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#1
01-13-2008, 09:58 AM
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1/13: Santa Anita ($160k C/O)
Saturday was a day that tested resolve as a horseplayer. Never one interested in accepting short prices in selections, bombs flew at the Fair Grounds and Santa Anita all day and I caught nearly none of them. The stakes string at New Orleans, which had been heavily disected all week on 'At the Races', ended up a stunning series of monster prices until two logicals reset some order in the Tiffany Lass and LeComte.
At Santa Anita, the three year old stake almost could not help itself from being formful, but the San Pasqual and San Fernando produced outlandish winners that produced a huge carryover of $160,000 into Sunday. While El Gato Malo proved out handsomely in the in the San Rafael, setting a track record in the process, Zappa, the longest shot on the Pasqual board at 13-1, and Air Commander, 52-1 and the 2nd longest tab in the Fernando, set off mutuel explosions. At NOLA, French Beret (11-1-Bradley), Silver Lord (14-1-Louisiana) and Danceroftherealm (9-1-Leggio) triggered a $6,227 Pick 3; helped the all-stakes P4 come back at $10.4k; gave one winner a $25k P5 hit and left the P6 as a carryover. Steve Asmussen swept the soph features as Jim Graham gave Jolie the Cat ($10.40) a heady front-end trip in the Tiff, and Shaun Bridgmohan booted Z Fortune ($12.00) home in the LeComte. Let's try to offset some of yesterday's drubbing with the 2nd big stakes card at Arcadia.. SANTA ANITA 3rd: 57th Sant Ynez (Gr. II), 3yo-F, 7f (P3, DD) Best Value: #1 Champagne Eyes 12-1 4th Most Likely: #3 INDIAN BLESSING 2-5 WON Next Best: #2 Izarra 5-1 5th 4th: ALW/S, 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #5 Havens Lake 10-1 2nd Most Likely: #7 Love Happens 5-2 3rd Next Best: #8 Quid Non 7-2 4th Exotics Add: #6 Testify to Love 4-1 WON $1 Exacta (6-5) $50.20 $1 Trifecta (6-5-7) $232.50 $1 Superfecta (6-5-7-8) $509.90 5th: 41st Santa Ysabel (Gr. III), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD) Best Value: #6 Initiation 5-1 5th Most Likely: #3 Turn Away 8-5 6th Next Best: #1 Grace Anatomy 7-2 2nd Exotics Add: #2 Kazamira 5-2 3rd 6th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #6 Quityerbellyaching 8-1 10th Most Likely: #2 Recoil 7-2 2nd Next Best: #7 Andrew's Courage 15-1 7th Exotics Add: #5 Charm N Chuck 6-1 WON $1 Exacta (5-2) $28.90 7th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6.5f-DHT (P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #2 Heathersdaddysbaby 15-1 WON Most Likely: #4 Udriga 7-2 2nd Next Best: #3 Pindaric 9-2 5th Exotics Add: #6 Squeeze Me Tight 5-1 3rd $1 Exacta (2-4) $71.40 $1 Trifecta (2-4-6) $311.50 8th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #9 Strip Mine 8-1 9th Most Likely: #1 Tiz Now Tiz Then 6-1 2nd Next Best: #3 Alonzo 6-1 8th Exotics Add: #2 Dreamed Day 9-2 5th 9th: 44th El Encino (Gr. II), 4yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #2 Zenyatta 7-2 WON Most Likely: #6 Tough Tiz's Sis 2-1 2nd Next Best: #1 Indescribable 6-1 10th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m-T (DD, Super) Best Value: #7 Raebar 6-1 2nd Most Likely: #6 Chelcee's Hope 7-2 10th Next Best: #9 Whimsical Miss 6-1 9th Exotics Add: #10 Zoemeg 10-1 5th 11th: MDN CLM, 4+, 7f (Super) Best Value: #7 Knoblock 6-1 5th Most Likely: #10 Army Officer 5-1 WON Next Best: #9 Street Number 4-1 12th Exotics Add: #13 Chewy Carmello 12-1 11th <$150 P6 Play: 6: 2-6 7: 2-3-4 8: 1-2-3-9 9: 2 10: 6-7 11: 7-10 2x3x4x1x2x2 = 96 x $2 = $192 <$50 P4 Play: 8: 1-2-3-4-8-9 9: 2-6 10: 7 11: 7-9-10-13 6x2x1x4 = $48 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 01-13-2008 at 10:12 PM. 
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#3
01-13-2008, 02:07 PM
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I like LOOKS GREAT in the last race.Might foul though. So,would also use Army Officer,Ringmaster,and Golada King.Don't like Army Officer,but I guess I would have to include.Street just can't finish.Knoblock lugs in too much at the exact wrong time.
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#4
01-13-2008, 02:33 PM
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Love the 7 horse in race 1.
Gilchrist went back and reclaimed him for $18 more than he lost him for previously. Plus, the Mike Smith "off" angle never fails. Looks like he can sit off the speed and power home.
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#6
01-13-2008, 03:07 PM
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Quote:
Taking a shot with the 6 and 9 in race 2.
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#7
01-13-2008, 03:45 PM
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No one likes Alonzo in the 8th? I mean I know I'm just going on family history...but if you just look at the sprint debut as a prep race.. I think he'll be dangerous at this distance.
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#8
01-13-2008, 04:04 PM
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#9
01-13-2008, 04:13 PM
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On a separate note if the #1 wins the finale at Aqueduct, I may be jumping out a window...
Decided to pass on significant play, mainly because of 7th race which I could not get any feel at all in as well as last where I liked the #1 at a price, but was tough after that. Only proposed play was a $1 ticket 1 / ALL / 1,2 / 1. $16 ticket with willpay at half of $33K... Of course I passed. This one would put me over the edge...
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#10
01-13-2008, 04:22 PM
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#11
01-13-2008, 04:24 PM
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#12
01-13-2008, 05:21 PM
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Decided against playing Zenyatta vertically, so will single her in the pick 3 races 8-10.
8- 2,3,4,5,9,10 9- 2 10- 1,3,7,9 This leaves me with 7 dollars in my account, which will go to a straight exactor over R i Diane if the will pays say its worth it.(Knowing myself, I will end up putting it on Bejarano in another race) This drought that I'm in must end, it feels like I work all week for nothing. Im at the bottom of the betting roller coaster. Best of luck to everyone playing this evening!!
__________________
"A person who saw no important difference between the fire outside a Neandrathal's cave and a working thermo-nuclear reactor might tell you that junk bonds and derivatives BOTH serve to energize capital" - Nathan Israel
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#13
01-13-2008, 05:53 PM
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THAT absolves all sins of the weekend! Can't believe Chantal Sutherland bails me out... Her first CA win.
Heathersdaddysbaby jumped off the page at me this morning.. (despite Chantal..)
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#14
01-13-2008, 05:57 PM
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nice call steve and a total balls move with chantal up
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#15
01-13-2008, 05:57 PM
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#18
01-13-2008, 06:09 PM
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Starts at 4:15 (Hour One).. http://www.thoroughbredracingradione...,11/Itemid,35/
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#19
01-13-2008, 06:13 PM
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Hooves; Spydee; PMac..
Thx.. Needed it after dropping $280 yesterday, which would have been $400 if not for Jolie the Cat.. As J.J. used to say, if I get beat up bad one day, look out the next day..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#20
01-13-2008, 06:16 PM
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Six horses between 9-2 & 6-1 in this curious 8th.. Not a single result imaginable would shock me here.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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