 15pc.<<<

http://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2016/06...w-17-per-cent/
We should have made a big Put bet on uvxy PUTS yesterday based upon what the betting markets were telling us.
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  #7  
Old 06-23-2016, 12:00 PM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
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Originally Posted by jms62 View Post
We should have made a big Put bet on uvxy PUTS yesterday based upon what the betting markets were telling us.


You were getting 3-1 Leave; 1-4 Remain yesterday....UltraVIX down 13% today


Free money if one were so inclined
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  #8  
Old 06-23-2016, 04:17 PM
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Pants II Pants II is offline
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If you're confident it's all rigged it was a safe play.

I'm not completely sold. Great opportunity for transfer of wealth and I don't really know the cast of characters. The ones I do know can be flighty.

Keep hope alive?
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  #9  
Old 06-24-2016, 05:57 AM
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jms62 jms62 is offline
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Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis View Post


You were getting 3-1 Leave; 1-4 Remain yesterday....UltraVIX down 13% today


Free money if one were so inclined
And then there is this the utimate headfake. More I think about this it seems like Joey was right but in the wrong direction. The fix was in gambling markets painted to attract big money sheep into the financial markets for slaughter.

Last edited by jms62 : 06-24-2016 at 08:34 AM.
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  #10  
Old 06-23-2016, 10:41 PM
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WEW LAD
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  #11  
Old 06-23-2016, 10:57 PM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
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Dow futures down over 3%. Leave looking strong.
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  #12  
Old 06-24-2016, 12:31 AM
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DAX futures are down 9 percent. Merkel deserves it.

Let the cannibalization of the globalists commence!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t2CCq-tuMrY
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  #13  
Old 06-24-2016, 12:40 AM
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DAX futures are down 9 percent. Merkel deserves it.

Let the cannibalization of the globalists commence!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t2CCq-tuMrY
Some cause for worry is the theory that some have, that all the socialist entanglements internationally, as in the case of the U.N., is just "blood money" that must be paid to forestall or delay a future war. That war might be nearer now.

And maybe that can't be avoided anyway, but the instability might really be huge in magnitude near term - though as you suggest in an earlier post, it might not last long.
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