7/28: Saratoga (Day 7; Curlin)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Big Mara 9-2 WON ($4.80)
Next Best: #5 Missy Mouse 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: 2 Madam Aamoura 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Two Term Max 6-1 6th


2nd: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

First was tricky, this impossible. At least 7 of the 9 look eligible to win..

Best Value: #6 Here and There 6-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Lightening Buzz 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Noneedtoflatterme 4-1 WON ($5.40)
Super Add: #3 Kerry Boy 20-1 3rd


3rd: MSW, F&M-3+, 11f-IT (P3, DD)

Fun, well-matched group. Think you want those that have less dents in the fender..

Best Value: #6 Soar Once More 10-1 8th
Next Best: #2 Bodie's Valentine Late SCR
Exotics Use: #7 Dovecote 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Super Add: #9 Red Dane 8-1 7th


4th: CLM, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Plenty of pace signed on here..

Most Likely: #5 Will Did It 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #8 War Eagle's Return 20-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Draxhall Woods 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Gambler's Ghost 5-2 4th


5th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Looking Ready 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #9 Aveenu Malcainu 9-2 WON ($10.20)
Next Best: #4 Big Gemmy 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Valmont 20-1 10th


P5 Grid:

1: 1-5 (A), 2-6 (B), 4 (C)
2: 6-8-9 (A), - (B), 2-3 (C)
3: 2-6-7-9 (A), - (B), 5-8-10 (C)
4: 5 (A), - (B), 1-6-8 (C)
5: 1 (A), 9 (B), 2-4-5-6-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x4x1x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x3x4x1x1 = 24 x .50 = $12


P4 Grid:

2: 6-8-9 (A), - (B), 2-3-4 (C)
3: 2-6-7-9 (A), - (B), 5-8-10 (C)
4: 5 (A), 1-8 (B), 6 (C)
5: 1-9 (A), - (B), 2-4-5-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 3x4x1x2 = 24 x .50 = $12


6th: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Regal Roma 10-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Rimanisempreforte 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Magician's Vanity 12-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Baronet 15-1 8th


7th: OC/N3X, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Either Chad Brown runner can win. Tale of S'avail a winner in last dip to ALW company. Tale of Life was gelded, goes turf to dirt while cutting back, the 'ol Triple Whammy. Defending Navarro's Shaft of Light in multis..

Most Likely: #8 Economic Model 3-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Three Five India 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Tale of S'avail 10-1 WON ($21.40)
Exotics Use: #9 Shaft of Light 2 -1 3rd


8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 11f-IT (P3, DD)

Trio from 7/2 Belmont ALW (Rocketry, Gauguin, Memories of Peter) the principles here. Holiday Bonus always cashing checks. Harlan Strong appreciated added furlong for diploma and and another quarter mile should suit being out of Fitzcarraldo mare..

Most Likely: #8 Rocketry 2-1 WON ($4.70)
Best Value: #3 Memories of Peter 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Gauguin 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Shamsaan 10-1 5th


9th: Curlin, 3yo, 9f (DD)

Can't be surprised when by Sunday night, Chad Brown has swept this (You're to Blame), the Jim Dandy (Cloud Computing) and Haskell (Timeline OR Practical Joke)..

Most Likely: #7 You're to Blame 3-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Outplay 5-2 WON ($6.10)
Best Value: #3 Small Bear 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Thirst for Victory 9-2 5th


10th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 5.5f-T

Most Likely: #10 Money Laundering 5-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Atwitzend 6-1 3rd
Best Value: #13 Digitaldestruction 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Toast to Ghost 8-1 5th


P5 Grid:

6: 5-9 (A), - (B), 2-4-7-8-10 (C)
7: 4-8 (A), - (B), 2-6-9 (C)
8: 3-8 (A), 5-7 (B), - (C)
9: 2-7 (A), - (B), 1-3-5 (C)
10: 7-10-13 (A), - (B), 1-4-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x4x2x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x2x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24


P4 Grid:

7: 4-8 (A), - (B), 2-6-9 (C)
8: 3-8 (A), 5-7 (B), - (C)
9: 2-7 (A), 3 (B), 1-5 (C)
10: 7-9-10-13 (A), - (B), 1-4-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x4x4 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 2x2x2x4 = 32 x .50 = $64


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

SAR SCR/CHG'S

[myke]

Thank you for your hard work Steve.

I hit the early pick 5 and pick 4 at saratoga by adding driving me crazy in the fourth race. We just love horse racing. another x-mas day in july