DERBY NOTES (4/24-25): 'Spell' to Oaks only..

[Scav]

Byk, you see Anak Nakal work today? 46.52 is pretty fast for this horse.

This horse has a legit chance at hitting the board, I really think that Zito let him work himself into shape and now he is starting to blossom....

[slotdirt]

Yeah, his performance in this year's Derby preps have really put him on my list of contenders for next Saturday, Scav. I mean, who doesn't look for an average finish of 6.67 in a horse's three previous races when 'capping the Derby?

[Scav]

Originally Posted by slotdirt

Yeah, his performance in this year's Derby preps have really put him on my list of contenders for next Saturday, Scav. I mean, who doesn't look for an average finish of 6.67 in a horse's three previous races when 'capping the Derby?

At 80/1 and that work, unless the description is "whipped heavily", I am using the horse, plain and simple....

AND, I am even considering putting out the opportunity to all the Smooth Air lovers, a heads up wager between Smooth Air and Anak Nakal

[slotdirt]

I think a more fair bet is a heads up wager betwixt Anak Nakal and Z Humor, the only two potential Derby entrants who have yet to really run a step in any race since the calendar turned to 2008.

[tiggerv]

Another example of why I am still not a believer in putting much stock in a single workout before the Derby.

[Scav]

Originally Posted by slotdirt

I think a more fair bet is a heads up wager betwixt Anak Nakal and Z Humor, the only two potential Derby entrants who have yet to really run a step in any race since the calendar turned to 2008.

Who is talking fair, if I do it, I am going to do it at even money, and probably a $500 total limit, and let people take chucks of it, $100 minimum.....

Anak Nakal is surely an underdog in a match up wager vs Smooth Air...If I had to guess, it would be

Smooth Air -150
Anak Nakal +120

You tell 'em, Baby Gorilla!!

[Payson Dave]

I'll take Smooth Air to finish ahead of Anak Nakal in the derby...$20 and two beers at The Horseshoe...payable at the spa meet

[Scav]

Originally Posted by Payson Dave

I'll take Smooth Air to finish ahead of Anak Nakal in the derby...$20 and two beers at The Horseshoe...payable at the spa meet

I am sure there will be alot of interest in this bet, but I haven't made it official yet....

[Payson Dave]

Ya gotta decide before they put em in the gate on May 3rd

[Scav]

Originally Posted by Payson Dave

Ya gotta decide before they put em in the gate on May 3rd

Thanks genius

[Payson Dave]

yer welcome stud

[miraja2]

One thing is for sure, if Anak Nakal does find some way to hit the board - or perhaps even win - Scav will have some pretty serious bragging rights around here. I was on this colt's bandwagon early in the year, but I jumped off awhile ago. He just hasn't done anything.
I guess with his trainer, sire, recent workout, and a win over the track, I can't completely blame you for taking a stab if he is HUGE odds.....but he sure seems unlikely.

[Cajungator26]

Originally Posted by Payson Dave

yer welcome stud

I love you.

[Payson Dave]

Originally Posted by Cajungator26

I love you.

hmmmmmm....ummmmmmm

[Cannon Shell]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Rich Migliore will now ride Bob Black Jack if he gets in with David Flores jumping to Behindatthebar.

Arcaro could rise from the grave and it wouldnt matter on these 2

[Cannon Shell]

Originally Posted by Scav

Who is talking fair, if I do it, I am going to do it at even money, and probably a $500 total limit, and let people take chucks of it, $100 minimum.....

Anak Nakal is surely an underdog in a match up wager vs Smooth Air...If I had to guess, it would be

Smooth Air -150
Anak Nakal +120

Odds on winning another race before Christmas
Hackercraft -250
Anak Nakal +300

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell

Odds on winning another race before Christmas
Hackercraft -250
Anak Nakal +300

I'll have to remember to pass that along.

[Cannon Shell]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

I'll have to remember to pass that along.

Should i make HC lower? Let's just hope (for Nick's sake) they dont wind up running against each other anytime soon.

[Danzig]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

I beg to differ.

However, if he gets in the race I think he's worth considering. I mean, he's no Smooth Air, we all know that, but he might have a shot.

i just meant that the horse won't suddenly be slower just because his humans made dumb decisions. whether he'll be right for the derby, i don't know. but i still think he can be a good horse.
and i'd pick him before i chose smooth air on derby day....which isn't saying much.