3/14: Cross Country P5; Turfway Stakes P4; Oaklawn 5th-11th

[Kasept]

CROSS COUNTRY P5; TURFWAY STK P4, OAKLAWN 5TH-11TH


POST-SCRATCHES


OAKLAWN 5th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Looks like we won't avoid wet track as Hammer reports rain expected off/on most of the day..

Best Value: #8 Dreamonmebaby 6-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Blackberry Wine 4-5 WON ($3.20)
Exotics Use: #1 Shaka 8-1 6th
Super Add: #2 Sturgill 15-1 10th


OAKLAWN 6th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Captain Bombastic 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Ready to Roll 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Taishan 3-1 WON ($5.60)
Super Add: #4 Villainous 7-2 4th


OAKLAWN 7th: OC/N$Y, 4+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Ruler of the Nile 8-15th
Next Best: #9 Silver Ride 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Curate 7-2 8th
Super Add: #8 Nifty 4-1 2nd


OAKLAWN 8th: Essex, 4+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Pioneer Spirit 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Bankit 5-2 7th
Best Value: #5 Bravazo 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Snapper Sinclair 7-2 2nd


OAKLAWN P4 Grid:

5: 8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 3-5 (A), 1-4 (B), - (C)
7: 1-4-9 (A), - (B), 7-8 (C)
8: 4-7 (A), 5-6 (B), 2 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12


OAKLAWN 9th: Azeri (G2), F&M-4+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Serengeti Empress 9-5 WON ($5.80)
Best Value: #2 Mylady Curlin 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Street Band 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Lady Apple 5-2 5th


TURFWAY 8th: Rushaway, 3yo, 8.5f (Stakes P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Something Natural 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Vanzzy 7-2 WON ($6.40)
Best Value: #6 Amen Corner 12-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Crypto Cash 7-2 4th


TURFWAY 9th: KY Cup Classic, 4+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Royal Mesa 15-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Somelikeithotbrown 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Signalman 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #12 Blended Citizen 5-2 5th


AQUEDUCT 9th: NY-MSW, 3yo-F, 6f (X-C P5)

Cross Country starts here and it's a messy proposition. Second timers Honey Money & Darling's Cure debuted solidly and have license to improve. After that, any number of oddballs, misfits and firsters could impact. Very tricky call for tickey-building in another challenging sequence..

Most Likely: #11 Honey Money 3-1 WON ($5.10)
Next Best: #10 Darling's Cure 5-1 7th
Best Value: #4 Steal My Heart 15-1 8th
Exotics Use: #6 Dancing Kiki 4-1 3rd


TURFWAY 10th: Bourbonette Oaks (G3), 3yo-F, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Impeccable Style 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Oxum Power 8-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Laura's Light 9-5 4th
Exotics Use: #11 Baby Karats 50-1 7th


OAKLAWN 10th: Rebel (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (DD)

Wet forecast has moderated a good deal, so hard to know this morning how track will be this afternoon. On topic, and amazingly, 6 of the 8 here have off track wins to their credit. Return of G1 Hopeful winner Basin, G1-placed American Theorum and class test for undefeated LA-bred No Parole enhance group already established with meeting of last out stake winners Nadal & Silver Prospector and late running Smarty Jones placer Three Technique. Nadal figures to establish early position but doubt he Rosario wants to engage No Parole too early. Basin and American Theorem figure to get stalking spots behind those two with Three Technique and Silver Prospector prepared to make middle and late moves respectively. Superfecta for this really engaging group is in there somewhere..

Most Likely: #1 Nadal 5-2 WON ($3.80)
Next Best: #4 Silver Prospector 7-2 6th
Best Value: #8 American Theorem 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Three Technique 7-2 4th


TURFWAY 11th: Jeff Ruby Steaks (G3), 3yo, 9f (DD)

Most Likely: #11 Invader 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Halo Again 8-1 4th
Next Best: #10 The Stiff 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Unthrottled 30-1 11th


OAKLAWN 11th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6f

Looks like a set with upside as several have run races that were good enough to graduate..

Best Value: #6 Sacred Union 8-1 7th
Next Best: #12 Tipsy Gal 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Cynical Gal 5-2 5th
Super Add: #3 Lucky Betty 6-1 9th


X-C P5 Grid:

AQU 9: 10-11 (A), 4 (B), 6 (C)
TP 10: 4-7-9 (A), - (B), 3-5-11 (C)
OP 10: 1-4 (A), 3-5-6-8 (B), - (C)
TP 11: 11 (A), - (B), 6 (C)
OP 11: 5-6-12 (A), - (B), 3-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x6x1x3 = 162 x .50 = $81
All A's: 2x3x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


TURFWAY STK P4 Grid:

8: 2-7 (A), 1-6 (B), - (C)
9: 8-9-10 (A), 11-12 (B), - (C)
10: 4-7-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 6-11 (A), - (B), 4-5-10-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x5x3x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


OAKLAWN P5 Grid:

7: 4-9 (A), - (B), 1-8 (C)
8: 7 (A), 4 (B), 5-6 (C)
9: 2-5 (A), - (B), 1-4 (C)
10: 1-4-8 (A), 3-5-6 (B), - (C)
11: 5-6-12 (A), - (B), 3-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x2x6x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x1x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


OAKLAWN P4 Grid:

8: 4-7 (A), - (B), 5-6 (C)
9: 2-5 (A), 1-4 (B), - (C)
10: 1-4-8 (A), 3-5-6 (B), - (C)
11: 5-6-12 (A), - (B), 3-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x6x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

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