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Old 11-12-2016, 09:56 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
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Default 11/12: Aqueduct (5th-9th)

AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Orino 10-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Slim Shadey 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Performance Bonus 3-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Hockey School 10-1 6th


6th: MSW, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Delta Prince 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 T R Crew 3-1 WON ($10.00)
Exotics Use: #7 I'm Amazing 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #3 Admiral Blue 4-1 6th


7th: 57th Red Smith H. (G3), 3+, 11f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Wake Forest 8-5 3rd
Best Value: #9 Bigger Picture 6-1 WON ($21.40)
Next Best: #7 Messi 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #11 Danish Dynaformer 5-1 2nd


8th: 72nd Discovery (G3), 3yo, 9f (DD)

Thoroughly fascinating group of late season 3yo's, most of which are separated by about a length on figs. Adulator and Governor Malibu own wins over the Big A main track. Chad Brown's Gift Box and My Man Sam feel like they have upside yet with Sam's late effort at Philadelphia sneaky good. Hot Seat SCR'D is an unknown quantity but will be on or very near the lead with Sticksstatelydude. Wild About Deb has had an interesting year, only running poorly against the worst group he faced (OH Derby). Could chalk out. Could be chaotic..

SCR NOTE: Hot Seat coming out slows things down considerably. Adulator benefits. Can Sticksstatelydude wire?

Most Likely: #3 Gift Box 3-1 5th
Best Value: #9 Wild About Deb 15-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Adulator 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #7 My Man Sam 8-1 3rd


9th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T

Most Likely: #8 Indebted 3-1 4th
Best Value: #10 Frogman Mel 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 McIlroy 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Inventor's Gate 20-1 7th


P4 Grid:

6: 1-2 (A), 3-7 (B), 4-5-9 (C)
7: 8 (A), 7-9 (B), 5-11 (C)
8: 1-3-9 (A), 5-7-8 (B), 4-11 (C)
9: 8-10 (A), - (B), 2-3-5-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x1x3x2 = $12

Full (incl. A's with 2 B's) = $97

All A's

1: 1,2/8/3,9/8,10 ~ 6.00

A's with One B

2: 3,7/8/1,3,9/8,10 ~ 6.00
3: 1,2/7,9/1,3,9/8,10 ~ 12.00
4: 1,2/8/1,5,7,8/8,10 ~ 6.00

A's with Two B

5: 3,7/7,9/1,3,9/8,10 ~ 12.00
6: 3,7/8/5,7,8/8,10 ~ 6.00
7: 1,2/7,9/5,7,8/8,10 ~ 12.00

A's with One C

8: 4,5,9/8/1,3,9/8,10 ~ 9.00
9: 1,2/5,11/1,3,9/8,10 ~ 12.00
10: 1,2/8/4,11/8,10 ~ 4.00
11: 1,2/8/1,3,9/2,3,5,7 ~ 12.00


Good luck!
Steve
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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Last edited by Kasept : 11-12-2016 at 04:38 PM.
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Old 11-12-2016, 12:04 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default

AQU SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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