|
|
 |
|
|
|
#1
12-08-2006, 11:12 PM
|
|||
|
|||
TAMPA/Late Pick 4/Sat.
Races 6-9
Race 6 CLM25K 1 1/16 TURF #1 - QUITE THE GUY (10-1ML) - Allen/Allen combo always dangerous. 5 of 8 ITM on Tampa weeds. 3rd off and 3 works leading into this. Gets ground saving trip from rail.4th @14-1 #7 - IVAN JAY PERRY (5-2ML) - Late running 10YO gets Lezcano and pace to run at. Tough at a short price. 1st @4-5 #4 - OH OLEG (8-1ML) - Ohio bred exits 2 straight state bred 1 1/4 dirt races. Returns to track and surface that he has had luck on in the past.3rd @11-1 #3 - BIG TEX (4-1ML) - Another with a couple good races on the Tampa grass. Draw a line through his last off the turf effort and he fits in here nicely.2nd @6-1 AE #12 EVERYTHING TO GAIN - Back class puts him on top if he draws in. Race 7 MSW 18K 6 FURLONGS #6 - BELLO PAPPA (15-1ML) - Bennett runner well bet in debut, but raced wide after being bumped. 3 sharp works show this son of Snow Ridge loves the sand at Tampa. Trainer stats impressive in all areas. Sitting on go and a very live longshot. #5 - BARKLEY SOUND (2-1ML) - Raced well in two starts in KY. 2 local works not awe inspiring, but Joan Scott knows her 2YO's. May be vulnerable at a short price.1st @ 4-5 #1 - BUSHY'S YIELD (5-1ML) - Kept to task nicely after breaking slow in debut and closed into a traditionaly speed favoring Meadowlands dirt. #2 - NOTICE ME NOW (5-2ML) - Money burning favorite in first 2 starts will take $$$ again, but not expecting on ON TOP finish.2nd @ 5-2 LONGSHOT - #9 FRIEGHTER (12-1ML) Race 8 ALW 21700NC 5 FURLONGS TURF #2 - IMMEDIATE REACTION (10-1ML) - Bennett 22% first off the claim. Houghton should secure trip just off the speed drawn to his outside. #8 - CALL ME PETE (4-1) - Zadie/Lezcano combo always dangerous and always a short price. Turf sprint specialist has plenty of speed. #7 - PROCREATE (3-1) - The other speedball in the race. Trombetta ships him in off a light freshening. May be sitting on a big one.2nd @ 3-1 #10 - IN MEMORIAM (10-1ML) - Good post to stalk from and may run them down late if the speed isn't holding. Race 9 OC 32K/N2X 6 FURLONGS #3 WINNIES TIGGER TOO (8-1) - Horse for course returns to sight of his best efforts. #7 GUAPETON (7-2ML) - Lightly raced 3YO has done little wrong thus far. Sports a bullet work over the track.1st @ EVEN #6 RIGHT CONNECTION (15-1ML) - Suffolk shipper looks plenty fit to tackle these at a juicy price. #2 DANGEROUS GUY (12-1) - Team Allen ships Awesome Again gelding down South after 3 1/2 month freshening. R.A. is 22% off this type layoff. Should boost exotics as well. Pick 4 play 1-3-4-7/ 1-5-6/ 2-7-8/ 7 $36 for $1 T3B  Last edited by GPK : 12-09-2006 at 04:27 PM. 
|
|
#2
12-08-2006, 11:27 PM
|
||||
|
||||
|
My Pick 4 ticket as of now...
Race 6 1- Quite the Guy 7- Ivan Jay Perry 9- Pinch the Clown Race 7 5 - Berkley Sound 6 - Bello Pappa Race 8 (wide open race) 2- Immediate Reaction 4- Put Back the Shu 6- Dirtymoposse 7- Procreate 8- Call Me Pete 9- Wire Bound Race 9 7- Guapeton 10- Roman Candles 1,7,9 5,6 2,4,6,7,8,9 7,10 $72 Good luck to all.
|
|
#6
12-08-2006, 11:37 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Quote:
|
|
#7
12-08-2006, 11:39 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
You know, I was thinking about what Mike (Bigsmc) said and I think this needs to be hammered into our heads.
Recency (horses that just ran or have been running) could be a HUGE angle at Tampa to start the meet. That track is VERY deep and tiring and a horse off the layoff could want no part of that. I am going to pay close attention to that, see what comes of it..
|
|
#8
12-08-2006, 11:41 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Quote:
I agree...and for the most part I will play very few bets in the first couple weeks. Maybe some spot plays on turf routes...but no way am I playing every race. At most...1 spot play and the late 4. Just mainly gonna take notes and look for troubled trips, etc...
|
|
#9
12-09-2006, 03:04 PM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Quote:
6th race 7-3-4-1 if you boxed... $2ex. $20.20, $2tri. 127.20 and one leg down on the P4
__________________
 Seek respect, not attention.
Last edited by paisjpq : 12-09-2006 at 03:06 PM.
|
|
#10
12-09-2006, 03:39 PM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Quote:
$2 exacta 9.60...2 legs P4 to go 
__________________
Seek respect, not attention.
|
|
#11
12-09-2006, 03:42 PM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Quote:
|
|
#13
12-09-2006, 03:53 PM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Quote:
|
|
#14
12-09-2006, 06:12 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Quote:
Last edited by Scav : 12-09-2006 at 06:18 PM.
|
|
#15
12-09-2006, 06:03 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Will a more experienced race watcher take a look at the replay of the 6th race. I loved the #1 QUITE A GUY in there today. Mike Allen gave a strange ride in there...looked to have plenty of horse, but made a move incredibly early. Not sure what he was thinking there at all. Not sure if he would have beat the winner...but all I ever ask for is a chance...and after a very premature move, I had no chance. I had a WP wager on him and really thought he fit nicely in that race.
Any comments to help would be great.
|
|
#16
12-09-2006, 06:18 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Quote:
2) It was a position move, I told you this already, he was already 8 bazillion wide and needed to make that move for ANY hope, how he got 8 bazillion wide is beyond me. I can't find the replay to confirm this, but this is what I saw while watching the race 3) Play him back next time, he could have needed the race, the 4 is an auto play back, he had alot of run but didn't get the trip.....
|
|
#17
12-09-2006, 06:47 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Quote:
again...I ask someone BETTER than I watch this race... 8 wide....yeah....rewatch the race...not even close... Needed the race????? was 3rd off a layoff....and had 3 works from his last race...barely a month ago...until today.... Freaking horse didnt need a race and wasnt wide....it was a premature move.
|
|
#18
12-09-2006, 06:52 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Quote:
|
Hybrid Mode
