9/19: Belmont ($326k C/O) ~ OFF THE TURF

[Kasept]

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-OFF/TURF (P6, P3, DD))

3-day $326k P6 C/O starts here..

Best Value: #8 Puffery 2nd
Next Best: #6 Unbridledadventure WON ($12.20)
Exotics Use: #1a Myhartbelongstodady 3rd
Super Add: #9 Cha Cha Heels 5th


5th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (NYRA Bets P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Steam Engine 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Six Brothers 10-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Grammi Dance 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Stop Me If You Can 5-2 3rd


6th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f-OFF/TURF (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Morning Breez 2nd
Next Best: #6 Killybegs Captain WON ($6.10)
Exotics Use: #5 Thunder's Honor 5th
Super Add: #3 Bourbon Currency 3rd


7th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 7f-OFF/TURF (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #13 Potomac WON ($3.50)
Next Best: #7 Dooley 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Ride On Faith 5th


8th: Joseph A. Gimma-NY, 2yo-F, 7f (DD)

Most Likely: #4 Elegant Zip 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #1 More Mischief 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #7 Cartwheelin Lulu 10-1 WON ($16.00)
Exotics Use: #2 Maiden Beauty 9-2 6th


9th: NY-MCLM/$25k, F&M-3+, 6.5f

Most Likely: #5 Zecha 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Party in the Sand 7-2 WON ($8.40)
Best Value: #4 Tequila Sunday 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 That'snothername 8-1 7th


P6 Grid:

4: 6-8 (A), 1-9 (B), - (C)
5: 1-7 (A), - (B), 5-8 (C)
6: 1-6 (A), - (B), 3-5-7 (C)
7: 13 (A), - (B), 7-9 (C)
8: 4 (A), 1 (B), 7 (C)
9: 5-7 (A), 4 (B), 3 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x2x1x2x3 = 96 x $2 = $192
All A's: 2x2x2x1x1x2 = 16 x $2 = $32


NYRA Bets P5 Grid:

5: 1-5-7 (A), 2-8-9 (B), - (C)
6: 1-6 (A), - (B), 3-5-7 (C)
7: 13 (A), - (B), 7-9 (C)
8: 1-4 (A), - (B), 7 (C)
9: 4-5-7 (A), 3 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x2x1x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 3x2x1x2x3 = 36 x $2 = $18


P4 Grid:

6: 1-5-6 (A), 3-7 (B), - (C)
7: 13 (A), 7-9 (B), - (C)
8: 1-4 (A), - (B), 7 (C)
9: 3-4-5-7 (A), - (B), 6-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x3x2x4 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x1x2x4 = 24 x .50 = $12

$0.50 Pick-4 (6/3,4,5,6,10,12,13/7/7) Paid $180.75 (A-A-C-A) ~ $72 Play


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

BEL SCR/CHG'S

[moses]

Thanks Steve.

I’m a little suspicious of the ML for #8 Stop Me If You Can for Race 5. He has raced 3 times now with little improvement. I’m with you on #1 Steam Engine being the top pick in that race but I’ll probably include #4 Bettor Bank On It and FTS #9 Funny Guy as well. Overall, it seems like a tough race as there are multiple horses that are eligible to improve.

[moses]

Originally Posted by moses

Thanks Steve.

I’m a little suspicious of the ML for #8 Stop Me If You Can for Race 5. He has raced 3 times now with little improvement. I’m with you on #1 Steam Engine being the top pick in that race but I’ll probably include #4 Bettor Bank On It and FTS #9 Funny Guy as well. Overall, it seems like a tough race as there are multiple horses that are eligible to improve.

Well I was off with my alternate picks but good job Steve with the Pick 4 and Pick 5 grids. The $0.50 Pick 5 paid $1,800+ so anyone who included the #7 Cartwheelin Lulu in Race 8 had a nice day.