Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 03-24-2023, 08:45 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default 3/25: Fair Grounds (4th-12th); Turfway (7th-12th)

FAIR GROUNDS


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: LA-Costa Rising, 3+, 5.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Bertie's Galaxy 6-1 DQ'd to 6th
Next Best: #1 Yankee Seven 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Bron and Brow 9-5 3rd via DQ
Super Add: #8 Big Chopper 7-2 WON ($9.20)


5th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Merlazza 9-5 WON ($3.40)
Next Best: #5 Bru Na Boinne 9-2 3rd
Best Vlue: #1 Miss Tappy Tone 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #9 Huntleigh 5-1 5th


6th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Half sister to Nashville (Master Som) at 8-1? OK. I'll bite..

Best Value: #2 Master Som 8-1 10th
Next Best: #5 Twin Mischief 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Perfect Wish 10-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Golden View 8-1 12th


7th: MSW, 3yo-F, 8.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #12 Corsini 8-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Dialherup 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Super Luxe 8-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Raggity Sand 8-1 2nd


8th: Tom Benson Memorial, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 She Can't Sing 9-2 4th
Next Best: #6 Didia 3-1 WON ($9.40)
Exotics Use: #3 Trail Ridge Road 12-1 8th
Super Add: #9 New Year's Eve 5-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

4: 1-4 (A), 8-9 (B), - (C)
5: 6 (A), - (B), 1-5 (C)
6: 2-5 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
7: 2-8-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 6-8 (A), 3 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x1x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup: 2x2x2x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24


P5 Grid:

5: 6 (A), 5 (B), 1-9 (C)
6: 2-5 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
7: 2-8-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 3-6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 1x2x3x3 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backup: 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


9th: New Orleans Classic (G2), 4+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Mr. Wireless 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Pioneer of Medina 9-2 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Art Collector 8-5 2nd
Super Add: #3 West Will Power 2-1 WON ($7.20)


$0.50 Bayou/Bluegrass P5 Grid:

FG 9: 7-8 (A), 2-3 (B), - (C)
TP 11: 1-2-5-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
FG 11: 1-3 (A), 4-5 (B), - (C)
TP 12: 1-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
FG 12: 2 (A), - (B), 6-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x4x2x1 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 2x4x2x2x1 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backup: 2x4x2x2x2 = 64 x .50 = $32 (6-11 in FG 12th)


10th: Muniz Memorial (G2), 4+, 9f-T (P3, DD)

If Two Emmys doesn't do his thing, it opens it up to the next few contenders..

Most Likely: #6 Two Emmys Late SCR
Best Value: #3 Gentle Soul 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Atone 5-2 9th
Exotics Use: #7 Another Mystery 6-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Spooky Channel 9-2 WON ($9.20)


11th: Fair Grounds Oaks (G2), 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Hard to believe a 5 horse field could be mysterious, but as James Scully noted Friday on ATR, who do you totally believe in among these?

Most Likely: #3 Pretty Mischievous 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #1 Southlawn 8-1 WON ($17.40)
Next Best: #5 Hoosier Philly 2-1 4th


12th: Louisiana Derby (G2), 3yo, 9.5f (P4, P3, DD)

If it's not Instant Coffee here, and he comes in as the clear horse to beat and most likely winner, then it could be almost anyone. Think you need to lean on him for the multis..

Most Likely: #2 Instant Coffee 2-1 6th
Best Value: #11 Jace's Road 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Kingsbarns 6-1 WON ($11.00)
Exotics Use: #7 Cagliostro 12-1 8th


P5 Grid:

8: 6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 7-8 (A), 2-3 (B), - (C)
10: 1-3-6 (A), 5-7 (B), - (C)
11: 1-3 (A), 4-5 (B), - (C)
12: 2 (A), - (B), 6-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x5x4x1 = 160 x .50 = $80
All A's: 2x2x3x2x1 = 24 x .50 = $16
Backup: 2x2x3x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (6-11 in 12th)



TURFWAY PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: Animal Kingdom, 3yo, 5f (Single 6, P3, DD))

Best Value: #6 Moonstrike 12-1 4th
Next Best: #7 New York Thunder Late SCR
Exotics Use: #4 Eye Witness 2-1 WON ($3.42)
Super Add: #3 Olazabel 7-2 2nd


8th: Rushaway, 3yo, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

The Jeff Ruby consolation purse and it's wildly wide open..

Best Value: #5 Quadra Island 10-1 8th
Next Best: #12 Moon Landing 4-1 9th
Exotics Use: #4 Santorini 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Ocean Pointe 30-1 2nd


9th: Latonia, F&M-4+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Well matched set of distaffers..

Best Value: #8 Kate's Kingdom 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Idiomatic 3-1 WON ($7.06)
Exotics Use: #4 Il Malocchio 9-2 4th
Super Add: #11 Bellamore 4-1 3rd


10th: KY Cup Classic, 4+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Deep, fascinating group with referendums necessary on first time synthetic horses like Santin, Abaan and Ready to Perform. As stressed on ATR Friday, Verstappen is very live for Walsh if drawing in. Like the first 2 legs of this P5, a hyper competitive heat..

Best Value: #13 Verstappen 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Wolfie's Dynaghost 6-1 WON ($7.08)
Exotics Use: #10 King Cause 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #8 Ocean Atlantique 6-1 10th


11th: Bourbonette Oaks, 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Race goes through streaking Botanical, but Renegade Rebel and Flashy Gem could spar on the front end and one or the other may shake loose. Not sure what to make of 1st N.A. Bolivie who has been in competing in the French provinces (as they say), but presence of Irad certainly an endorsement..

Most Likely: #5 Botanical 2-1 WON ($4.06)
Best Value: #1 Renegade Rebel 6-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Flashy Gem 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Bolivie 5-1 9th


12th: Jeff Ruby Steaks (G3), 3yo, 9f (DD, Hi-5)

Would love to make a case for a price here, but Bolt d'Oro (Favored #1 Major Dude) is 10/31 with his synthetic runners and Irad should get an ideal inside/out, stalk and go trip. Trust Rivelli's plan with Two Phils (7-2) as well and Sano brings Battaglia winner Congruent back to Florence Y'all..

Most Likely: #1 Major Dude 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #10 Two Phils 7-2 WON ($7.64)
Exotics Use: #8 Congruent 5-1 6th
Super Add: #4 Funtastic Again 6-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

8: 4-5-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 5-8 (A), 4 (B), - (C)
10: 5-10-13 (A), 8-9 (B), - (C)
11: 1-5 (A), - (B), 8 (C)
12: 1-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x5x2x2 = 180 x .50 = $90
All A's: 3x2x3x2x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
Backup: 3x2x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

9: 4-5-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 5-10-13 (A), 8-9 (B), - (C)
11: 1-5 (A), 2-8 (B), - (C)
12: 1-10 (A), - (B), 4-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x5x4x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (4-8 in 12th)

$0.50 Pick 4 (3,5,7/4,5,6,7,11/3,5/10) Paid $73.50 (A-A-A-A)


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 03-26-2023 at 02:08 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 03-25-2023, 08:14 AM
moses's Avatar
moses moses is offline
Oriental Park
 
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 3,622
Default

There’s Jace’s Road. The pace should set up nicely for him. maybe he’s not good enough, we’ll find out today.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 03-25-2023, 08:26 AM
pb72vett pb72vett is offline
Monmouth Park
 
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 824
Thumbs up Good bet

He is good enough, it’s the jockey on how he rides him
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 03-25-2023, 10:49 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default

FG SCR/CHG'S

TP SCR/CHG'S
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 03-25-2023, 06:52 PM
jms62's Avatar
jms62 jms62 is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 19,762
Default

Note to Saez, 20 wide moves only work on Artificial
__________________
Game Over
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 03-25-2023, 07:00 PM
maryhope maryhope is offline
Les Bois
 
Join Date: Feb 2016
Posts: 47
Default

Why didn't instant coffee stablemate go to the lead or at least pressure the leader into a faster pace, we had a chance for big scores with a instant coffee win
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 03-26-2023, 02:01 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default

My fault for getting cute in the New Orleans Classic. Went for the better prices in Wireless and Pioneer as A’s when West Will and Art Collector were more likely. Using them as A’s gets the A-A-A-A-C backup for $7,110 in the Bayou/Bluegrass P5.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 03-26-2023, 09:52 AM
pb72vett pb72vett is offline
Monmouth Park
 
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 824
Thumbs up Sunland

Well we will try today at Sunland, thanks Steve
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 09:21 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.