I know it's early, but who you tossing? - Page 2

parsixfarms · #21 04-15-2008, 02:37 PM

I'd like Gayego a lot more if Gilded Time wasn't his sire, making the 10F a real dicey proposition.

jcs11204 · #22 04-15-2008, 02:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by parsixfarms

I'd like Gayego a lot more if Gilded Time wasn't his sire, making the 10F a real dicey proposition.

TOSS in my opinion this means wont be using at all.... exotics, pick 3-4 anything!!!
here are my tosses.....gayego/big brown/pyro/big truck/recapture

5 tosses.... i dont give any of them much of a shot

SentToStud · #23 04-15-2008, 02:57 PM

Big Brown's a toss for me, especially from an inside or middle post, especially if War Pass draws outside him. You will not ever see a horse get a softer trip from the 12 post than BB did in the Florida Derby. While he broke with the leaders, he is not a gate buster but rather a "take a stride then send" type. From a relative inside post, he'll have to work for his trip, something he hasn't done.

I also think a likely to be tightened up Churchill track works against him and his foot issues. And to a lesser but still important extent, I'm not nuts about his modest number of lifetime starts.

At what is going to be 2/1 - 5/2, he's a toss for me.

jcs11204 · #24 04-15-2008, 02:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SentToStud

Big Brown's a toss for me, especially from an inside or middle post, especially if War Pass draws outside him. You will not ever see a horse get a softer trip from the 12 post than BB did in the Florida Derby. While he broke with the leaders, he is not a gate buster but rather a "take a stride then send" type. From a relative inside post, he'll have to work for his trip, something he hasn't done.

I also think a likely to be tightened up Churchill track works against him and his foot issues. And to a lesser but still important extent, I'm not nuts about his modest number of lifetime starts.

At what is going to be 2/1 - 5/2, he's a toss for me.

totally agree. he is the easiest toss for me.... i think hes easily 2-1, not higher, way way overbet

jcs11204 · #25 04-15-2008, 04:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698

I know you're kidding and all, but you sir are no Andy Beyer yourself.

im starting to like our new friendship

MISTERGEE · #26 04-15-2008, 04:07 PM

anyone who looked abnormally good on poly

TheSpyder · #27 04-15-2008, 04:12 PM

I'm tossing anyone that does not have some good impressive works over the CD track. The last few years that's been one of the most important ingrediants. You can forget everything and those that work well, look impressive are going to be on my tickets. These are young developing horses and believe some will rise and some will fall, especially from the mediocor group.

Spyder

brianwspencer · #28 04-15-2008, 04:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698

I know you're kidding and all, but you sir are no Andy Beyer yourself.

Which might be a good thing when it comes to picking the Derby.

lemoncrush · #29 04-15-2008, 04:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jcs11204

totally agree. he is the easiest toss for me.... i think hes easily 2-1, not higher, way way overbet

To toss him from all your exotics because he's going to be overbet makes no sense. If you don't play him to win, that's fine.
But if you seriously toss both Pyro and Big Brown from all your trifectas and superfectas (assuming you play those wagers), I think your likelihood of cashing a ticket is being seriously diminished.