Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 11-21-2006, 11:26 PM
Bogey's Avatar
Bogey Bogey is offline
Havre de Grace
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: South Florida
Posts: 5,513
Default Value Plays - AQU R6 & CD R10

Aqueduct - Race 6

#7 Morning Jewel - Failed as the fav last time out at the Meadowlands, but had a troubled trip and should enjoy the one-turn mile cutback here. McLaughlin and Jara are not a bad combo either. There's plenty to like and the 5-1 ML looks enticing.

Churchill Downs - Race 10

#11 Tactical Joe - Werner sends them out ready to fire at 1st asking (15%). Not crazy about the PP, definitely using. ML 8-1

Good Racing Luck
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 11-22-2006, 03:17 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,677
Default

Gus,

Interesting you landed on the AQU 6th.. I never got a chance to talk about the Late AQU P4 races last night on the show, but had capped them and the 6th was a fascinating group. A lot of nice 3yo maiden gals here, and Morning Jewel is absolutely one of the 'logicalist'.. But I thought there was a great deal of value EVERYWHERE in this, including the 6 (Pure Fiction/8-1) and 5 (Elsloom/8-1).. The 8 (My Rachel/3-1) is serious too.

One caution with Morning Jewel, who has dropped in price from 12-1, to 7-1, to 4-1 to 3-2 in her 4 career starts, is that her best effort came going 8.5f two turns on the tighter MED oval last time, and she gets a one turn mile at wider, sweeping Big A here. If this race had been last weekend on the Inner Track, I'd be a lot more confident in her in this spot...

Anyway, the late 4 races at AQU are quite good, and there could be a real P4 gem buried in this quartet... I'm writing them up shortly...

Happy Thanksgiving!
SB
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 11-22-2006 at 05:04 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 11-22-2006, 07:44 AM
Bogey's Avatar
Bogey Bogey is offline
Havre de Grace
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: South Florida
Posts: 5,513
Default

Steve, if things follow suit, we just gave out the tri box (5 6 7). Personally, I'm going to single Morning Jewel in the PK4. Graduation time.

Happy Thanksgiving to all
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 11-22-2006, 03:06 PM
Coach Pants
 
Posts: n/a
Default

I'm liking Durajazz in the eighth at CD. Local owner hunch play at a price.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 11-22-2006, 05:42 PM
Bogey's Avatar
Bogey Bogey is offline
Havre de Grace
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: South Florida
Posts: 5,513
Default

Not a bad afternoon at all. I hope some you cashed in on Morning Jewel $12.00 to win and Tactical Joe $15.40 to place and $10.40 to show. I'm looking forward to the Fair Grounds Meet.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 11-22-2006, 07:31 PM
zippyneedsawin's Avatar
zippyneedsawin zippyneedsawin is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 2,064
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bogey
Not a bad afternoon at all. I hope some you cashed in on Morning Jewel $12.00 to win and Tactical Joe $15.40 to place and $10.40 to show. I'm looking forward to the Fair Grounds Meet.

great picks, Bogey! Thanks for the info, I used Morning Jewel in the Grand Slam and nailed it several times!
__________________
Alcohol, the cause and solution to all of life's problems. -Homer Simpson
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 05:41 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.