Tampa Friday: 53k Carryover

[tiggerv]

Race 6
2 Delaware Diamond – exits excellent race with 3 next out winners including Stormin Yank who won going away in allowance company
(Also considering: 10 Follow Orders, 8 Out In The Open)

Race 7
11 Drinkwater - since he drew in I will single
(Also considering: 4 Rahoo, 2 GreyLock)

Race 8
1 Classy And Elusive – caught in speed duel and ended up 2nd to Red Liquor N' Lace last out
6 Sage's Dream – class dropper with past figures that could win and draws better jock
10 Red Liquor N' Lace – won last out in same company closing, should get enough pace to close into
11 First Lady on Tour – class dropper and probable front runner, include at price

Race 9
1 The Works – 19% trainer FTS, 14% Sire FTS, draws Vern Bush?!?
5 Lear's Luv – 6% trainer FTS, 13% Sire FTS, strong workout pattern
6 Whatyouwanttoknow – 20% trainer FTS, 14% Sire FTS, strong workout pattern

Race 10
7 Shipwatch – good connections, strong turf pedigree, stretching out and could wire this field
5 Mandu Genius - adding in a wide open race, should be able to close into these
(Also considering: 9 Seize, 13AE Lucky Leo)

Race 11
11 Last Shake – nearly won last out in same company before fading, slight cut back in distance
12 Hot Shot Brown – class dropper should be good enough to compete here
(Also considering: 3 Win For Gold)

1x1x4x3x2x2 = $96

[Bigsmc]

Originally Posted by tiggerv

Race 9
1 The Works – 19% trainer FTS, 14% Sire FTS, draws Vern Bush?!?
3 Stormy Cs – 3% trainer FTS, 5% Sire FTS, bullet work and draws Rosemary
5 Lear's Luv – 6% trainer FTS, 13% Sire FTS, strong workout pattern
6 Whatyouwanttoknow – 20% trainer FTS, 14% Sire FTS, strong workout pattern

Scace using Vern is baffling to me. Her go to guy is Cotto, who ended up on the 5. She has several others she uses, and probably the rest of the room wanting to ride her horses....and she chooses Vern?

[Bigsmc]

Originally Posted by tiggerv

First cut at P6 ticket pre-scratch. I am not all that happy with the single in the 10th so I may change it several times tomorrow. I really don't want to invest much more with so many wide open races. Saturday's card looks more beatable if there is another carryover.

Race 6
2 Delaware Diamond – exits excellent race with 3 next out winners including Stormin Yank who won going away in allowance company
(Also considering: 10 Follow Orders, 8 Out In The Open)

Race 7
2 Greylock - 2nd by a neck in same company two back
8 Call My Bluff – year layoff but works good and if right could win going away
(Also considering: 4 Rahoo, 11AE Drinkwater)

Race 8
1 Classy And Elusive – caught in speed duel and ended up 2nd to Red Liquor N' Lace last out
6 Sage's Dream – class dropper with past figures that could win and draws better jock
10 Red Liquor N' Lace – won last out in same company closing, should get enough pace to close into
11 First Lady on Tour – class dropper and probable front runner, include at price

Race 9
1 The Works – 19% trainer FTS, 14% Sire FTS, draws Vern Bush?!?
3 Stormy Cs – 3% trainer FTS, 5% Sire FTS, bullet work and draws Rosemary
5 Lear's Luv – 6% trainer FTS, 13% Sire FTS, strong workout pattern
6 Whatyouwanttoknow – 20% trainer FTS, 14% Sire FTS, strong workout pattern

Race 10
7 Shipwatch – good connections, strong turf pedigree, stretching out and could wire this field
(Also considering: 9 Seize, 13AE Lucky Leo)

Race 11
11 Last Shake – nearly won last out in same company before fading, slight cut back in distance
12 Hot Shot Brown – class dropper should be good enough to compete here
(Also considering: 3 Win For Gold)

1x2x4x4x1x2 = $128

Liz Cedeno is the female Craig Faine....don't do it tigger.

GL today.

[Bigsmc]

I am crunched for time today and will have difficulty getting this in today, so here is my main ticket.

Race 6:
2 - Delaware Diamond
8 - Out in the Open (decent works for MCL 25k, dam won her MSW debut at SAR)

Race 7:
1 - Brickell
2 - Greylock
4 - Rahoo
11 - Drinkwater

Race 8:
8 - Chubby
10 - Red Liquor n' Lace

Race 9:
6 - Whatyouwanttoknow

Race 10:
7 - Shipwatch
8 - Skagway

Race 11:
6 - Wild Nuevent
11 - Last Shake

2 x 4 x 2 x 1 x 2 x 2 = $128

GL

[Bigsmc]

Pick 4

Small Ticket:

8,10/1,5,6/5,7,8,10/6,11 = $48 paid $299.90

Big Ticket:

1,8,10/1,5,6/5,7,8,10/4,6,7,11 = $144 paid $299.90

GL

[2 Dollar Bill]

Race # 10...... 13Ae Lucky Leo

Watch out for this Tampa---DT 31lengths angle !!
Not sure if the form keeps this stat

[Rudeboyelvis]

got a ticket formulated, waiting on scratches to see if we get any changes in 7th or 10th...The 9th is a complete an utter crapshoot, and a clear signal that they want this P6 to carryover into Festival Preview Day...Can't say I blame 'em, but there is zero chance of me chasing either the P 4 or the P6 today with real money

[MISTERGEE]

6) 2- delaware diamond

7) 2-greylock
4-rahoo
7-pitchnicholas

8) 1-classy and elusive
10-red liquor n' lace

9) 1-the works
6-whatyouwanttoknow

10) 2-kalita
5-mandu genius
7-shipwatch
9-seize
10-jared'stemper

11) 4-man of men
6-wild nuevent

before scratches look like $240 to me-hope its enough---good luck all

[MISTERGEE]

Originally Posted by Bigsmc

I am crunched for time today and will have difficulty getting this in today, so here is my main ticket.

Race 6:
2 - Delaware Diamond
8 - Out in the Open (decent works for MCL 25k, dam won her MSW debut at SAR)

Race 7:
1 - Brickell
2 - Greylock
4 - Rahoo
8 - Call My Bluff

Race 8:
8 - Chubby
10 - Red Liquor n' Lace

Race 9:
6 - Whatyouwanttoknow

Race 10:
7 - Shipwatch
8 - Skagway

Race 11:
6 - Wild Nuevent
11 - Last Shake

2 x 4 x 2 x 1 x 2 x 2 = $128

GL

in comparing our tickets we can both hit it---great

[Rudeboyelvis]

2 Delaware Diamond

1 Brickell
11 drinkwater
3 Hots is Hot

1 Classy and elusive
10 Red Liquor and lace

6 Whatyouwanttoknow
1 The Works

5 Mandu Genius
8 Skagway

2 dusst
6 Wild Nuevent
4 Man of Men

1x3x2x2x2x3 = 72 x $2 = 144.00

[tiggerv]

Friday, February 15, 2008

TRACK: Fast
TURF: Firm
Portable rail: at 12 feet

Weather: Sunny – mid 70’s

Pick 6 CARRYOVER: $52,454.34


RACE 1 #3-Scratched(Mynia)
Post Time 12:26

RACE 2
#1-Scratched(Prospectorsbounty)
#7-Scratched(Brave Hero)
Post Time 12:52

RACE 3 #1-Scratched(Queshua)
Post Time 1:20

RACE 4 #3-+1
Post Time 1:49

RACE 5 No Changes
Post Time 2:18

RACE 6 No Changes
Post Time 2:48

RACE 7 (Turf) #4-jockey W. Martinez
#5-Scratched(Solar Surprise)
#8-Scratched(Call My Bluff)
#12-Scratched(Bargain Barry)
#13-Scratched(Sand Slider)
#14-Scratched(Roman Valor)
Post Time 3:14

RACE 8 #3-jockey W. Martinez
Post Time 3:40

RACE 9 #1-+1 #3-Scratched(Stormy C’s)
Post Time 4:10

RACE 10 (Turf) #1-+3
#11-Scratched(Running Super Star)
#12-Scratched(Bo’s Secret Strom)
#13-Scratched(Lucky Leo)
#14-Scratched(Man Made)
Post Time 4:40

RACE 11 #5-Scratched(Chromystic)
#6-+1 #9-jockey H. Villa Gomez
Post Time 5:10

Pick 6
2,10/1/8,10/1,6,7/5/3,7,11
$72

[GPK]

No time to look at the whole sequence, but I did look at the 7th race. My only bet today is #4 Rahoo. Love him on the stretch out.

GL today boys

[the_fat_man]

Originally Posted by GPK

No time to look at the whole sequence, but I did look at the 7th race. My only bet today is #4 Rahoo. Love him on the stretch out.

GL today boys

He'll be a nice barometer for Shipwatch (in the 10th). Of course, Shipwatch was blocked pretty much the length of the stretch last out, while this one had a clear, last move run.

Jamie Ness is the best trainer in the world.

[GPK]

Originally Posted by the_fat_man

He'll be a nice barometer for Drinkwater (in the 10th). Of course, Drinkwater was blocked pretty much the length of the stretch last out, while this one had a clear, last move run.

I see where Drinkwater drew in for the 7th race and Velez jumps off Rahoo. Velez played a part in my betting Rahoo today, as I think he is one of the top judges of pace in the grass at Tampa. Unfortunately, had to make the bet before I left the house this morning. Willie is certainly a capable subsitute.

[tiggerv]

Originally Posted by Pillow Pants

Jamie Ness is the best trainer in the world.

It's either him or Scott Lake

[the_fat_man]

Originally Posted by GPK

I see where Drinkwater drew in for the 7th race and Velez jumps off Rahoo. Velez played a part in my betting Rahoo today, as I think he is one of the top judges of pace in the grass at Tampa. Unfortunately, had to make the bet before I left the house this morning. Willie is certainly a capable subsitute.

I think going from ONE to TWO turns on the grass, especially if never attempted previously, is one of the most difficult things for a horse to do. There are all kinds of footwork issues that come into play. This almost never works at BEL, or SAR, for example. In fact, this move is typical of the LOWER IQ trainers.

Yet, it seems to do a bit better on 'smaller' tracks.

To take a horse like Shipwatch, that tried hard last out and never got a chance to run until very late, and then ROUTE him FOR THE FIRST TIME EVER off that effort, is mind boggling to me.

Rahoo, on the other hand, at least has routed once on the turf and didn't have a 'frustrating' trip last out.

[Bigsmc]

Made it back to the computer in time to add Drinkwater and play the ticket.

Pool is over 100k...

GL all.

[Bigsmc]

R6
Oh wow, that hurt. Thought the 8 was going to blow by on the inside and he just hung there.