9/23: Belmont Park ($74k P6 C/O)

[Kasept]

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: CLM, 3+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

Consistent Outrageous Bet (9-2) is 3rd choice and in good form for Reynolds as he demonstrates that turf routing may have been his forte all along..

Most Likely: #2 Outrageous Bet 9-2 WON ($10.40)
Best Value: #6 Parlor 12-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Vettori Kin 7-2 8th
Exotics Use: #7 Boru 4-1 4th


5th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-IT (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Cox (Convertible Freeze) strong with 2nd timers and stretchouts and female family has plenty of grass strength, though first crop sire Connect just 1/20 with turf tries thus far..

Most Likely: #6 Convertible Freeze 8-1 6th
Best Value: #10 Kingham Hill 10-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Juggler 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Excursioniste 4-1 2nd


6th: S/ALW, 3+, 7f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Note that 9-2 Maker entry has option of SCR'g #1 Charlie Five O to get #1a Montauk Summer into field. Let's revisit this after changes come out..

Best Value: #7 Determined Fury 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Turn of Events 7-2 WON ($6.20)
Exotics Use: #12 Subsidize 8-1 6th
Super Add: #1e Maker entry 9-2 5th/10th


7th: NY-MSW, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Our own Scherzando forced to wait out spring growth period and was looking for a Saratoga start by the last 10 days of the meet. Sitting on ready and takes first downstate opportunity with the mile a bit of a testing trip off the 5 month absence. Blitz to Win the horse to beat, but a short number and has sure looked better sprinting..

Best Value: #1 Scherzando 12-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Blitz to Win 6-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Got the Gold 7-2 8th
Super Add: #6 Lucky Brody 10-1 3rd


8th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (DD)

Very treacherous group..

Best Value: #4 Kreesa La Wrote 10-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Social Whirl 6-1 WON ($19.40)
Exotics Use: #8 Tis a Pity 9-2 4th
Super Add: #9 Highway Queen 6-1 3rd


9th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f-T

Best Value: #8 More Like It 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 King James 7-2 WON ($7.10)
Exotics Use: #10 K. K. Ichikawa 10-1 DNF-Eased
Super Add: #5 Halpert 12-1 4th


P6 Grid:

4: 2-6 (A), 3 (B), - (C)
5: 6 (A), - (B), 10 (C)
6: 6-7 (A), - (B), 1-12 (C)
7: 1-5 (A), - (B), 4 (C)
8: 4-10 (A), 8 (B), - (C)
9: 6-8 (A), 10 (B), 1-4-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x2x2x3x3 = $108
All A's: 2x1x2x2x2x2 = $32
Backups: $32 (10) + $16 (12) + $16 (4) + $16 (5)


P5 Grid:

5: 6 (A), - (B), 10 (C)
6: 6-7 (A), 1-12 (B), - (C)
7: 1-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 4-8-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 6-8 (A), 5-10 (B), 1-4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x4x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $18 (10) + $18 (1-4)


P4 Grid:

6: 6-7 (A), 1-12 (B), - (C)
7: 1-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 4-8-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 6-8 (A), 5-10 (B), 1-4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $18 (1-4)


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

BEL SCR/CHG'S