9/4: Saratoga (Day 39; 5th-12th)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Athenry 5-2 4th
Best Value: #4 Me 'n Sap 12-1 WON ($24.60)
Exotics Use: #6 Sheriff Bianco 8-5 3rd
Super Add: #7 Giramonte 8-1 6th


6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Take Charge Briana 6-1 WON ($9.80)
Next Best: #3 St. Benedict's Prep 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Pure Pauline 3-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Stunningly 8-1 6th


7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-Inner (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Avant 6-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Free Look 3-1 WON ($3.50)
Exotics Use: #3 La Mazel 5-1 4th
Super Add:


8th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Boston Post Road 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Palm Cottage 9-5 WON ($5.40)
Exotics Use: #2 Mystic Eyes 10-1 5th


9th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #10 Citizen K 10-1 2nd ~ Depaula Play of the Day
Next Best: #1a (POE) Catch That Party 2-1 WON ($5.30)
Exotics Use: #4 Timbuktu 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Lord Flintshire 6-1 8th

.50 TRI KEY: 10 w/ 1-3-4-6 (1x4x3 + 4x1x3 + 4x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18)


P5 Grid:

5: 4-8 (A), 6-7 (B), - (C)
6: 2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 4-9 (A), - (B), 3-6 (C)
8: 2-4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-10 (A), 4 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x2x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x2x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (3-6 in 7th): 2x2x2x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24

$0.50 Pick 5 (4/2/4,5,11,12,13/6/1,9,12) Paid $920.00


P4 Grid:

6: 2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 4-9 (A), 3-6 (B), - (C)
8: 2-4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-10 (A), 4 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12

$0.50 Pick 4 (2/4,5,11,12,13/6/1,9,12) Paid $44.87


10th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 9f-Inner (P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Cape Cod Causeway 5-1 2nd ~ Depaula BONUS Play of the Day
Next Best: #6 Jocosity 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Can't Fool Me 12-1 5th
Super Add: #2 Succulent 7-2 WON-DQ'd to 3rd


11th: Spinaway (G1), 2yo-F, 7f (DD)

Most Likely: #9 Wonder Wheel 3-1 2nd ~ Beat Byk Selection
Best Value: #5 Just Cindy 5-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Kaling 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Naughty Gal 8-1 9th


12th: NY-MCLM/$25k, F&M-3+, 6f

Most Likely: #1e Dubb Ownership entry 1-1 WON ($3.00)/2nd
Best Value: #9 Darn That Song 6-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Mouly 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Carlann 30-1 3rd/2nd for wagering


P5 Grid:

8: 2-4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-4-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 4-6 (A), 2-5 (B), - (C)
11: 5-9 (A), 1-4 (B), - (C)
12: 1 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x4x1 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x3x2x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

9: 1-4-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 4-6 (A), 2-5 (B), - (C)
11: 5-9 (A), 1-4 (B), - (C)
12: 1 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x1 = $48 ($24 for .50)
All A's: 3x2x2x1 = $12 ($6 for .50)


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

SAR SCR/CHG'S

[maryhope]

Just saw you on loose on the lead, how did you hit the middle pick 4 when the one you gave out didn't hit because you had a B horse win with a C horse, I am losing thousands following your picks and you are bragging about hitting a big one at Kentucky downs, this is the last time I look at this website, good luck

[fantini33]

Originally Posted by maryhope

Just saw you on loose on the lead, how did you hit the middle pick 4 when the one you gave out didn't hit because you had a B horse win with a C horse, I am losing thousands following your picks and you are bragging about hitting a big one at Kentucky downs, this is the last time I look at this website, good luck

You can follow a great handicapper and use their picks maryhope, but if you don't understand how to wager you are guaranteed to lose even when those very picks are excellent. Chances are, even when YOU win you are leaving money on the table, which isn't as different as losing as you may think.

[cal828]

Originally Posted by fantini33

You can follow a great handicapper and use their picks maryhope, but if you don't understand how to wager you are guaranteed to lose even when those very picks are excellent. Chances are, even when YOU win you are leaving money on the table, which isn't as different as losing as you may think.

Doesn't sound like this lady spent much time doing the work herself. I like Steve's picks, but I don't rely on them solely. I am much more likely to handicap myself and compare his work to my own and when they differ, I take a closer look and try to figure out why our opinions don't agree. I just don't think you learn this game by letting someone else do all the work. Also, I think you are right. I sometimes get caught up in the handicapping and pretty much ignore the other most important thing which of course, is the betting.

[casp0555]

maybe she or he should try the Track Phantom or Mark the Magician

[fantini33]

Originally Posted by cal828

Doesn't sound like this lady spent much time doing the work herself. I like Steve's picks, but I don't rely on them solely. I am much more likely to handicap myself and compare his work to my own and when they differ, I take a closer look and try to figure out why our opinions don't agree. I just don't think you learn this game by letting someone else do all the work. Also, I think you are right. I sometimes get caught up in the handicapping and pretty much ignore the other most important thing which of course, is the betting.

I've seen way to many good handicappers throw money away at this game because they bet like preschoolers. Understanding how to wager is the single most important, and the single most underrated aspect, of making money playing the races. 2 people that like the same exact horses never end up making/losing the same amount of money. That's what separates good players from mediocre/poor ones.

[jms62]

Originally Posted by fantini33

You can follow a great handicapper and use their picks maryhope, but if you don't understand how to wager you are guaranteed to lose even when those very picks are excellent. Chances are, even when YOU win you are leaving money on the table, which isn't as different as losing as you may think.

Win Quality > Win Quantity

Too many people need the instant gratification of a cashed ticket.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by maryhope

Just saw you on loose on the lead, how did you hit the middle pick 4 when the one you gave out didn't hit because you had a B horse win with a C horse, I am losing thousands following your picks and you are bragging about hitting a big one at Kentucky downs, this is the last time I look at this website, good luck

I played a $96 caveman ticket and I hardly bragged as I'm down plenty. I'm sorry it hasn't been a profitable Saratoga.

[Kasept]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GGc3O2aRuOc

[fantini33]

She put you in the winners circle. "maryhope off" is a new angle.

An all A pick 5 for just under a dime. How you like them apples?

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by fantini33

She put you in the winners circle. "maryhope off" is a new angle.

An all A pick 5 for just under a dime. How you like them apples?

Quite something Ed. Still a little snakebit as Citizen K was worth $3k.