2/29: Gulfstream (4th-14th)

[Kasept]

GULFSTREAM PARK


POST SCRATCHES


4th: Palm Beach (G3), 3yo, 8.5f-T/24' (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #12 Vitalogy 9-2 WON ($6.00)
Best Value: #10 Famished 10-1 5th
Next Best: #7 South Bend 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Life On Top 12-1 7th


5th: Honey Fox, F&M-4+, 1m-T/96' (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Will try again with Getmother after Rosario left her with too much to do last time. Junior Alvarado a nice fit for her..

Best Value: #7 Getmotherarose 15-1 WON ($24.80)
Next Best: #11 Valedictorian 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Atomic Blonde 9-2 8th
Super Add: #4 La Feve 6-1 4th


6th: OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Plus Que Parfait 3-1 6th
Next Best: #7 McErin 9-2 7th
Best Value: #6 Just Whistle 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Scars Are Cool 5-2 3rd


7th: The Very One (G3), F&M-4+, 11f-T/96' (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Quite a few making seasonal debuts here and feels like those that are in form are the prefered leans..

Best Value: #5 Cap de Creus 8-1 8th
Next Best: #8 La Signare 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Touriga 8-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Lemon Zip 9-2 12th


8th: MSW, 3yo, 1m (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #2 Precise Dancer 4-1 8th
Best Value: #4 Awakened 8-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Mister Candy Ride 7-2 WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #11 Hero d'Oro 6-1 10th


9th: Herecomesthebride (G3), 3yo-F, 8.5f-T/24' (Rainbow P6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #8 Stunning Sky 10-1 11th
Next Best: #7 Abscond 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Declarationwarrior 12-1 3rd
Super Add: #11 Sunset Promise 12-1 6th


10th: Davona Dale (G2), 3yo-F, 1m (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Spice Is Nice 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Emily's Oasis 10-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Tonalist's Shape 7-2 WON ($6.20)
Exotics Use: #5 Reluctant Bride 15-1 4th


P4 Grid:

7: 2-5-8 (A), 3-6-7-10 (B), - (C)
8: 2 (A), - (B), 4-6 (C)
9: 3-7-8-11 (A), 5-10 (B), - (C)
10: 6 (A), - (B), 3-5-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 7x1x6x1 = $42 ($21 for .50)
All A's: 3x1x4x1 = $12 ($6 for .50)


11th: Canadian Turf (G3), 4+, 1m-T/96' (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Hembree 5-1 8th
Best Value: #7 Mr Dumas 12-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Sombeyay 9-2 WON ($9.40)
Exotics Use: #2 Caribou Club 6-1 6th


12th: Gulfstream Mile (G2), 4+, 1m (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #11 Hog Creek Hustle 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Phat Man 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Mr Freeze 7-2 WON ($7.40)
Super Add: #7 True Timber 15-1 4th


13th: Mac Diarmida (G2), 4+, 11f-T/24' (DD, Hi-5)

Stopped looking back at past charts after awhile, but note that the favorite has won this race 6 of the last 7 runnings (and 9 of the last 11). And while there isn't much speed signed on here, that's been true the last 2 years when Zulu Alpha stalked up close and Sadler's Joy came from far back. Don't know if this is a spot to get too creative..

Most Likely: #6 Zulu Alpha 2-1 WON ($4.00)
Next Best: #4 Sadler's Joy 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #8 Spooky Channel 20-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Admission Office 15-1 2nd


14th: Fountain of Youth (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (Hi-5)

I'd be quite happy to see Dennis' Moment (2-1) run big and fulfill every expectation, but he isn't a good bet today at a short price. Meanwhile, front end interested parties Chance It (SCR'd), Ete Indien (8-1) and Shotski (10-1) are significantly hindered by outposts, leaving Breen's As Seen on Tv (9-2) as the compromise candidate at the best price. Mucho Macho Man runner up has been relaxing in the morning with an eye on finishing well and if Paco Lopez gets him to relax behind the contesting outside speeds, he'll get first run..

Best Value: #6 As Seen on Tv 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #5 Dennis' Moment 2-1 10th
Exotics Use: #11 Ete Indien 8-1 WON ($8.60)
Super Add: #8 Gear Jockey 20-1 6th


P5 Grid:

10: 6 (A), - (B), 3-9 (C)
11: 4-5-7 (A), 1-2-3 (B), - (C)
12: 3-7-9-11 (A), - (B), 5-8-10 (C)
13: 6 (A), 4 (B), 3-7-8 (C)
14: 5-6-11 (A), - (B), 7-8-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x6x4x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x3x4x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick-5 (9/5,13,14/9/6,9/11) Paid $382.50 (C-A-A-A-A)

$0.50 Pick-5 (9/5,13,14/9/6,9/11) Paid $7.85 (4OF5)


P4 Grid:

11: 4-5-7 (A), 2-3 (B), 1 (C)
12: 3-7-9-11 (A), - (B), 5-8-10 (C)
13: 6 (A), 4 (B), 3-7-8 (C)
14: 5-6-11 (A), - (B), 7-8-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x4x2x3 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x4x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick-4 (5,13,14/9/6,9/11) Paid $110.85 (A-A-A-A)


Good luck!
Steve

[tywizard]

Any thoughts on Race 2? Having a hard time making heads or tails even with workout report. Thanks!

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by tywizard

Any thoughts on Race 2? Having a hard time making heads or tails even with workout report. Thanks!

Ty..

Other than the Pletcher/Brown firsters, there are a 3 prices to consider..

I expect Anita Cauley's Good Juju (out of the nice mare she had with Red Dog, High Heels) to be ready to run in 3yo debut for Wilkes. The Tampa invader Expensive Style is going to be ignored and ran faster than it looks in his 3yo debut. And the Kimmel (Unprecedented) looks usable turf to dirt while turning back 2nd off the break..

Good luck today!

[Alabama Stakes]

Chance It scratched from Fountain of Youth

[Kasept]

GP SCR/CHG'S

[knickslions2]

Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes

Chance It scratched from Fountain of Youth

Ya 12 post killed any chance of him running. Tampa derby next week.

[knickslions2]

Good work Steve!!

[tywizard]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Ty..

Other than the Pletcher/Brown firsters, there are a 3 prices to consider..

I expect Anita Cauley's Good Juju (out of the nice mare she had with Red Dog, High Heels) to be ready to run in 3yo debut for Wilkes. The Tampa invader Expensive Style is going to be ignored and ran faster than it looks in his 3yo debut. And the Kimmel (Unprecedented) looks usable turf to dirt while turning back 2nd off the break..

Good luck today!

Thanks, as always.