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Old 05-03-2008, 07:24 AM
Bogey's Avatar
Bogey Bogey is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: South Florida
Posts: 5,479
Default CD - Derby Day Full Card

Happy Derby Day

Churchill Downs

R1 - Alw67 N2X

#6 Sale Pending
#2 Bullet Rain
#8 Catmantoo
#4 Biker Boy

R2 - Alw64 N1X

#8 Lacadena
#10 Loving Vindication
#2 Grand Obsession
#5 B R's Girl

R3 - OC80K/N$Y

#6 First Defense
#2 Spin Master
#8 Vicarian
#5 Red Raymond

R4 - MSW 61K

#11 Cherokee Artist
#7 Grand Turk
#1 A Diehl
#4 Screen to Screen

R5 - G2 Churchill Downs

#3 Noonmark - Singleton if wet.
#5 Island Warrior
#2 Thousand Words (GB)
#1 Elite Squadron

PK3 3/4/8

R6 - G3 LaTrioenne

#4 Game Face - Should make amends for odds on defeat.
#6 Keep the Peace
#7 Alina
#5 Informed Decision

R7 - G3 Churchill Distaf Turf Mile

#8 Ventura - (BEST BET) - Look for her to pounce on them as they turn for home. Should get a dream trip behind the pace setters.
#3 Danzon
#2 Sharp Susan
#9 Dreaming of Anna

PK4 - 8 / 1 3 4 5 / 1 3 5 / 9 10 16 = $36

R8 - G1 Humana Distaf

#5 Sugar Swirl
#4 Miss Macy Sue
#1 Hystericalady
#3 Graeme Six

R9 - G1 Turf Classic

#3 Golden Balls (Ire)
#1 Out of Control (Brz)
#5 Einstein (Brz)
#4 Thorn Song

R10 - G1 Kentucky Derby

#1 Cool Coal Man - Benefited from perfect set up in the Fountain of Youth at GP from same post, but this is a different animal. Looks like Tarzan, but runs like Jane.
#2 Tale of Ekati - Wood Memorial winner will hope the race falls apart.
#3 Anak Nakal - Has not progressed as a Sophomore and looks a cut below. Pedigree says yes, but seems like Zito is bringing a couple of knives to a gun fight this year.
#4 Court Vision - Making important 3rd start of the year and is training well at the right time. It seems he's sitting on a big one and must be included in all exotics.
#5 Eight Belles - Connections taking a swing with nice filly that looked tired in last and now must go another furlong and a half?
#6 Z Fortune - Strong 2nd in G2 Arkansas Derby, but his latest workout was iffy at best.
#7 Big Truck - Won a weak Tampa Bay Derby and simply seems over-matched here.
#8 Visionaire - Class act, Matz easy to root for. Must bring A game to contend with this bunch.
#9 Pyro - Winchell homebred has the foundation and ability to be a Derby winner. Toss Blue Grass debacle because of the surface. I look for him to be draped with roses.
#10 Colonel John - Tough customer always finds a way of being right there at the wire. Sizzled over the CD strip last Sunday.
#11 Z Humor - Mott expected better this year and takes the hood off.
#12 Smooth Air - Great story and glad to see him in the starting gate. That being said, he's up against it.
#13 Bob Black Jack - Will keep Big Brown company on the front end before packing it in.
#14 Monba - Gutsy victory in the Blue Grass and has an allowance win at CD. Pletcher's best shot this year and should not be ignored.
#15 Adriano - Good looking (Red) son of A.P. Indy is the most well rested participant. Prado had options.
#16 Denis of Cork - Last minute entry looks to capitalize in a big way. Had legitimate excuses in Illinois Derby and has been training lights out at CD. Great value on a very talented runner.
#17 Cowboy Cal - Ran his eye balls out in defeat to stablemate and just seems as a pace factor in this event.
#18 Recapturetheglory - Illinois Derby winner will flash some early speed before he checks out.
#19 Gayego - G2 Arkansas Derby winner proved he can handle the dirt. Dreadful post.
#20 Big Brown - Super confident connections seem to like all the attention. Not worth taking a short price from the parking lot. Pass

Top 5

#9 Pyro
#16 Denis of Cork
#10 Colonel John
#4 Court Vision
#14 Monba

R11 - Alw64 N1X

#3 Mambo in Seattle
#10 Sonoma Cat
#4 Admirality
#8 Manager Boire

R12 - MSW 61K

#3 Pious Ashley
#5 Maiara
#2 E Major
#9 Hulotte

Good Racing Luck
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