7/21: Saratoga (Diana, Sanford)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM, 3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1a (POE) Forge 8-5 2nd/3rd
Best Value: #2 Knights Key 8-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Helooksthepart 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Always a Suspect 8-1 WON ($16.20)


2nd: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Digital Footprint 5-2: Brown/Klarman FTS o/o LDK mare.. 2nd
Best Value: #6 My Macho 10-1: Karlovy Vary half moves to lawn.. 6th
Next Best: #1 Sir Winston 8-1 9th
Exotics Use: #5 One Mission 15-1 4th


3rd: Opt CLM/$80k, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Behavioral Bias 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Awesome Slew 9-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Rally Cry 5-2 4th


4th: MSW, F&M-3+, 9.5f-T (P3, DD)

Hoping Jose Ortiz is in control up front with Agreeable..

Most Likely: #3 Agreeable 3-1 4th
Best Value: #5 Gentle Ruler 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Windjammer 5-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 War Cabinet 8-1 WON ($7.60)


5th: CLM, 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

It's the triple whammy on Karen's Girl, dropping down, cutting back while moving turf to dirt. Shape Shifter SCR'D the horse to beat..

Most Likely: #3 Karen's Gem 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #7 Aggregator 6-1 4th
Next Best #9 Our Girl Abby 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Miss Katie Bug 3-1 7th


P5 Grid:

1: 1 (A), 2 (B), 4 (C)
2: 6-8 (A), - (B), 1-3-9-10 (C)
3: 3-4-5 (A), - (B), 1 (C)
4: 3-5-7 (A), 2-4-6 (B), 1-8 (C)
5: 3-7 (A), - (B), 6-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x3x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

2: 6-8 (A), 1 (B), 3-9-10 (C)
3: 3-4-5 (A), 1 (B), - (C)
4: 3-5-7 (A), 2-4-6 (B), 1-8 (C)
5: 3-8 (A), - (B), 7-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


6th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD)

2nd to Sanford-entered Strike Silver in debut, Nitrous comes to Spa with high marks and big expectations. But lurking in the weeds are 3 Into Mischiefs (3 Binary-4 Markwet King-10 Most Mischief), "distinctive looking" (OK, freaky, odd, cow-faced) Southern Phantom (Bodemeister) & Hill 'n' Dale stallion showcase players Puttheglassdown (Violence) & Cromwell Avenue (Flashback). Coast SCR'D is a factor should he draw in too..

Most Likely: #2 Nitrous 2-1 WON ($3.70)
Best Value: #9 Cromwell Avenue 15-1 6th-DH
Next Best: #3 Binary 7-2 4th
Super Add: #8 Southern Phantom 10-1 5th


7th: Opt CLM/$80k, 4+, 9f-IT (NYRA Bets P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Silverwave 3-1 5th
Best Value: #4 Hello Don Julio 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Call Provision 2-1 WON ($5.30)
Exotics Use: #8 Rocketry 5-2 3rd


8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #10 Battle Joined 6-1 WON ($6.40)
Next Best: #3 Really Proud 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Conquest Tizfire 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #1 Le Natural 10-1 3rd


9th: 103rd Sanford (G3), 2yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Strike Silver 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Sombeyay 2-1 WON ($7.70)
Best Value: #6 Chase Greatness 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Lexitonian 3-1 6th


10th: 80th Diana (G1), F&M-3+, 9f-T (DD)

Best Value: #2 Proctor's Ledge 4-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Sistercharlie 9-5 WON ($4.30)
Exotics Use: #6 A Raving Beauty 2-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 Ultra Brat 8-1 2nd


11th: CLM, 3+, 1m-IT

Brutal end to card. Crazily competitive..

Best Value: #2 Thatcher Street 8-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Souperfast 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #11 Team Colors 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Monster Bea 6-1 7th


P5 Grid:

7: 4-7 (A), - (B), 1-8 (C)
8: 3-10 (A), - (B), 1-6-11 (C)
9: 1-8 (A), 2-6 (B), 3-4-7 (C)
10: 1-2 (A), 6 (B), 3-5-7 (C)
11: 2-8-11 (A), - (B), 1-6-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x2x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24


P4 Grid:

8: 3-10 (A), - (B), 1-6-11 (C)
9: 1-8 (A), 2-6 (B), 3-4-7 (C)
10: 1-2-6 (A), - (B), 3-5-7 (C)
11: 2-8-11 (A), 1-6-9 (B), 3-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

SAR SCR/CHG'S

[moses]

Thanks Steve. I got crushed yesterday so going to take it slow today. I think Lexitonian will be overbet but is not the best horse in that race so I’ll be betting against. I like Sombeyay and Strike Silver much better as well.