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#1
08-19-2018, 06:21 AM
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8/19: Saratoga (Day 27); Del Mar ($786k P5 C/O)
SARATOGA
POST-SCRATCHES 1st: CLM, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P5, P3, DD) Most Likely: #7 Miss Nancy 6-1 3rd Next Best: #1 (POE) Glory to Kitten 9-5 WON ($3.80) Best Value: #4 Silver Magnolia 15-1 8th Exotics Use: #5 Miss Aja Brown 5-1 7th 2nd: MSW, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD) Best Value: #7 Timber Ghost 6-1 WON ($11.00) Next Best: #1 Asdaaf 2-1 7th Exotics Use: #8 Pennyforyourthoughts 5-1 8th Super Add: #4 Leinster 5-2 2nd 3rd: MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD) Best Value: #10 Tap Tap Taparoo 10-1 WON ($21.60) Next Best: #8 Alternative Energy 3-1 2nd Exotics Use: #4 Overheated 12-1 9th Super Add: #7 Stylishly 10-1 7th 4th: Summer Colony-R, F&M-4+, 9f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #1 Awestruck 7-5 4th Best Value: #3 Forever Liesl 6-1 3rd Next Best: #4 Moonlit Garden 9-5 WON ($6.30) 5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-IT (P6, P3, DD) Most Likely: #5 Newspaperofrecord 5-2 WON ($5.00) Next Best: #1 Sister Kitten 6-1 2nd Best Value: #4 Alasaayil 8-1 3rd Exotics Use: #3 Shannon's Girl 7-2 5th P5 Grid: 1: 1-4-7 (A), - (B), 2-5 (C) 2: 1-7 (A), 4-8 (B), 6 (C) 3: 8-10 (A), - (B), 4-6-7 (C) 4: 1-3-4 (A), - (B), 2-5 (C) 5: 5 (A), 1 (B), 4 (C) Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72 All A's: 3x2x2x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18 $0.50 Pick-5 (1,8/7/10/4/5,11,12,13) Paid $758.75 P4 Grid: 2: 1-7 (A), 4-8 (B), 6 (C) 3: 8-10 (A), 4 (B), 6-7 (C) 4: 1-3-4 (A), - (B), 2-5 (C) 5: 1-5 (A), - (B), 4 (C) Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36 All A's: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 $0.50 Pick-4 (7/10/4/5,11,12,13) Paid $313.50 6th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 5.5f-T (NYRA Bets P5, G/S, P3, DD) Crazily competitive lawn dash.. Best Value: #7 We Should Talk 8-1 WON ($13.40) Next Best: #2 Fast Getaway 9-2 5th Exotics Use: #3 Vitsal 2-1 6th Super Add: #5 Outrageous Bet 12-1 2nd 7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #8 Flatter My Heart 7-2 6th Next Best: #2 Mo Wheels Up 3-1 5th Best Value: #5 Two Dozen Roses 10-1 WON-Up via DQ ($9.40) Exotics Use: #9 China Cat 9-2 7th 8th: Opt CLM/C, 4+, 7f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #4 Wonderful Light 5-2 6th Best Value: #3 Behavioral Bias 7-2 4th Next Best: #1 Favorable Outcome 3-1 2nd Exotics Use: #2 Life in Shambles 5-1 5th 9th: Opt CLM/C, 3yo, 9.5f-T (DD) Best Value: #5 Nakamura 6-1 2nd Next Best: #9 Admission Office 7-5 WON ($3.60) Exotics Use: #7 War Chest 8-1 4th Super Add: #10 Strike 4-1 6th 10th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f Most Likely: #1 Fortythreeoeight N 7-2 9th Best Value: #11 Over Rider 15-1 7th Next Best: #3 Generalist 6-1 5th Exotics Use: #2 Comeoncomecat 5-1 2nd P5 Grid: 6: 2-3-7 (A), - (B), 1-4-5 (C) 7: 2-8 (A), - (B), 5-9 (C) 8: 3-4 (A), 1-2 (B), 6-7 (C) 9: 5-9 (A), - (B), 7-10 (C) 10: 1-11 (A), 2-3 (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x2x4 = 192 x .50 = $96 All A's: 3x2x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 P4 Grid: 7: 2-5-8 (A), - (B), 1-9 (C) 8: 3-4 (A), 1-2 (B), 6-7 (C) 9: 5-7-9 (A), - (B), 8-10 (C) 10: 1-11 (A), 2-3 (B), 4-6-7 (C) Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72 All A's: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 DEL MAR PRE-SCRATCHES 1st: CLM, 3+, 1m (P5, P3, DD) $786k P5 C/O starts here.. Pot could hit $4MM.. Not a lot of speed here and big plays will buy the race.. Most Likely: #5 Avanti Bello 5-2 6th Next Best: #6 Point Piper 3-1 2nd Exotics Use: #4 Mercer Island 7-2 WON ($11.20) Super Add: #1 Beantown Boys 4-1 4th 2nd: CLM, 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD) Four on the lead types (2-3-4-5) and three closers (1-6-7).. Most Likely: #1 Heartfullofstars 5-2 3rd Best Value: #4 Royal Creed 5-1 4th Next Best: #2 Candy Crew 7-2 7th Exotics Use: #5 Hoss Cartwright 6-1 6th 3rd: Opt CLM/C, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD) Most Likely: #6 Quebec 5-2 WON ($8.00) Next Best: #1 Helen Hillary 7-2 - Exotics Use: #3 Dominating Woman 3-1 4th Super Add: #7 A Little Bit Me 5-1 3rd 4th: Cal-OC/N1X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD) Headley sends VERY nice pair in 3yo Surfing Star (first out winner in February) and 4yo The Street Fighter (last seen in ambitious Malibu try). Perfect Wager flies late out of open company S/ALW win. King Abner returns to dirt and Churchill CLM win fits here. Small budget plays will lean on Surfing Star as a single.. Most Likely: #2 Surfing Star 5-2 6th Next Best: #4 King Abner 3-1 4th Best Value: #1 Perfect Wager 6-1 3rd Exotics Use: #6 The Street Fighter 7-2 7th 5th: MSW, F&M-3+, 5f-T (P6, P3, DD) Tricky finish to potential payday with MDN's turf sprinting. Sadler/Van Dyke/Hronis look potent outside with Point of Entry (17% debut winners) miss. Carla Gaines historically bad first out but it looks like Midnight in Dixie is a runner. Orageuse (Mandella) makes soph debut here and Fiftyeight Special should like the turf.. Best Value: #7 Midnight in Dixie 8-1 4th Next Best: #12 Tantara 7-2 WON ($6.20) Exotics Use: #4 Fiftyeight Special 8-1 8th Super Add: #3 Orageuse 5-1 9th P5 Grid: 1: 5-6 (A), 1-4 (B), 2-3 (C) 2: 1-4 (A), - (B), 2-5 (C) 3: 1-6 (A), 3 (B), 7 (C) 4: 2-4 (A), - (B), 1-5-6 (C) 5: 7-4-12 (A), - (B), 3 (C) Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72 All A's: 2x2x2x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24 P4 Grid: 2: 1-4 (A), 2-5 (B), 3-6-7 (C) 3: 1-6 (A), 3 (B), 7 (C) 4: 2-4 (A), - (B), 1-5-6 (C) 5: 3-4-7-12 (A), - (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48 All A's: 2x2x2x4 = 32 x .50 = $16 Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 08-19-2018 at 09:23 PM. 
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#4
08-19-2018, 03:25 PM
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Great job Steve!
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"Relax, alright? Don't try to strike everybody out. Strikeouts are boring; besides that, they're fascist. Throw some ground balls. It's more democratic."-- Crash Davis
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