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#1
06-17-2017, 07:41 AM
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6/17: Santa Anita ($231k C/O); Churchill Downs (4th-11th)
Wild Saturday has taken shape with carryover mania reaching a critical mass with Santa Anita ($230,866) and Belmont ($194,809) offering 2 day pots and Gulfstream forcing out the Rainbow 6 ($999,089). Later, Churchill has a fun Foster Night slate with 2 P5's..
Start times: Belmont 4th-3:04pm; Gulfstream 6th-3:25pm; Santa Anita 5th-6:03pm; Churchill 5th-8:03pm. SANTA ANITA POST-SCRATCHES 5th: OC/N1X, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD) $231,866 Carryover starts here.. Best Value: #4 Rocket Fuel 6-1 2nd Next Best: #3 Forest Blue 5-2 3rd Exotics Use: #7 Texas Two Step 4-1 5th Super Add: #6 Blue Anchor 12-1 WON ($39.20) 6th: 66th Honeymoon (G2), 3yo-F, 9f-T (P3, DD) Sircat Sally a lovely filly and likely to extend streak, but Pacific Wind has upside and may be able to test the favorite late going 9f.. Best Value: #2 Pacific Wind 9-2 3rd Next Best: #4 Sircat Sally 3-5 WON ($2.60) Exotics Use: #5 Beau Recall 4-1 2nd 7th: MCLM/$20k, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #13 Kenzou's Empire 4-1 4th Best Value: #5 Zachian 8-1 11th Next Best: #8 Specimen 7-2 6th Exotics Use: #6 Rick's Dream 6-1 2nd 8th: S/HCP, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD) Terrific starter 'cap with many angles to evaluate on horses from a host of clever outfits.. Best Value: #10 Trifecta 6-1 7th Next Best: #5 Hay Dude 7-2 WON ($6.80) Exotics Use: #3 Sky Preacher 3-1 5th Super Add: #2 Buymeabond 12-1 4th 9th: 72nd Summertime Oaks (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f (DD) With Abel Tasman out of the picture today, a chance for some late developers to earn black type.. Most Likely: #3 It Tiz Well 7-2 4th Next Best: #6 Faypien 7-2 WON ($9.00) Exotics Use: #8 Noted and Quoted 3-1 8th Super Add: #4 Sheza Chattykat 15-1 6th 10th: MSW, 3+, 1m-T (Hi-5) Most Likely: #6 Oregon 7-2 WON ($5.00) Next Best: #2 Kopitar 5-2 6th Exotics Use: #11 Member State 4-1 8th Super Add: #7 Divisor 12-1 3rd Hi-5 Play: #3 Awesome Heights 12-1 5th P6 Grid: 5: 3-4 (A), 6-7 (B), 8-9 (C) 6: 2-4 (A), - (B), 5 (C) 7: 13 (A), 5-8 (B), 2-6-11 (C) 8: 5-10 (A), - (B), 2-3 (C) 9: 3-6 (A), - (B), 8 (C) 10: 6 (A), - (B), 2-11 (C) Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x2x2x1 = 96 x $2 = $192 All A's: 2x2x1x2x2x1 = 16 x $2 = $32 $2 Pick-6 (6/4/11/5,7,8/6/1,6,12) Paid $84.00 (5OF6) x 3 = $252.00 P4 Grid: 7: 5-8-13 (A), 2-6-11 (B), - (C) 8: 2-3-5-10 (A), 2-3 (B), 1-9 (C) 9: 3-6 (A), 8 (B), 4-7-9 (C) 10: 6 (A), 2 (B), 11 (C) Simple (A+B): 6x4x2x2 = 96 x .50 = $48 All A's: 3x4x2x1 = $24 ($12 for .50) $0.50 Pick-4 (11/5,7,8/6/1,6,12) Paid $125.75 CHURCHILL DOWNS POST-SCRATCHES 4th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD) Best Value: #10 Space Mountain 10-1 7th Next Best: #4 Race Me Home 6-1 5th Exotics Use: #9 Kismet's Heels 7-2 10th Super Add: #3 Mucho Macho Bets 8-1 8th 5th: 20th Matt Winn, 3yo, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD) McCraken likely of course, but Colonelsdarktemper broke through to new level last out and will get first run behind solid DWL stretchout Aquamarine.. Most Likely: #2 McCraken 4-5 WON ($2.40) Best Value: #3 Coloneldarktemper 4-1 2nd Next Best: #5 Aquamarine 5-1 6th Exotics Use: #1 Excitations 9-2 5th 6th: 28th Wise Dan (G2), 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD) Nice group top to bottom. Feels like pace will be honest. Given opportunity to go narrow elsewhere, I'd spread liberally here.. Best Value: #6 Conquest Panthera 6-1 3rd Next Best: #7 Pleuven 3-1 6th Exotics Use: #2 Bondurant 8-1 4th Super Add: #8 Blofeld 10-1 5th 7th: 42nd Fleur De Lis (G2), F&M-3+, 9f (P5, P3, DD) Yes Forever Unbridled is very likely, but note that she didn't fire off 5+ month break in 2015 and today she returns off 7+ months. That said, if she doesn't run her A race, where do you turn? Doesn't look like Apology will get away easy up front with Big World close at hand. After that Walkabout, Carrumba and Romantic Vision look competitive.. Most Likely: #1 Forever Unbridled 4-5 WON ($4.20) Best Value: #6 Romantic Vision 8-1 8th Next Best: #5 Big World 6-1 4th Exotics Use: #3 Carrumba 6-1 3rd 8th: 36th Stephen Foster H. (G1), 3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD) There is authentic front end company for Gun Runner to his left and right, so it will be interesting to see how Geroux approaches the run to the turn. Honorable Duty looks like the most obvious threat Most Likely: #3 Gun Runner 4-5 WON ($3.00) Next Best: #4 Honorable Duty 6-1 2nd Best Value: #2 Breaking Lucky 8-1 3rd Exotics Use: #7 Texas Chrome 12-1 6th 9th: 48th Regret (G3), 3yo-F, 9f-T (P3, DD) Once again, the 3yo filly turfers provide a fun wagering scenario.. Most Likely: #4 Proctor's Ledge 7-2 2nd Best Value: #11 Starr Bear 8-1 - Next Best: #12 Chubby Star 5-1 4th Exotics Use: #2 Sweeping Paddy 4-1 WON ($9.20) P5 Grid: 5: 2 (A), - (B), 1-3-5 (C) 6: 2-6-7-8 (A), 1-3-4-5 (B), - (C) 7: 1-6 (A), - (B), 2-3-5-8 (C) 8: 3 (A), - (B), 4 (C) 9: 2-4-11-12 (A), 1-7-8-9 (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 1x8x2x1x8 = 128 x .50 = $64 All A's: 1x4x2x1x4 = 32 x .50 = $16 $0.50 Pick-5 (2/5/1,4/3/2) Paid $78.10 P4 Grid: 6: 2-6-7-8 (A), 1-3-4-5 (B), - (C) 7: 1-6 (A), - (B), 2-3-5-8 (C) 8: 3 (A), - (B), 4 (C) 9: 2-4-11-12 (A), 1-7-8-9 (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 8x2x1x8 = 128 x .50 = $64 All A's: 4x2x1x4 = 32 x .50 = $16 $0.50 Pick-4 (5/1,4/3/2) Paid $60.55 10th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (DD) Most Likely: #3 Miss Kentucky 5-2 WON ($3.00) Next Best: #9 Golden Amber 6-1 3rd Best Value: #12 Socata 15-1 6th Exotics Use: #5 Missseventhirteen 8-1 9th 11th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f (Hi-5) Most Likely: #8 Portal 5-2 WON ($4.60) Next Best: #3 Leading Cause 7-2 3rd Exotics Use: #9 Tapsolute 3-1 4th Best Value: #5 Unbridled Rebel 15-1 9th Hi-5 Play: #1 Sevier 12-1 5th P5 Grid: 7: 1 (A), - (B), 2-3-5-6-8 (C) 8: 3 (A), - (B), 4 (C) 9: 2-4-11-12 (A), 1-7-8-9 (B), - (C) 10: 3-9 (A), 12 (B), 5-6 (C) 11: 3-8-9 (A), - (B), 2-6-10 (C) Simple (A+B): 1x1x8x3x3 = 72 x .50 = $36 All A's: 1x1x4x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12 $0.50 Pick-5 (1-3-2-1/2/3/8-8) Paid $55.70 P4 Grid: 8: 3 (A), - (B), 1-2-4-7-8 (C) 9: 2-4-11-12 (A), 1-7-8-9 (B), - (C) 10: 3-9 (A), 12 (B), 5-6 (C) 11: 3-8-9 (A), - (B), 2-6-10 (C) Simple (A+B): 1x8x3x3 = 72 x .50 = $36 All A's: 1x4x2x3 = $24 ($12 for .50) $0.50 Pick-4 (2/3/8-8) Paid $89.80 ($44.90 for .50) Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 06-18-2017 at 05:00 AM. 
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#2
06-17-2017, 04:12 PM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#4
06-19-2017, 07:50 AM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#5
06-19-2017, 11:04 AM
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You definitely deserved a better fate boss. I'm surprised a west coast jock hasn't hired you to handicap their mounts and tell them what to do.
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