1/24: Oaklawn ~ Opening Day (5th-9th)

[Kasept]

OAKLAWN ~ OPENING DAY


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: CLM, 4+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Giant Pulpit 12-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Red Clay Magic 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Lewys Vaporizer 3-1 WON ($6.00)
Super Add: #3 Giddymeister 7-2 9th


6th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Yeesh.. Slowish-looking MDN group going 2 turns while presenting a murky pace scenario. 7-2 second choice Ahsad (Shadwell/Peitz) exits 3 key races on turf, fast and slop earning field's best figures while being soundly beaten. Chet Thomas/Bret Calhoun City Zip colt Ready to Roll (6-1) may benefit from the move to 2 turns and should be out front from the break with Stewie Elliott who boasts a gaudy 10 for 26 (38%; $3.52) mark with the barn. Selleck, a half to Caleb's Posse, adds hood and stretches out for Joe Petalino. D. Wayne has a chance to win on opening day for the Zayat receivers with Lido Legacy. Instigated goes out for M & M & 38% 1st/claim Norm McKnight. Descent is a half to SW Pretty n Cool for Winchell/Horton & Asmussen..

Best Value: #3 Ready to Roll 6-1 WON ($9.20)
Next Best: #2 Ahsad 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Lido Legacy 3-1 4th
Super Add: #4 Instigated 8-1 2nd


7th: OC/N$Y, 4+, 6f (P3, DD)

Deep and wildly competitive group made extra intriguing by the presence of new Oaklawn residents Sadler (Horse Greedy) and Hollendorfer (Awesome Anywhere), as well as Asmussen/Brewster KEE/NOV buy ($47k) Nero, a $950k Coolmore/Stonestreet yearling last seen running 3rd in the Triple Bend for Baffert..

Best Value: #1 Silver Ride 10-1 WON ($35.60)
Next Best: #7 Awesome Anywhere 9-2 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Nero 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #11 Gordy Florida 8-1 3rd


8th: Smarty Jones, 3yo, 1m (DD)

With 4 of these 9 stretching out off of sprints, pace has to be honest at the least, giving stalker-closer types their chance. Note that 'first finish line' (16th pole) is in play, so there isn't a great deal of stretch to navigate. Though winless, Cox-Godolphin mid-pack type Shared Sense ran into some of KY's nicest 2yo's last year including Liam's Map & Silver Prospector and was further flattered by Blackberry's Wine's 94 Beyer ALW win Saturday at Fairgrounds. Working at OP, adds Geroux to equation and 12-1 to start the bidding..

Best Value: #3 Shared Sense 12-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Silver Prospector 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Shoplifted 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Lynn's Map 6-1 6th


9th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 6f

Most Likely: #4 Black Kat Taps 5-2 5th
Best Value: #9 Moorac 15-1 10th
Next Best: #12 Kiss the Girl 8-5 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Cherokee Chatter 10-1 8th


P5 Grid:

5: 5-9 (A), 2-3 (B), 1-7 (C)
6: 2-3 (A), - (B), 4-7 (C)
7: 1-2-7 (A), - (B), 8-11 (C)
8: 2-3 (A), 7 (B), 6-8-9 (C)
9: 4-9 (A), - (B), 6-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x3x2x2 =48 x .50 = $24


P4 Grid:

6: 2-3 (A), 4-7 (B), 6 (C)
7: 1-2-7 (A), - (B), 8-11 (C)
8: 2-3 (A), 7-8 (B), 4-6-9 (C)
9: 4-9-12 (A), - (B), 6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x2x3 =36 x .50 = $18


Good luck!
Steve

[moses]

Thanks and good luck Steve. It looks like a pretty nice field for the Smarty Jones.

One thing I find interesting (and maybe it isn’t that interesting at all) is that Gaffalione who normally rides Casse’s top horses isn’t listed for Lynn’s Map, even though he has ridden him before. When Lynn’s Map was entered in the Lecomte, Mena was listed, I assume because Gaffalione was at Gulfstream with Casse. Casse has kept Mena on Lynn’s Map. Not every trainer would do that.

[Alabama Stakes]

I was wondering about the Three Technique hoss. He’s trained by Engleheart, but has been training at hot springs. Is he in New York and someone else has him in their barn there, or did he go there ?

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes

I was wondering about the Three Technique hoss. He’s trained by Engleheart, but has been training at hot springs. Is he in New York and someone else has him in their barn there, or did he go there ?

Sent an assistant there with 15-16 horses.

[casp0555]

dude, you are on fire

[moses]

Great call there Steve. I ALMOST put the #1 Silver Ride in my bet because of you...but I didn’t because I’m an idiot.

Nice pick these last two races.

[asudevil]

Um, Boom

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by moses

Thanks and good luck Steve. It looks like a pretty nice field for the Smarty Jones.

One thing I find interesting (and maybe it isn’t that interesting at all) is that Gaffalione who normally rides Casse’s top horses isn’t listed for Lynn’s Map, even though he has ridden him before. When Lynn’s Map was entered in the Lecomte, Mena was listed, I assume because Gaffalione was at Gulfstream with Casse. Casse has kept Mena on Lynn’s Map. Not every trainer would do that.

Casse has used Mena for a long time going back to their Foster win together with Pool Play.

[Kasept]

OP SCR/CHG'S