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8/4: Saratoga (Day 16; Alydar)
SARATOGA
POST-SCRATCHES 1st: MCLM/$50k, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P5, P3, DD) Most Likely: #1 Lady Quinn 4-1 6th Next Best: #3 Acqua Bella 2-1 4th Best Value: #5 Sicilian Grandma 5-1 WON ($4.10) Exotics Use: #2 Girl Afraid 5-2 3rd 2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD) Very interesting pedigreed affair with daughter of Biofuel (Pallotta Sisters), half to Vision Perfect (Gustiamo), daughter of fast Squeeze (Illicit) and more.. Most Likely: #5 Cowichan 7-2 2nd Next Best: #2 Private Credit 3-1 3rd Best Value: #9 Illicit 10-1 5th Exotics Use: #10 Personal Pursuit SCR 3rd: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m (P3, DD) Plenty of pace here and why is Boston Post Road going to necessarily withstand it? Most Likely: #2 W W Fitzy 5-2 3rd Next Best: #3 Played Hard 2-1 WON ($5.40) Best Value: #1 Flashndynamite 10-1 5th Exotics Use: #6 Boston Post Road 9-5 2nd 4th: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 1m (P3, DD) Best Value: #1 Voice of Spring 5-1 7th Next Best: #6 Alpine Queen 5-2 WON ($7.50) Exotics Use: #7 Raffinity 5-1 4th Super Add: #5 My Sweet Wife 7-2 3rd 5th: MCLM/$20k, 3+, 9f (P6, P3, DD) Most Likely: #2 Mistical Curlin 5-2 2nd Next Best: #3 Sensible Jim 3-1 8th Best Value: #4 Lefty's War 15-1 5th Exotics Use: #9 One More Baby 3-1 WON ($7.80) P5 Grid: 1: 1-3 (A), 2-5 (B), - (C) 2: 2-5 (A), - (B), 9 (C) 3: 1-2-3 (A), - (B), 6 (C) 4: 1-6 (A), 5-7 (B), - (C) 5: 2 (A), - (B), 3 (C) Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x4x1 = 96 x .50 = $48 All A's: 2x2x3x2x1 = 24 x .50 = $12 Backups: $12 (9 in 2nd) + $4 (6 in 3rd) + $12 (3 in 5th) P4 Grid: 2: 2-5 (A), 9 (B), - (C) 3: 1-2-3 (A), - (B), 6 (C) 4: 1-6 (A), 5-7 (B), - (C) 5: 2-3 (A), - (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x2 = 72 x .50 = $36 All A's: 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 Backup: $4 (6 in 3rd) 6th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-Inner (P5, G/S, P3, DD) With addition of blinkers and the rail, Rosario could put Who Me on the point and not look back.. Best Value: #1 Who Me 10-1 5th Next Best: #7 Lachaise 7-2 WON ($7.10) Exotics Use: #9 Twirling Charlie 12-1 10th Super Add: #8 New York Panther 5-2 6th 7th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #1 Bye Bye 3-1 8th Best Value: #7 Always Late 4-1 2nd Next Best: #3 Spicy Marg 7-2 WON ($11.20) Exotics Use: #6 Mail Order 7-2 4th 8th: Alydar-R, 4+, 9f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #1 Mystic Night 5-2 4th Next Best: #6 Masqueparade 3-1 2nd Exotics Use: #5 Art Collector 7-5 WON ($3.60) Super Add: #2 Bal Harbour 6-1 5th 9th: OC/N3X, 3+, 1m-Inner (DD) Terrific heat with seemingly 7 of the 9 interests possible for laurels. At 8-1, I made Buy Land and See the Depaula Play of the Day, but beyond the faves, Bye Bye Melvin (15-1), Emaraaty (6-1) and Big Everest (6-1) all worth considering in the pay slots.. Best Value: #6 Buy Land and See 8-1 6th ~ Depaula Play of the Day Next Best: #5 Floriform 9-2 2nd Exotics Use: #2 Atone 5-2 3rd Super Add: #4 Bye Bye Melvin 15-1 4th 10th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T Best Value: #6 O'Gotten Girl 8-1 - Next Best: #4 Freedomofthepress 9-2 4th Exotics Use: #7 Miss Domina 5-2 WON ($13.80) Super Add: #2 Mandy Green 5-1 - P5 Grid: 6: 1-7 (A), 8-9 (B), - (C) 7: 1-7 (A), 3-6 (B), - (C) 8: 1 (A), - (B), 5-6 (C) 9: 2-5-6 (A), - (B), - (C) 10: 4-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 4x4x1x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72 All A's: 2x2x1x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 Backup: $36 (5-6 in 8th) P4 Grid: 7: 1-7 (A), 3-6 (B), - (C) 8: 1 (A), - (B), 5-6 (C) 9: 2-5-6 (A), - (B), - (C) 10: 4-6-7 (A), 2 (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 4x1x3x4 = $48 ($24 for .50) All A's: 2x1x3x3 = 18 x .50 = $9 Backup: $18 (5-6 in 8th) Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 08-04-2022 at 06:33 PM. |
#2
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans |
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Terrible 5/2 morning line on the last winner .
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#4
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I would be interested in hearing the logic behind that statement. The winning horse was the 2nd choice on ML? Seems that the bettors are the ones that got it wrong in this instance.
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#5
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Was surprised she floated to that number.. David was too and acknowledged being off in a tweet, but after the SCR of the 10, that R Reposada took money (for some reason) and Miss Domina got lost on the board. Doesn't happen a lot here.
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans |
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When was the last time a 5/2 morning line hoss opened at 15-1 and was double digits for a while after that ?
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#7
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The guy is the best ML maker in the game by FAR. Like, it's not even close. He got one kind of wrong (the horse did win) and Dan has an issue with it.
Hilarious. Freedomofthepress took way more money than he thought. At the end of the day....who cares other than a guy who is 0 for the meet? |