![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
|
#1
|
||||
|
||||
![]() HI HO PIMLICO
POST-SCRATCHES 1st: Selima, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5) Juvy gals with similar backdrop as the LRL Futurity later (Turf debuts, stretchouts, etc.).. Most Likely: #3 Invincible Gal 3-1 2nd Next Best: #4 Domain Expertise 5-2 7th Best Value: #1 Fluffy Socks 4-1 WON ($14.40) Exotics Use: #8 Tic Tic Tic Boom 15-1 3rd 2nd: Gallorette (G3), F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5) Most Likely: #1 Juliet Foxtrot 7-5 WON ($4.20) Best Value: #8 Varenka 5-1 2nd Exotics Use: #3 She'sonthewarpath 7-2 4th Super Add: #6 Storm the Hill 9-2 5th 3rd: Skipat, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD, Hi-5) Most Likely: #6 Bronx Beauty 9-2 2nd Next Best: #3 Never Enough Time 3-1 WON ($7.00) Exotics Use: #5 Bye Bye J 4-1 3rd Super Add: #4 Liza Star 3-1 5th 4th: Hilltop, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5) As stressed all week and with the boys version (9th-Murphy) later, the day's most interesting wagering opportunities.. Best Value: #3 Caravel 12-1 3rd Next Best: #7 Vigilantes Way 9-2 2nd Exotics Use: #11 Lucky Jingle 20-1 4th Super Add: #6 Secret Time 10-1 5th 5th: Miss Preakness (G3), 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD, Hi-5) Most Likely: #5 Mundaye Call 7-5 4th Best Value: #6 Ankle Monitor 20-1 6th Next Best: #1 Ain't No Elmers 7-2 2nd Exotics Use: #2 Wicked Whisper 9-2 WON ($12.60) P5 Grid: 1: 1-3-4 (A), - (B), - (C) 2: 1-8 (A), 3-6 (B), - (C) 3: 6 (A), 3 (B), - (C) 4: 3-7 (A), - (B), 6-10-11 (C) 5: 1-5-6 (A), - (B), 2-3 (C) Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72 All A's: 3x2x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 Backups: $39 ~ 3x2x1x3x3 = 54 x .50 = $27 + 3x2x1x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 P4 Grid: 2: 1-8 (A), 3-6 (B), - (C) 3: 3-6 (A), - (B), - (C) 4: 3-7-11 (A), 5-6-10 (B), - (C) 5: 1-5-6 (A), - (B), 2-3 (C) Simple (A+B): 4x2x6x3 = 144 x .50 = $72 All A's: 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 Backup: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (1-8/1-6/3-7-9/2-3) 6th: Dinner Party (G2), 3+, 8.5f-T (.20 Rainbow P6, P3, DD, Hi-5) Most Likely: #7 Factor This 1-1 WON ($3.60) Best Value: #5 Irish Strait 8-1 7th Next Best: #3 Hembree 9-2 3rd Exotics Use: #4 O Dionysis 30-1 6th 7th: DeFrancis Dash (G3), 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5) Most Likely: #5 Landeskog 5-2 6th Next Best: #1 Admiral Lynch 7-2 5th Best Value: #3 Eastern Bay 10-1 2nd Exotics Use: #4 Laki 6-1 WON ($16.40) Middle P4 Grid: 4: 3-7-11 (A), 5-6-10 (B), - (C) 5: 1-5-6 (A), - (B), 2-3 (C) 6: 7 (A), - (B), - (C) 7: 1-5 (A), - (B), 3 (C) Simple (A+B): 6x3x1x2 = 36 x $1.50 = $54 ($18 for each .50) All A's: 3x3x1x2 = 18 x .50 = $9 Backups: $21 ~ 3x2x1x2 = $12 (3-7-9/2-3/7/1-5) + 3x3x1x1 (3-7-9/1-5-6/7/3) = $9 8th: Laurel Futurity, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5) Vastly historic event and a potential black hole for multi wagers with the myriad of options complicated by 3 first turf entrants, a first North America (from 26% with imports Motion), stretouts, etc. For me, 1-3-4-5-6-8 demand degrees of coverage and that still leaves us vulnerable to Cox (10) & Maker (7).. Most Likely: #1 Pivotal Mission 3-1 4th Best Value: #4 Kidnapped 10-1 3rd Next Best: #8 Hidden Enemy 4-1 5th Exotics Use: #3 Wooton Asset 9-2 2nd 9th: James W. Murphy, 3yo, 1m-T (P3, DD, Hi-5) Best Value: #4 Reconvene 10-1 3rd Next Best: #10 Don Juan Kitten 9-2 WON ($7.00) Exotics Use: #13 Bye Bye Melvin 6-1 2nd Super Add: #9 Monday Morning Qb 8-1 11th Hi-5 Play: #7 Vanzzy 8-1 4th 10th: Black-Eyed Susan (G2), 3yo-F, 9f (DD) Best Value: #1 Project Whiskey 15-1 6th Next Best: #5 Bonny South 7-5 2nd Exotics Use: #8 Hopeful Growth 8-1 3rd Super Add: #7 Mizzen Beau 12-1 4th Hi-5 Play: #9 Miss Marissa 12-1 WON ($22.20) 11th: Preakness, 3yo, 9.5f (Hi-5) Based on Friday advance wagering, Art Collector is going to draw a lot of money keeping Authentic's number surprisingly fair. Even with the 4 weeks spread, can't go against a Baffert Derby winner in this event. Swiss Skydiver absolutely fits in this group and Art Collector has every chance to win. Mr. Big News and Pneumatic provide exotics value.. Most Likely: #9 Authentic 9-5 2nd Best Value: #4 Swiss Skydiver 6-1 WON ($25.40) Next Best: #3 Art Collector 5-2 4th Exotics Use: #2 Mr. Big News 12-1 7th Super/Hi-5: #10 Pneumatic 20-1 10th P5 Grid: 7: 1-5 (A), (B), - (C) 8: 1-4 (A), 3-8 (B), - (C) 9: 4-10 (A), 13 (B), 3-7-9 (C) 10: 1-5 (A), - (B), 7-8-9 (C) 11: 9 (A), 3-4 (B), 2-10 (C) Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72 All A's: 2x2x2x2x1 = $16 Backups: $40 ~ 2x2x3x2x1 = 24 x .50 = $12 + 2x2x2x3x1 = 24 x .50 = $12 + 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16 P4 Grid: 8: 1-6 (A), 4-8 (B), 3-5/SCR (C) 9: 4-10-13 (A), - (B), 3-7-9 (C) 10: 1-5-7-8 (A), - (B), 9 (C) 11: 9 (A), 3-4 (B), 2-10 (C) Simple (A+B): 4x3x4x3 = 72 x .50 = $72 All A's: 2x3x4x1 = 24 x .50 = $12 Backups: $48 ~ 2x3x4x1 = 24 x .50 = $12 + 2x3x4x1 = 24 x .50 = $12 + 2x3x4x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 10-03-2020 at 07:55 PM. |
#2
|
|||
|
|||
![]() Thank you Steve for the great analysis! I appreciate the effort and time you put in. Today’s the day!
|
#3
|
||||
|
||||
![]()
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans |
#4
|
||||
|
||||
![]() Quote:
Very kind.. Thanks. Best o' luck today!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans |