7/25: Saratoga ~ Day 11 (Caress); Del Mar ($144k P6 C/O)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Miss C Banker 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #4 Heavenly Light 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Dancing Dakota 10-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Second Chance 4-1 WON ($11.40)


2nd: CLM, F&M-4+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Run Devil 5-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Anotherdaygoneby 3-1 WON ($14.20)
Exotics Use: #2 R Funny Bizness 4-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Condiment Girl 5-2 3rd


3rd: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 11f-Inner (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Justdeny 8-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Idea Generation 8-5 5th
Exotics Use: #8 High Stick 5-2 6th
Super Add: #1e Hoolie Ownership Entry 9-2 2nd/3rd


4th: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Tapi It Up 12-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Elle Est Forte 5-2 WON ($6.90)
Exotics Use: #9 Pallotta Sisters 8-5 3rd
Super Add: #6 Kannon Fire 6-1 4th


5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 9f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1e Pletcher Entry 1-1 WON ($2.90)/2nd
Next Best: #9 Masterwork 5-1 8th
Best Value: #8 All the Rage 12-1 SCR
Exotics Use: #10 Endowed 6-1 7th


P5 Grid:

1: 2-3-4-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
2: 1-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
3: 5-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 5-7-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 1 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 4x2x3x3x1 = 72 x .50 = $36


P4 Grid:

2: 1-2-4-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
3: 5-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 5-7-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 1 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 5x3x3x1 = $45 ($22.50 for .50)


6th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Man of Mischief 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 In the Chase 3-1 WON ($9.20)
Exotics Use: #3 Shakeitforthebird 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #1 Dominican Thunder 8-1 7th


7th: S/ALW, 4+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Beachwalker 12-1 3rd ~ Depaula Play of the Day
Next Best: #1a Got Thunder 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Reddington 8-1 WON ($17.40)
Super Add: #5 Magnolia Midnight 4-1 5th


P4 Grid:

4: 5-7-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 1-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 1-2-3-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 1-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 3x2x4x3 = 72 x .50 = $36

$0.50 Pick 4 (7/1,4,6,8/7/8) Paid $102.50


8th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 La Banquera 4-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Dolomite 8-5 WON ($3.70)
Best Value: #7 Perpetual Praise 15-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Cruise to Catalina 3-1 2nd


9th: Caress (G3), F&M-4+, 5.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Future Is Now 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #5 Dance Macabre 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Kaufymaker 9-2 8th
Exotics Use: #1 Kerry 30-1 10th


10th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 8.5f-Inner

Best Value: #2 My Life Story 5-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Koru 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #12 Dakota Country 5-2 6th
Super Add: #10 English Castle 9-2 3rd


P5 Grid:

6: 2-7 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
7: 1-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 5-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 3-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 2 (A), 7 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x2x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

7: 1-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 5-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 3-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 2-7 (A), 10-12 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x3x4 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

DEL MAR


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: CLM, F&M-3+, 5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$144k P6 C/O starts here..

Difficult start to daunting sequence. Note #10 (AE) Rugelach (4-1) a danger should she draw in..

Best Value: #6 She's a Joker 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Paleo's Princess 5-1 WON ($15.80)
Exotics Use: #9 Adaay in Asia 8-1 7th
Super Add: #1 Aventapp 7-2 5th


4th: MSW, 3+, 1m (P5, P3, DD)

As Baffert told you Monday on ATR, he was shocked at how Sadler's Pony Express (Jim Dandy Saturday) handled Canada Gate and Winterfell in the June 15 MSW..

Most Likely: #4 Canada Gate 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #6 Winterfell 6-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Visceral 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Captain Choochies 12-1 8th


5th: CA-OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Baby Kristen new on the SoCal scene and the one to catch. Possible single for smaller bankrolls..

Most Likely: #4 Baby Kristen 5-2 WON ($4.00)
Next Best: #9 Sassy Prancelot 7-2 6th
Best Value: #7 O Mandy 10-1 8th
Exotics Use: #2 Giant Kid 5-1 7th


6th: MCLM/$20k, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Eh.. Messy set of middling MDN claimers with droppers, surface switchers & turn backs..

Best Value: #8 Sir Rock 20-1 7th
Next Best: #10 Ocasek 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Summer Chief 20-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Eddie's Wave 6-1 8th


7th: Cougar II (G3), 3+, 12f (DD)

Reincarnate may be in the process of finding his calling as a distance specialist..

Most Likely: #3 Reincarnate 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #2 Midnight Mammoth 3-1 WON ($20.00)
Next Best: #4 Salesman 8-5 3rd


8th: MSW, 3+, 1m-T (Hi-5)

Intriguing MDN group where you have a referendum on 2nd timers (Rowley, Nation, Divisible By, Sweet Odyssey, Oscar Joy) v. those piling up the loses while running respectably (Quality Wins, In Suspence, American Glory)..

Best Value: #1 Rowley 15-1 10th
Next Best: #10 Oscar Joy 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #9 Sweet Odyssey 20-1 8th
Super Add: #3 Nation 5-2 3rd
Hi-5 Play: #7 In Suspence 10-1 11th


P6 Grid:

3: 6-8 (A), - (B), 1-9 (C)
4: 2-4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 4 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 8-10 (A), 7-9 (B), - (C)
7: 3 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1-9-10 (A), 3-7 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x1x4x1x5 = $120
All A's: 2x3x1x2x1x3 = $36
Backup (CAAAAA): 2x3x1x2x3 = $36 (1-9 in 3rd)


P5 Grid:

4: 2-4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 4-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 8-10 (A), 7-9 (B), - (C)
7: 3 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1-9-10 (A), 3-7 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x1x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x2x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

5: 4-9 (A), 5-7 (B), - (C)
6: 8-10 (A), 7-9 (B), - (C)
7: 3 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1-9-10 (A), 3-7 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x1x5 = 80 x .50 = $40
All A's: 2x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

SAR SCR/CHG'S