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#1
12-12-2008, 09:10 AM
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Tampa Pick 4/Sat. 13th
Gotta post this early. Strange hours at work today and tomorrow, so this is the only chance I have to post my picks.
Races 8-11 (Pre-scratches) Big Ticket $144 2,6,7/1,4,7/5,6,8,10/5,9,10,12 Small Ticket $45 1,2,3,6,7/7/5,6,8/5,9,12 Last edited by GPK : 12-13-2008 at 04:57 PM. 
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#2
12-12-2008, 10:07 AM
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Race 7: #9 Galaxy Tax - Looks a top pick and a good price...Coming back to favorite track where the horse excelled last year, tuned back up and ready to go in a race where pace pressure will be string leaving him ready to take charge in late stretch.
Thoughts? Spyder
__________________
Don't sweat the petty things and don't pet the sweaty things.
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#3
12-12-2008, 06:24 PM
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Quote:
Ness' horse could be trouble, but I doubt he draws in - a little rain on and off over the past few days as that front passed through, but we should certainly be fast and firm by post time. We typically don't get many turf scratches this early - you basically lose your date and won't get another start for a while so something would have to be pretty wrong to scratch.
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#4
12-12-2008, 09:42 PM
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Opening Day Full Card
Should be Sunny and 70's by post time....
 PRE SCRATCHES Race 1 Clm 5000N2Y 7F 3yo & ^ The Ole’ dated nickel… A TBD standard and what better way to open the season Most Likely: 2 King Glacken 7-2 Next Best: 4 Leonard G 6-1 Best Value: 12 Fierce Advocate 15-1 Exotics Use: 8 Playful Pal 5-1 Race 2 Clm 8000 N3L 6F F&M 3yo & ^ Most Likely: 6 Close the Deal 9-5 Next Best: 5 Inquisitive House 12-1 Best Value: 9 Capture the Beauty 16-1 Exotics Use: 2 Tis Premixed 8-1 Race 3 Alw 20200 N1X 6F 2yo Most Likely: 5 Edopapas Ekepapa 5-2 Cannot wait to here Grunder pronounce this! Best Value: 6 Call Nine One One 8-1 Next Best: 2 Scottish Mystery 2-1 Exotics Use: Promise Me Merlot 3-1 Race 4 Msw 20000 1 Mile Turf 2yo Fillies Most Likely: 10 State Treasure 7-2 Best Value: 2 Don’t Get Married 12-1 Next Best: 6 Westling 5-1 Exotics Use: Islandia 9-2 Race 5 Clm 16000 N2L 6.5F 3yo & ^ Most Likely: 5 Heartaches 9-2 Next Best: 7 Golden Citizen E K 5-2 Best Value: 10 Flashy Wonder 15-1 Exotics Use: 3 Taxicab 15-1 Race 6 Msw 20000 6F F&M 3yo & ^ Most Likely: 2 PALACE CAT 2-1 Best Value: 9 Serata 8-1 Next Best: 7 Gallant Bid 4-1 Exotics Use: 6 Magna Heat 7-2 Race 7 OC 32000/N2X 1 & 1/16th Miles Turf 3yo & ^ Most Likely: 5 Onotheregostokoyo 5-2 Best Value: 10 Mr. Easy E 10-1 Next Best: 9 Galaxy Tax 6-1 (Note Sub AE12 Dawn Raider 4-1 if draws in) Exotics Use: 1 Greycliff Exchange 9-2 Race 8 Clm 8000 6.5F 3yo & ^ Most Likely: 7 Kenny Run 2-1 Best Value: 1 Islandprospectrbob 8-1 Next Best: 2 Rahoo 7-2 Exotics Use: 3 Mandu Genius 4-1 Race 9 Alw 23500NC 6F F&M 3yo & ^ Very interesting conditioned allowance with the presence of multiple GSW Dream Rush. Will be beat to the ground at the windows and depending on form could well be vulnerable. Most will single here, I think there is value in spreading a bit as the pace scenario can change and offer a “Big Truck” like payoff in the multi race plays. Most Likely: 7 Dream Rush 4-5 Best Value: 2 Fotografica 20-1 Next Best: 3 Mayomast 10-1 Exotics Use: 4 Lil’s Lassie 6-1 Race 10 The 5th Running of the Lightning City 65000 5F Turf F&M 3yo & ^ Most Likely: 8 Charlie Papa 5-1 Next Best: 6 Jazzy 3-1 Exotics Use A: 5 Taletobetold 7-2 Exotics Use B: 10 Bucky’s Prayer 9-2 Race 11 Mdn 25000 6F Fillies 2yo Most Likely: 5 Free Light 7-2 Next Best: 12 This Gal is Mine 5-2 Best Value: 9 Jean the Queen 5-1 Exotics Use: 1 Song of Alydar 8-1 P4 Big Ticket: 1,2,7//2,3,4,7//2,5,6,8,10//5,9,12 180.00 Small: 2,7//2,3,7//5,6,8,10//5,12 48.00 Good Luck All Last edited by Rudeboyelvis : 12-13-2008 at 08:22 AM.
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#7
12-13-2008, 07:31 AM
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Quote:
My trainer has planned a steady stream of works for me the next two months. I should be sitting on a peak performance for my TBD debut the 3rd week in Feb. 
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#10
12-13-2008, 09:14 AM
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Quote:
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#11
12-13-2008, 10:41 AM
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Dream Rush - race 9
6 Furlongs. Alw 23500nc Purse $23,500 (includes $3,000 FOA - Florida
Owners Awards) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs., Older, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of $11,250 Twice Since September 13 Allowed 2 lbs. $10,800 Since August 13 Allowed 4 lbs. (Maiden, Claiming, And Starter Races Not Considered) . Fly high - fall far I know she didn't do anything but seems like a huge drop from running the BC Filly Mare Sprint to running in a low level allowance race at Tampa Bay. Probably a paid workout but at 4/5, I will play against. I like the #1 coming from Hawthorne  but will go with Rosemary on #5 D Day (better odds - maybe)
__________________
ΜΟΛΩΝ ΛΑΒΕ
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#12
12-13-2008, 11:04 AM
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Pick 4
Race 8 1 - Islandprospectrbob - Ran super in his first Tampa race last year. Inconsistant type shows a nice bullet for this. 7 - Kenny Run - Let's see, Ness, Centeno, speed, huge drop in class....welcome to Tampa. Race 9 7 - Dream Rush - Not sold on her, but I am not a fool. 4 - Lil's Lassie - Loves this place. Horse for course is huge early in the Tampa meet. Needs some help on the front end to not let Dream Rush get away. 6 - Orinoquia - Will be flying late if the speed comes back. Race 10 - *Edit* Fanlight Fanny drawing in, adds to the pace up front. Race seems even more wide open now... 5 - Taletobetold - Catch her if you can. 7 - What She Said - My gut says stay away, but she is going so good right now. Lake usually flops at Tampa, so beware. 9 - Ahvee's Destiny - Loves the trip. Rosemary will be stalking.... 10 - Bucky's Prayer - Versitile sort likes the Tampa grass. 6 - Jazzy - Not sold on her at all. Will include on class alone. 2 - Creative Design - Montalvo will have to work out a trip from the inside. Race 11 12 - This Gal is Mine - Looks awful tough here. 3 - Sticky Wicket - Firster looks to have some speed. 5 - Free Light - Possible include on fatter tickets, been working well for Griffith/Kinsman. May want more distance. 1,7/4,6,7/2,5,6,7,9,10/3,12 = $72 Fast and firm today. GL Last edited by Bigsmc : 12-13-2008 at 11:16 AM.
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#13
12-13-2008, 11:13 AM
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Tampa Bay Downs Scratches
12/13/2008 Race # Horse # Name 4 11 Mi Helena 4 12 My Pill Box 4 13 A June Affair 4 14 Pop Pop's Carr 7 11 Special Tiger 7 12 Dawn Raider 7 13 Silver Mountain 7 14 Noble Austin 10 1 Jaunty Gale 10 11 Silversider 10 13 Elena's Princess 10 14 Suzee Sunrise
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#14
12-13-2008, 11:21 AM
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The Graham Motion horse draws into the feature...Just to confuse things a bit more....
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#17
12-13-2008, 01:08 PM
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Anyone have any luck getting the replays to work on the TAMPA site?
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#20
12-13-2008, 02:47 PM
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Bet the 1 in the 6th to WP.
GL all!!
__________________
"A person who saw no important difference between the fire outside a Neandrathal's cave and a working thermo-nuclear reactor might tell you that junk bonds and derivatives BOTH serve to energize capital" - Nathan Israel
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