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Old 02-18-2010, 09:33 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,305
Default 2/18: Santa Anita (5th-8th)

Pleased to provide a happy recap to Wednesday's punts as pairs of top choice Most Likelies ($11.00 Family Holiday-6th/$5.40 Inca King-9th) and 2nd choice Best Values ($37.40 Tesora de Amor-7th/$17.40 Doubles Partner-8th) combined for the solid $891.00 P4 hit at the .50 increment. The 6th-8th sequence also produced an enormous P3 payout of $1,484.30, as multi players clearly leaned on Lentenor in the feature.

Bill Kaplan's Tesora de Amor was the lynchpin to the late action in the 7th, but while 17-1 in the win pool, may not have been that high in the multis. Kaplan moved the Medaglia d'Oro filly to the dirt for the first time after two grass routes, and the homebred Dave and Teresa Palmer filly responded appropriately with a terrific effort under Paco Lopez. Kaplan, who is a 10-12% trainer generally, is frequently under-bet with live runners and has positive ROI's in several categories worth watching. He's particularly transparent when giving Lopez a leg up, and boosted his record with the hard-riding youngster from 2/8 (+$9.75) to 3/9 (+$12.60) with yesterday's bonus mutuel.

Hope you did well yesterday! Santa Anita late quad the focus today as two turf sprints at Gulfstream didn't appeal to me.


SANTA ANITA


PRE-SCRATCHES


5th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Tamerin 5-2 8th
Next Best: #4 Birdie Birdie 3-1 4th
Best Value: #6 See N' Win 8-1 5th
Super Add: #5 Triple Star 8-1 7th


6th: ALW/C, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Witty 4-5 WON
Best Value: #3 U R All That I Am 4-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Supermodel 6-1 3rd


7th: Cal-bred ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 (POE) Always in Style 7-2 WON
Next Best: #9 Samantha's Rule 3-1 4th
Best Value: #8 Powerofvoodoo 8-1 5th
Super Add: #3 The Town Lady 8-1 3rd


8th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 1m (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #1 Press the Point 4-1 WON
Next Best: #9 Led Advantage 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Diamonds Wild 6-1 10th
Super Add: #4 This Time Baby 6-1 5th
High 5 Play: #7 Pocatello Wild Cat 7-2 2nd


<$75 P4 Play:

5: 1-4-6
6: 1-3-4
7: 1-3-8-9
8: 1-9

3x3x4x2 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 02-18-2010 at 09:55 PM.
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