9/2: Saratoga ($72k C/O; Woodward, Spinaway)

Kasept · #1 09-02-2017, 06:37 AM

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Guick 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Driven by Thunder 2-1 WON ($3.40)
Best Value: #4 Saratoga Charlie 20-1
Exotics Use: #3 Reedini 10-1 2nd

2nd: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Maraud, a half to Arklow, working well for debut. Johnny will have to work out the trip..

Most Likely: #10 Maraud 7-2 WON ($4.90)
Best Value: #4 A I Initiative 10-1 9th
Next Best: #2 Oroscopo 3-1 10th
Exotics Use: #9 Telecommunication 9-2 8th

3rd: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Bluegrass Jamboree 2-1 WON ($5.10)
Best Value: #7 Never Hungover 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Frosty Gal 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Might Be 20-1 2nd

4th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #11 Turbo Street 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #5 Slim Shadey 3-1 WON ($7.40)
Exotics Use: #7 Dancetrack 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #13 Doc's Legacy 5-1 10th

5th: ALW/N1X, 3yo, 1m-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Let's Get Loud 9-2 WON ($6.10)
Next Best: #3 Funtastic 5-2 9th
Best Value: #11 Brockton George 20-1 10th
Exotics Use: #4 Lookin for Eight 8-1 7th

P5 Grid:

1: 1-6 (A), - (B), 3-4 (C)
2: 10 (A), - (B), 2-4-6-9 (C)
3: 3-7-9 (A), - (B), 1-6 (C)
4: 5-11 (A), 7-13 (B), - (C)
5: 3-5-11 (A), 1-4-8 (B), 6-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x1x3x4x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x1x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 'All A's' PICK FIVE (1,5/10,11,12,13,14,15/3,5/5/5,13,14,15) Paid $164.75

P4 Grid:

2: 10 (A), - (B), 2-4-6-9 (C)
3: 3-7-9 (A), - (B), 1-6 (C)
4: 5-11 (A), 7-13 (B), - (C)
5: 3-4-5-11 (A), 1-6-8-10 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x3x4x8 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 1x3x2x4 = 24 x .50 = $12

$0.50 'All A's' PICK FOUR (10,11,12,13,14,15/3,5/5/5,13,14,15) Paid $59.62

6th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

3 major first time starters (Venezuela, Hofburg, Biblical) facing 3 with experience (Slot, Lionite, Bourbon Resolution)..

Most Likely: #9 Lionite 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Venezuela 4-1 5th
Best Value: #3 Hofburg 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Bourbon Resolution 8-1 WON ($10.60)

7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD)

$72k P6 C/O starts here..

Deep, competitive group of high 80's/low 90's Beyering and brutal way to start the P6. Returning Gift Box just one of many capable here, but is off a 10 month break and likely to be overbet. Speedy Still Krz would be a wire threat if not for the presence of Loooch's May B, literally a quarter horse (some Los Al tries) that was refused Woodward entry. Alex the Terror, at a silly 20-1, could tuck in behind the pacesetters to make first run and Sciacca a nifty 20% (6 for 30) with a $5.58 ROI first off the claim over the last 24 months. Singing Bullet (10-1) had a difficult assignment from the rail in the Amsterdam, but moves outside and worked sharply for this spot. Sound the Horns (12-1) owns CLM/N3L win over the strip at the trip, retains JOrtiz and should get an advantageous journey. Tremendous race..

Most Likely: #8 Sound the Horns 12-1 9th
Next Best: #1 Still Krz 3-1 7th
Best Value: #2 Alex the Terror 20-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Singing Bullet 10-1 6th
Super Add: #6 Gift Box 2-1 4th

8th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Another eye-crossing scullbuster with countless contenders, several of which have run well here already this summer. Decisions need to be made regarding pace (might be more than meets the eye) and those that get back to the grass (Malibu Stacy, Jc's Shooting Star, Spanish Harlem, Smile Big). Chad Brown may offer a safe haven for bargain-hunting multi-race tickets with Create a Dream a 'first time 3yo' and Thais 'first time North America'..

Best Value: #4 Create a Dream 9-2 4th
Next Best: #6 Thais 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Wild About Harry 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Truth in the Lies 6-1 8th

9th: 110th Saranac (G3), 3yo, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Terrific cast with familiar turfing sophomores like Bricks and Mortar, Yoshida & Master Plan meeting up with new faces like Day-Phillips Canadian visitor Mr Havercamp, 3x Spa stand winner Voodoo Song and emergent Jerkens-Centennial player Rocketry. Would think by now jocks aware that Voodoo Song can't be left to own devices and with Mo Maverick SCR'D and first turf Caviar Czar right outside him, some pressure should be exerted. Expect a patented inside-out Bravo ride on Mr Havercamp, establishing forward position behind those leaders while saving ground until the stretch. Bricks and Mortar and Rocketry, (possibly Yoshida), will be the late-movers that provide for wire drama. Yet another tremendous and compelling cast..

Best Value: #9 Rocketry 6-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Bricks and Mortar 8-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Yoshida 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #1 Mr Havercamp 8-1 5th

P4 Grid:

6: 7 (A), 9 (B), 3-5-6 (C)
7: 1-2-8 (A), 5-6-9 (B), - (C)
8: 4-6 (A), - (B), 1-2-5-8-10 (C)
9: 1-2-4-8 (A), 5-6 (B), 3-7-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x6x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x3x2x4 = $24 ($12 for .50)

10th: 126th Spinaway (G1), 2yo-F, 7f (SAR-DMR X-Country P4, P3, DD)

With due respect to ADK winner Pure Silver, this comes down to Seperationofpowers and Lady Ivanka, the 2 most impressive debut winners of the meet. Brown/Klaravich filly has a slight tactical edge..

Most Likely: #1 Separationofpowers 6-5 3rd
Next Best: #3 Lady Ivanka 9-2 WON ($12.40)
Exotics Use: #5 Maya Malibu 8-1 2nd

11th: 64th Woodward (G1), 3+, 9f (DD)

Despite a summer parade of upsets of short priced horses, hard to envision a misstep from Gun Runner here..

Most Likely: #2 Gun Runner 2-5 WON ($2.70)
Next Best: #3 Rally Cry 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 War Story 8-1 4th

DEL MAR 7th: Del Mar Debutante (G1), 2yo-F, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Just a Smidge 3-1 5th
Best Value: #2 Moonshine Memories 6-1 WON ($13.40)
Next Best: #3 Spectator 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Poetic 4-1 6th

DEL MAR 9th: John C. Mabee (G2), F&M-3+, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Cambodia 9-2 WON ($7.80)
Best Value: #6 Mrs. McDougal 5-1 6th
Next Best: #13 Goodyearforroses 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Hillhouse High 12-1 12th

Cross Country P4 Grid:

SAR 10: 1-3 (A), - (B), 4-5 (C)
SAR 11: 2 (A), - (B), 1-3-4 (C)
DMR 7: 2-3-5 (A), 6-8 (B), - (C)
DMR 9: 4-6-13 (A), 1-8-10 (B), 3-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x1x5x6 = $60 ($30 for .50)
All A's: 2x1x3x3 = $18 ($9 for each .50 punch)

$1 'All A's' PICK FOUR (3-2-2-4) Paid $225.70 ($112.85 for .50)

12th: 22nd Glens Falls (G2), F&M-3+, 11f-IT

Competitive but lacking pace. Won't Jose Ortiz be interested in the front end taking over duties on War Flag?

Most Likely: #4 War Flag 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Harmonize 7-2 WON ($9.40)
Best Value: #3 Summersault 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Sarandia 9-2 8th

P6 Grid:

7: 1-8 (A), 2-6-9 (B), 3-5 (C)
8: 4-6 (A), - (B), 1-2-5-8 (C)
9: 4-9 (A), - (B), 1-2 (C)
10: 1 (A), 3 (B), 4-5 (C)
11: 2 (A), - (B), 3 (C)
12: 4-8 (A), - (B), 3-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x2x2x1x2 = 80 x $2 = $160
All A's: 2x2x2x1x1x2 = 16 x $2 = $32

P5 Grid:

8: 2-4-6 (A), 1-5 (B), 8-10 (C)
9: 4-9 (A), 1-2 (B), 5-6 (C)
10: 1-3 (A), - (B), 4-5 (C)
11: 2 (A), - (B), 1-3-4 (C)
12: 3-4-8 (A), - (B), 1-2-5-6-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x4x2x1x3 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x2x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

9: 1-2-4-9 (A), 5-6 (B), 3-7-8 (C)
10: 1-3 (A), - (B), 4-5 (C)
11: 2 (A), - (B), 1-3-4 (C)
12: 3-4-7-8 (A), 1-2-4-6 (B), 9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x2x1x8 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 4x2x1x4 = 32 x .50 = $16

$0.50 PICK FOUR (5/3/2/8) Paid $213.50

Good luck!
Steve