8/22: Del Mar (Pacific Classic Day; Cross Counrtry P5)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: MSW, 2yo, 7f-OFF THE TURF (X-C P5 Leg A, Empire 6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #11 Likeable 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #1a (POE) Repo Rocks 15-1 3rd/5th
Next Best: #12 Mo Mischief 2-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Whatmakessammyrun 6-1 6th


9th: 36th Fourstardave (G1), 3+, 1m-Inner (X-C Leg B, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Uni 3-1 6th
Best Value: #2 Casa Creed 20-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Raging Bull 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Got Stormy 8-1 2nd


P4 Grid:

7: 2-8 (A), - (B), 6 (C)
8: 2 (A), 3 (B), 1-5 (C)
9: 1-2-6 (A), 4-5-7-8 (B), 3-9 (C)
10: 1-2-3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x7x4 = 112 x .50 = $56
All A's: 2x1x3x4 = 24 x .50 = $12

$0.50 Pick-4 (8/3/5/1) Paid $285.00



DEL MAR


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: Del Mar H. (G2), 3+, 11f-T (X-C P5 Leg C, P5, P3, DD)

Given the depth of the fields in the 8th, 9th and 11th, it feels like you need to lean heavily on United for P5 success on small/moderate budgets..

Most Likely: #1 United 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #10 Originaire 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 Proud Pedro 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Oscar Dominguez 6-1 5th


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

You thought I was kidding about the depth in the upcoming P5 races? No superfecta combo would shock and 12-1 Unbroken Star (co-longest shot on the board) is as eligible to win as any. Mike Smith steps in for winless Asa Espinoza too..

Best Value: #1 Unbroken Star 12-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Potantico 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Take the One O One 8-1 WON ($8.80)
Super Add: #6 Extra Hope 5-2 5th


9th: Del Mar Oaks (G1), 3yo-F, 9f-T (X-C P5 Leg D, P3, DD)

Outstanding cast lines up here with intriguing new faces (3-5-8) added to the solid group exiting the San Clemente (4-10-11)..

Most Likely: #8 Neige Blanche 5-1 4th
Best Value: #11 Guitty 8-1 7th
Next Best: #10 Laura's Light 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Miss Extra 9-2 9th


10th: Pacific Classic (G1), 3+, 10f (X-C P5 Leg E, DD)

Maximum Security should be tighter coming out of the San Diego, but Higher Power gets the 10f trip that suits. Dark Vader looks the price invader to boost exotics..

Most Likely: #5 Maximum Security 1-1 WON ($2.80)
Next Best: #2 Higher Power 3-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Dark Vader 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Midcourt 7-2 3rd


Cross Country P5 Grid (Starts 3:28p ET):

SAR 5: 1-11-12 (A), - (B), 4-8-9 (C)
SAR 9: 1-2-6 (A), 4-5-7-8 (B), - (C)
DMR 7: 1 (A), - (B), - (C)
DMR 9: 8-11 (A), 3-10 (B), 4-5 (C)
DMR 10: 2-5 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x7x1x4x2 = 168 x .50 = $84
All A's: 3x3x1x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


11th: OC/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #10 Desmond Doss 8-1 9th
Next Best: #4 Shadow Sphinx 7-2 10th
Best Value: #9 Of Good Report 20-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Salvator Mundi 9-2 WON ($11.20)
Hi-5 Play: #7 Three Ay Em 8-1 5th


P5 Grid:

7: 1 (A), - (B), 6-10 (C)
8: 1-3-4 (A), 6 (B), 8 (C)
9: 3-8-10-11 (A), - (B), 4-5 (C)
10: 2-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 4-10 (A), 5-7-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x4x4x2x5 = 128 x .50 = $80
All A's: 1x3x4x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24


P4 Grid:

8: 1-3-4 (A), 6 (B), 8 (C)
9: 3-8-10-11 (A), - (B), 4-5 (C)
10: 2-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 4-10 (A), 5-7-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x2x5 = 160 x .50 = $80
All A's: 3x4x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

SAR: 1st-3rd-5th-7th OFF the turf.. 9th-10th remain ON..

Distances: 5f, 5f, 7f, 7f..

[Kasept]

SAR SCR

1st - 3-5-7
3rd - 3-4-5
4th - 1
5th - 2-3-5-7
7th - 1-1a-3-4-7-9
8th - 6
10th - 9-10

Muddy/Good

[gamblin4ever]

Good luck today Steve.
I'm liking Kid Chocolate's chances in the final.
I appreciate all you do for all of us degenerate gamblers.