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#1
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10/23-25: C/O-palooza ~ KEE $301k P5; AQU $124k P6; SA $153k P6
KEENELAND
PRE-SCRATCHES 4th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD) $301k P5 C/O starts here.. Tricky start to sequence with class droppers and in-and-outers.. Most Likely: #5 Strava 4-1 WON ($5.40) Best Value: #7 Huge Bigly 12-1 3rd Next Best: #9 Underdressed 3-1 5th Exotics Use: #10 C F V Bullet 8-1 10th 5th: MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD) Quartet of candidates (2-4-6-10) have established form that win this and another five (3-7-8-9-12) are within hailing distance. #5 Pretty Pertinent WON ($54.98) is a 20-1 first time turf filly out of the nice multiple G1 placed Pretty Prolific, but there doesn't seem to be any indication that the lawn will work for her.. Most Likely: #10 Birdwatching 6-5 11th Next Best: #6 One Front War 6-1 9th Best Value: #2 High Shot 15-1 2nd Exotics Use: #4 My Brazilian Girl 4-1 3rd 6th: OC/N2X, 3yo-F, 9f (P3, DD) Best Value: #7 Everland 8-1 6th Next Best: #6 Landed 7-2 3rd Exotics Use: #5 Intricate 3-1 4th Super Add: #3 Neon Icon 5-1 WON ($11.96) 7th: ALW/Cond., 3+, 5.5f-T (DD) Stakes quality turf sprint where Ward (Arrest Me Red) and former Ward (Outadore) figure prominently, but note that Arrest hasn't been too successful over this course.. Best Value: #6 Mischievous Rogue 8-1 4th Next Best: #7 Outadore 9-2 8th Exotics Use: #1 Arrest Me Red 7-2 WON ($7.56) Super Add: #10 Mo Stash 4-1 2nd 8th: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (Hi-5) Best Value: #8 Hitchcock SCR Next Best: #4 Touchy 8-5 WON ($3.26) Exotics Use: #9 Can Do Andrew 15-1 5th Super Add: #10 Original Sin 7-2 - $200 Budget P5 Grid (w/ All Used in 4th): 4: 5-7-9-10 (A), 2-3 (B), 1-4-5-8 (C) 5: 6-10 (A), - (B), - (C) 6: 6-7 (A), - (B), - (C) 7: 6-7 (A), 1-10 (B), - (C) 8: 4-8/SCR-9 (A), - (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 6x2x2x4x3 = 288 x .50 = $144 All A's: 4x2x2x2x3 = 96 x .50 = $48 Backup (CAAAA): 4x2x2x2x3 = 96 x .50 = $48 (1-4-5-8 in 4th) $100 & Under Budget P5 Grid: 4: 5-7-9 (A), - (B), 2-3-10 (C) 5: 6-10 (A), - (B), - (C) 6: 6-7 (A), - (B), - (C) 7: 6-7 (A), 1-10 (B), - (C) 8: 4-8/SCR-9 (A), - (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72 All A's: 3x2x2x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36 Backup (CAAAA): 3x2x2x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36 (2-3-10 in 4th) P4 Grid: 5: 6-10 (A), 2-4 (B), - (C) 6: 6-7 (A), - (B), - (C) 7: 6-7 (A), 1-10 (B), - (C) 8: 4-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x3 = 96 x .50 = $48 All A's: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12 Let's get lucky! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 10-23-2024 at 05:19 PM. |
#2
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BELMONT AT AQUEDUCT
POST-SCRATCHES 3rd: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m (P6, P3, DD) $124k P6 C/O starts here.. Best Value: #2 Silent Melody 5-1 7th Next Best: #3 Sweet Anniversary 7-5 2nd Exotics Use: #7 Nolita 4-1 4th Super Add: #1a (POE) Chasing Daylight 3-1 3rd 4th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f-Outer (P5, G/S, P3, DD) Most Likely: #9 Miss Bourbon 7-2 7th Next Best: #8 Magic Eight Ball 4-1 6th Exotics Use: #5 Just Heart 9-2 8th Super Add: #3 Turriga 6-1 WON ($6.40) 5th: MCLM/$75k, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD) Best Value: #4 Its Satisfactual 10-1 4th Next Best: #5 Stamp of Approval 9-5 WON ($4.10) Exotics Use: #2 Sunday Tiff 10-1 7th Super Add: #3 Positive Carry 5-2 3rd P4 Grid: 2: 3-4-5-6 (A), - (B), - (C) 3: 2-3-7 (A), - (B), - (C) 4: 5-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C) 5: 4-5 (A), - (B), - (C) All A's: 4x3x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36 6th: MDN/OC-$, 2yo, 6.5f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #1a (POE) Western Wolf 7-2 3rd Best Value: #8 Skyloft 6-1 11th Next Best: #7 Chris's Revenge 5-1 WON ($5.20) Exotics Use: #2 America's Honor 3-1 2nd 7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6.5f (DD) Most Likely: #5 Classify 3-1 3rd Next Best: #3 El Grande O 8-5 WON ($4.70) Exotics Use: #1 Forrest City 7-2 5th Super Add: #8 For Some Reason 6-1 6th 8th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 9f-Outer Always hard to be totally objective when you have a horse in a race, but our home bred Landauer ran a career best stretching out on the grass last month and found trouble mid-stretch when rallying. Gets Lezcano and added ground and starts out as the 5th choice (6-1).. Most Likely: #5 Landauer 6-1 5th Best Value: #2 Rohan 15-1 WON ($24.20) Next Best: #7 Make Your Moment 7-2 4th Exotics Use: #8 Cattani 3-1 6th P6 Grid: 3: 2-3-7 (A), - (B), - (C) 4: 5-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C) 5: 4-5 (A), - (B), - (C) 6: 1 (A), - (B), - (C) 7: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C) 8: 2-5 (A), - (B), - (C) All A's: 3x3x2x1x2x2 = $72 P5 Grid: 4: 5-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C) 5: 4-5 (A), - (B), - (C) 6: 1 (A), 8 (B), - (C) 7: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C) 8: 2-5 (A), 7-8 (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48 All A's: 3x2x1x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 P4 Grid: 5: 4-5 (A), - (B), - (C) 6: 1-8 (A), - (B), - (C) 7: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C) 8: 2-5 (A), 7-8 (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 2x2x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48 All A's: 2x2x2x4 = $32 ($16 for .50) Let's get lucky! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 10-25-2024 at 06:11 AM. |
#3
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Still was going to miss the P5 (with Neon Icon rated too low), but wanted to involve Pretty Pertinent (who was as fast as the major players) and couldn't find any turf on her page to convince me.. Eh.
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans |
#4
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SANTA ANITA
POST-SCRATCHES 4th: OC/S-ALW, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD) $153k P6 C/O starts here.. Most Likely: #6 A Toast to Lanie 7-5 2nd Next Best: #7 Uffda 3-1 WON ($9.40) Best Value: #4 Chase'n Kota 12-1 4th Exotics Use: #1 Shop Till You Drop 9-2 5th 5th: CA-MSW, 2yo, 6f-T (P5, P3, DD) Best Value: #6 Lord Dunmore 6-1 2nd Next Best: #9 No Poking Around 7-2 5th Exotics Use: #3 It's a Cinch 5-2 WON ($6.60) Super Add: #8 Three Georges 20-1 3rd 6th: MCLM/$20k, 2yo, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #6 Just Deal 6-5 2nd-DQ'd from WIN Next Best: #4 Cardinal Spirit 2-1 WON-Up via DQ ($7.60) Best Value: #2 Sir Nano 20-1 4th Exotics Use: #7 Glorious Oscar 5-1 7th 7th: OC/N1X, 3+, 10f-T (P3, DD) Best Value: #6 Chasingserendipity 12-1 3rd Next Best: #1 Bottle Rocket 5-1 4th Exotics Use: #4 Ima Joker 4-1 WON ($5.00) Super Add: #8 Kelly's Out 2-1 6th 8th: CA-OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (DD) VERY tough group to decipher.. Most Likely: #8 Mirinda 6-1 4th Best Value: #5 Lady Maryann 10-1 6th Next Best: #9 Safa 7-2 WON ($4.60) Exotics Use: #2 Naida 3-1 7th 9th: MCLM/$50k, F&M/3yo-5yo, 6f-T (Hi-5) Best Value: #2 Rich of Joy 12-1 8th Next Best: #10 Certitude 5-2 2nd Exotics Use: #1 Dangerous Affair 7-2 3rd Super Add: #9 Jai Ho 8-1 WON ($16.60) P6 Grid: 4: 6 (A), - (B), - (C) 5: 6 (A), 9 (B), - (C) 6: 4-6 (A), - (B), - (C) 7: 1-6 (A), - (B), - (C) 8: 5-8 (A), 2-9 (B), - (C) 9: 2-10 (A), - (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 1x2x2x2x4x2 = 64 x $2 = $128 All A's: 1x1x2x2x2x2 = 16 x $2 = $32 P6 P5 Grid: 5: 6 (A), 3-9 (B), - (C) 6: 2-4-6 (A), - (B), - (C) 7: 1-6 (A), - (B), - (C) 8: 5-8 (A), 2-9 (B), - (C) 9: 1-2-10 (A), - (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 3x3x2x4x2 = 144 x .50 = $72 All A's: 1x3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 P4 Grid: 6: 2-4-6 (A), - (B), - (C) 7: 1-6 (A), - (B), - (C) 8: 5-8 (A), 2-9 (B), - (C) 9: 1-2-10 (A), - (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x2 = 72 x .50 = $36 All A's: 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 Let's get lucky! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 10-26-2024 at 03:41 AM. |
#5
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans |