Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Search Today's Posts Mark Forums Read

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 08-13-2008, 06:32 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,305
Default 8/13: Saratoga (Week 3- $55k C/O)

First half of meet ended Monday with another messy slopfest card featuring 4 off turf events. Next three weeks figure to provide better scenario given the Alabama, Travers and Woodward Saturdays and an increasingly improving weather forecast. Enjoyed a more-than-solid initial 18 days (17 really), and hope you're doing well at the midpoint of this unusual Spa session. Week 3 starts with an excellent quality card and $55,200 carryover that looks very tough. Weather calls fot OK day with slight chance of isolated t-storm. Rain yesterday may move the 2 non-MSW grass races off the turf, but we'll see about that as soon as we get to the track around 7am.


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


ALL SCHEDULED GRASS RACES ARE OFF THE TURF


PRE-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 5.5f (P3, DD)

OFF THE TURF

Most Likely: #1 SCR
Best Value: #5 Weekwee 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 C. T. Phone Home 4-1 WON
Exotics Use: #6 Odetta One 12-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (7-5) Paid $20.50
$1 Trifecta (7-5-6) Paid $84.50



2nd: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Celestial Diamond 3-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Capt. Candyman Can 12-1 WON ($40.80)
Next Best: #4 Laver 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 SCR

$1 Daily Double (7-1) Paid $70.25


3rd: OC/N3X, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Fearless Vision 2-1 6th
Best Value: #4 Loose Leaf 8-1 WON ($22.00)
Next Best: #2 Extreme Supreme 6-1 3rd

$2 Pick 3 (7-1-4) 3 Correct Paid $584.50
$1 Daily Double (1-4) Paid $206.00



4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD)

OFF THE TURF

1.) #4 Silver Reunion 6-1 WON ($10.80)
2.) #6 Jehan 5-1 3rd
3.) #8 Ain't Love Grand 8-1 2nd

$1 Exacta (4-8) Paid $16.60
$1 Trifecta (4-8-6) Paid $36.75
$1 Pick 3 (1-4-4) 3 Correct Paid $1,357.50
$1 Daily Double (4-4) Paid $55.25



5th: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

This is some way to open a P6.. Utterly impossible collection of what-not.. Watch board before submitting your play..

Most Likely: #3 Tactical Discovery 5-1 10th
Best Value: #9 Uno Royale 15-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Who Plays Brahms 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Spina 10-1 WON ($36.60)

$1 Pick 3 (4-4-10) 3 Correct Paid $717.00
$2 Daily Double (4-10) Paid $76.25



<$75 P4 Play:

2: 1-2-4-6
3: 2-4-5
4: 4
5: 1-2-3-8-9-10

4x3x1x6 = $72

$1 Pick 4 (1-4-4-10) 4 Correct Paid $11,859.00


6th: CLM, 3+, 1m (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

OFF THE TURF

1.) #2b Bill Place 12-1 2nd
2.) #14 Take the Bluff 8-1 WON
3.) #5 Role Play 20-1 4th

$1 Exacta (14-2) Paid $10.80
$1 Pick 3 (4-10-14) 3 Correct Paid $407.50
$1 Daily Double (10-14) Paid $109.50



7th: NYB-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Sneakin Up 3-1 6th
Next Best: )#7 Speed Dating 4-1 4th
Best Value: #10 SCR-Late
Super Add: #1e Pletcher entry 7-2 3rd

$1 Consolation Pick 3 (10-14-10) Paid $105.50


8th: OC/N3X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

A Gr. III quality event.. Terrific betting race..

Most Likely: #6 Premium Wine 2-1 WON
Best Value: #1e Badgett entry 8-1 3rd/4th
Next Best: #5 Shone 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2e Levine entry 4-1 6th


9th: 92nd Adirondack (Gr. II), 2yo-F, 6.5f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Bold Union 5-2 4th
Best Value: #8 Mani Bhavan 5-1 WON
Next Best: #4 Simplify 4-1 5th
Super Add: #6 Garden District 3-1 6th


10th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 1m (Super)

OFF THE TURF

1. #9 Castle Harbour 5-2 7th
2. #4 All the Way Home 12-1 6th
3. #14 Little Wise Guy 5-1 WON

$1 Pick 3 (6-8-14) 3 Correct Paid $60.75


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-3-7-9-10
8: 1-2-5-6
9: 2
10: 1-9-14-15

5x4x1x4 = $80


$250 P6 Play:

5: 3-9
6: 2-14
7: 3-7-9-10
8: 1-6
9: 2
10: 1-4-9-14

2x2x4x2x1x4 = 128 x $2 = $256


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 08-14-2008 at 06:45 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 08-13-2008, 10:33 AM
zippyneedsawin's Avatar
zippyneedsawin zippyneedsawin is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 2,064
Default

It's OFF the turf, according to NYRA.com.. sigh...
__________________
Alcohol, the cause and solution to all of life's problems. -Homer Simpson
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 08-13-2008, 10:58 AM
SniperSB23 SniperSB23 is offline
Hialeah Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Albany, NY
Posts: 6,086
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by zippyneedsawin
It's OFF the turf, according to NYRA.com.. sigh...
Guess I'll be sticking at work today.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 08-13-2008, 11:11 AM
jms62's Avatar
jms62 jms62 is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 19,762
Default

This meet is an unmitigated disaster.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 08-13-2008, 11:15 AM
Coach Pants
 
Posts: n/a
Default

Hey there's still a few weekends left. Positive thoughts guys lulz.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 08-13-2008, 11:40 AM
zippyneedsawin's Avatar
zippyneedsawin zippyneedsawin is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 2,064
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by SniperSB23
Guess I'll be sticking at work today.
I hear ya. I'm tired of 5 & 6 horse fields running on an "off" track.

If I wanted that, I would just focus on California races.
__________________
Alcohol, the cause and solution to all of life's problems. -Homer Simpson
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 08-13-2008, 11:49 AM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 7,440
Default Changes -

R1) 1 Skipping Class Early
1A Smartgabrielle Early
2B Jocassee Early
3 Maggie's Miracle Early
3X Demaliat Early
8 Our Montana Dream Early

R2) 2 Pop Artist Early

R4) 1 (poe) Platinum Girl Early
2 (poe) Dynaslew Early
3 Palmeto Princess (ARG) Early
5 Americas Dreaming (IRE) Early
7 Warm Shower Early

R6) 1 L'Oiseau d'Argent Early NO SUPERFECTA; NO TRIFECTA
1A Forget the Judge Early
2 (poe) Terrific Storm Early
4 Real Quality Early
7 Certain Circles Early
8 Bon Marie Early
9 Dr Rico Early
10 Rio Mistico (CHI) Early
11 Big Bold Place Early
12 Rock Lobster Early
13 Mr. Madison Early

R7) 1A Anjorie Early
8 Alexandra's Halo Early

R8) 2B Callmetony Early
4 Diamond Isle Early

R10) 1A Pegasian Early NO SUPERFECTA
2 Mail Heroics Early
3 Winloc's Saint Ray Early
6 Marra Marra Early
7 Subversive Action Early
8 Quite Apt Early
10 Look Now Early
13 Coaltown Legend Early
15 El Tamberito Early

JOCKEY CHANGES
Race Program # Horse Changes
R6) 14 Take the Bluff Rajiv Maragh

MISCELLANEOUS CHANGES
Race Program # Horse Changes
R5) 5 Gossip Gil BLINKERS ON
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 08-13-2008, 11:57 AM
Coach Pants
 
Posts: n/a
Default

Look at those scratches. They should just cancel.
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 08-13-2008, 12:55 PM
philcski's Avatar
philcski philcski is offline
Goodwood
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Mission Viejo, CA
Posts: 8,872
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
This is some way to open a P6.. Utterly impossible collection of what-not.. Watch board before submitting your play..
"Utterly impossible collection of what-not..." the man has a way with words, I love it!
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 08-13-2008, 01:34 PM
TheSpyder's Avatar
TheSpyder TheSpyder is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Nothing could be finer
Posts: 5,129
Default

4th race: Did anyone else find it interesting that Pletcher started with two horses (before scratches) and neither had Velazquez who was suppose to ride the Penna horse. Just thought that a bit odd.

Spyder
__________________
Don't sweat the petty things and don't pet the sweaty things.
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 08-13-2008, 01:44 PM
philcski's Avatar
philcski philcski is offline
Goodwood
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Mission Viejo, CA
Posts: 8,872
Default

BANG BANG BANG for Mr. Byk in the 2nd, best value selection (Candy Ride firster) Capt. Candyman Can gets away at 20-1. Well done.
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 08-13-2008, 02:15 PM
XIIPointStables XIIPointStables is offline
Washington Park
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 858
Default

Back to Back Best Value Plays 19-1 and 8-1.
Hope you're crushing it!
Ravel hit the wall on the turn, yikes.
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 08-13-2008, 02:15 PM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 7,440
Default

And follows it up w/ 10-1 Best Value play in the 3rd - early p3 pays 584 for a buck! Well Done, Steve!!
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 08-13-2008, 02:23 PM
gales0678 gales0678 is offline
Oriental Park
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: new york
Posts: 3,670
Default

bang bang mr byk
Reply With Quote
  #15  
Old 08-13-2008, 02:49 PM
philcski's Avatar
philcski philcski is offline
Goodwood
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Mission Viejo, CA
Posts: 8,872
Default

payoffs on steve's SICK pick 4 (for $2, so half these):
1 $20,179
2 $13,091
3 $14,495
8 $14,552
9 $32,614
10 $23,719

Git 'er done.
Reply With Quote
  #16  
Old 08-13-2008, 03:03 PM
Heels1989's Avatar
Heels1989 Heels1989 is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Cary NC
Posts: 2,033
Default

Just got off the phone with my dad. He's alive to the 3, 8 and 10.

Good luck to those live.
Reply With Quote
  #17  
Old 08-13-2008, 03:17 PM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 7,440
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Heels1989
Just got off the phone with my dad. He's alive to the 3, 8 and 10.

Good luck to those live.
Congrats to your Dad, Dave - best price of the three of 'em
Reply With Quote
  #18  
Old 08-13-2008, 03:20 PM
Gander Gander is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 5,336
Default

Wow! Great job Steve and to all else who hit this. Wow!
Reply With Quote
  #19  
Old 08-13-2008, 03:20 PM
declansharbor's Avatar
declansharbor declansharbor is offline
Hialeah Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Exit 30
Posts: 6,357
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Gander
Wow! Great job Steve and to all else who hit this. Wow!
Ditto!
__________________
"A person who saw no important difference between the fire outside a Neandrathal's cave and a working thermo-nuclear reactor might tell you that junk bonds and derivatives BOTH serve to energize capital"

- Nathan Israel
Reply With Quote
  #20  
Old 08-13-2008, 03:21 PM
tiggerv's Avatar
tiggerv tiggerv is offline
Fairgrounds
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: Baby Gorilla
Posts: 1,533
Default

Well done Steve. Congrats
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 10:59 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.