12/31: Aqueduct (Empire 6 Force Out); $183k C/O

[Kasept]

AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f (Empire 6, P3, DD)

P6 starts with deep, interesting group of NY babies that turn 3 at midnight. Vulnerable favorite Dancing Buck (5-2) debuted nicely 4 weeks ago on AQU lawn, but he's VERY turf-oriented being by War Dancer (0/19 with his 12 dirt starters) and out of all-turf/stakes placed Frivolous Buck. $75k earning sibling Brockmoninoff (Smart Bid) was turf too (2/0-1-0 on dirt). 2nd choice Bingo John (7-2) goes for Brad Cox barn and is a half to New Orleans H. (G2) winning S'Maverlous (Tiz Wonderful) who was pretty fast at 2 himself. Note Oxbow just a 9% debut sire. Second time starters Heymackit'sjack & POE Oliver's Fortune figure to improve off check earning bows. Firsters Lobsta (half to stake winning Chowda), sharp-working Reggae Music Man (16% debut sire Maclean's Music), Interstate (homebred out of IL sprint stake winner C'Mon Feet) and Damilano (Bond 16% FTS; $4.14) all have merits that make them competitive. Doesn't feel like a spot to be narrow..

Best Value: #2 Lobsta 6-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Bingo John 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Reggae Music Man 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Heymackit'sjack 6-1 6th


4th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Flat Awesome Jenny 3-1 7th
Best Value: #3 Lovely Lady Lexi 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Daria's Angel 2-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Fair Regis 8-1 4th


5th: OC/S-ALW, 2yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Fire Sword 7-2 WON ($9.80)
Best Value: #7 Prospect Mountain 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Civil War 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Sam and Sy 5-2 5th


6th: CLM, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Pace seriously reduced with SCR's..

Most Likely: #10 Heavy Roller 3-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Creative Plan 6-1 7th
Best Value: #8 Tivano 12-1 WON ($23.00)
Exotics Use: #4 Durkin's Call 9-2 2nd


7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (DD)

Best Value: #3 Lucky Dime 6-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Palomita 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Letmetakethiscall 9-5 WON ($4.60)
Super Add: #1a Glass Ceiling 5-2 3rd


8th: NY-MCLM/$25k, F&M-3+, 6f

Most Likely: #2 Crick 4-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Sweet Sneak 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #14 Grape Therapy 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #8 Mizzy's Image 10-1 8th


Must Pay Empire P6 Grid:

3: 2-3-5-7 (A), - (B), 1-4-6-8 (C)
4: 9 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 2-3-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 3-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 3-4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2-3-8-14 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple: 4x1x3x2x3x4 = 288 x .20 = $57.60 (Cover 'All' in the first leg for another $57.60)


P5 Grid:

4: 9 (A), 3 (B), - (C)
5: 2-3-7 (A), - (B), 5-9 (C)
6: 3-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 3-4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2-3 (A), 8-14 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x2x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (5-9): 1x2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12


P4 Grid:

5: 2-3-7 (A), - (B), 5-9 (C)
6: 3-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 3-4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2-3 (A), 5-8-13-14 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x3x6 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A's: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (5-9): 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

AQU SCR/CHG'S

[Kasept]

Craziest thing yet this year. Lolita Shivmangel was 0/37 on the year coming in to the day. Wins the opener ($5.70) and now a 2nd in the 4th at 40-1. Winner does have a good wet track record and was returning just below level of claim, but still pretty impossible to use.

[Kasept]