8/16: Saratoga (Day 23; Bolton Landing)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: ALW/N2L, 4+, 16.5f-National Fences (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Kremlin 4-1 6th
Best Value: #8 Bishop's Castle 8-1 DNF
Next Best: #6 Mutasaaway 5-2 WON ($4.20)
Exotics Use: #3 Hooded 20-1 5th


2nd: MSW, 3+, 9f (P5, P3, DD)

There's a number of nice horses here that have simply had the misfortune of running into tough customers as they look to graduate..

Most Likely: #1 Speith 9-5 WON ($5.40)
Best Value: #4 Powerful Ally 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #7 D'ambrosio 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Alpha Team 6-1 6th


3rd: ALW/N$Y, 3+, 11f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Fire Away 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Holiday Star 8-5 4th
Best Value: #4 Mark My Style 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Muqtaser 5-2 WON ($5.30)


4th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

#1a Easy Way Out will be a SCR to run in Thursday's 1st..

Most Likely: #1 Lady Devil 9-5 5th
Next Best: #3 Lady Constance 7-5 WON ($4.70)
Exotics Use: #6 Jump for Joy 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 B Three 15-1 4th


5th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Stolen Pistol 3-1 WON ($17.40)
Most Likely: #4 My Mr. Wonderful 2-1 9th
Exotics Use: #7 Cross Multiply 15-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Sicilia Sal 12-1 7th


6th: CLM, 3+, 7f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Saratoga Wildcat 5-2 7th
Best Value: #4 Paden 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #1a (POE) Power Nap 7-2 4th/WON ($9.30)
Exotics Use: #2 Old Upstart 5-1 6th


P5 Grid:

2: 1-4-7 (A), - (B), 2-6 (C)
3: 3 (A), 1 (B), 4-5 (C)
4: 1-3 (A), - (B), 5-6 (C)
5: 4-5 (A), 7 (B), 2-6-8-10 (C)
6: 4-7 (A), 1-2 (B), 6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x1x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12


P4 Grid:

3: 1-3 (A), 4-5 (B), - (C)
4: 1-3 (A), - (B), 5-6 (C)
5: 4-5-7 (A), - (B), 2-6-8-10 (C)
6: 4-7 (A), 1-2-6 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x2x3x2 = $24 ($12 for .50)

$0.50 Pick-4 (5/2,3,4/5/1) Paid $90.00


7th: OC/N1X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1e Claiborne entry 4-5 WON ($2.90)/2nd
Next Best: #7 Zoot Suit 4-1 7th
Best Value: #2 Fear 15-1 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Amelia's Wild Ride 6-1 8th


8th: NY-CLM, 3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 No Texting 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #3 Mobridge 9-5 WON ($6.70)
Exotics Use: #6 Damage Control 2-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Irish Prayer 6-1 5th


9th: Bolton Landing, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (DD)

This is a terrific race with 2 Wards and 2 Pletchers as well as invaders from WO (Casse) & LRL (capable Susan Cooney). No easy eliminations to the point that I can't even put the Wesleys in the super on paper!

Most Likely: #6 Sugar Queen 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 March X Press 8-1 WON ($6.80)
Next Best: #3 Sly Beauty 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Buy Sell Hold 5-1 5th


10th: MCLM/$20k, 3+, 7f

Most Likely: #3 Irst 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #6 Schott 6-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Britain 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Presidential Bird 6-1 5th


P6 Grid:

6: 1-4-7 (A), 2-6 (B), 3-5 (C)
7: 1 (A), - (B), 2-7 (C)
8: 2-3 (A), - (B), 6-7 (C)
9: 3-5-6 (A), 1-2-8 (B), 4-7 (C)
10: 3-6 (A), - (B), 2-4-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x1x2x6x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x1x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick 5 (1/1/3/2,5/2) Paid $579.00 (A-A-A-A-C)


P4 Grid:

7: 1 (A), 2-7 (B), 3-4-5-6 (C)
8: 2-3-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 3-5-6 (A), 1-2-8 (B), 4-7 (C)
10: 3-6 (A), - (B), 2-4-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x4x3x2 = $24 ($12 for .50)

$0.50 Pick 4 (1/3/2,5/2) Paid $82.25 (A-A-A-C)


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

SAR SCR/CHG'S